Prediction 1480
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Piauí |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 1 - PI
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 16.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 10.00 | 28.25 | 47.0 | 63.00 | 93.53 |
| 2022-10-16 | 16.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 9.75 | 26.00 | 45.0 | 52.00 | 64.53 |
| 2022-10-23 | 17.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 10.00 | 27.00 | 44.1 | 58.05 | 69.00 |
| 2022-10-30 | 15.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 9.00 | 29.00 | 47.1 | 62.10 | 82.05 |
| 2022-11-06 | 17.0 | 2.48 | 3.95 | 6.0 | 10.00 | 29.25 | 51.0 | 65.05 | 78.00 |
| 2022-11-13 | 18.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 11.00 | 32.00 | 55.0 | 74.10 | 105.10 |
| 2022-11-20 | 20.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 12.00 | 35.00 | 63.1 | 85.10 | 116.53 |
| 2022-11-27 | 21.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.9 | 13.00 | 37.00 | 61.3 | 85.00 | 102.00 |
| 2022-12-04 | 19.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 6.0 | 11.00 | 35.00 | 54.2 | 79.10 | 95.53 |
| 2022-12-11 | 20.5 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 7.0 | 11.00 | 41.00 | 67.0 | 84.00 | 103.00 |
| 2022-12-18 | 21.0 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 13.00 | 38.50 | 64.0 | 81.30 | 98.58 |
| 2022-12-25 | 23.0 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 14.00 | 44.00 | 73.0 | 96.00 | 107.53 |
| 2023-01-01 | 32.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 11.0 | 18.00 | 59.00 | 102.1 | 130.05 | 141.53 |
| 2023-01-08 | 46.0 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 17.0 | 26.00 | 87.00 | 149.0 | 201.15 | 243.53 |
| 2023-01-15 | 54.0 | 12.47 | 15.00 | 21.9 | 32.00 | 103.25 | 200.0 | 241.20 | 321.90 |
| 2023-01-22 | 66.0 | 18.00 | 21.00 | 26.9 | 39.75 | 128.00 | 227.0 | 289.20 | 390.57 |
| 2023-01-29 | 59.0 | 18.00 | 21.00 | 24.9 | 36.00 | 103.00 | 183.3 | 247.15 | 362.35 |
| 2023-02-05 | 75.0 | 19.00 | 22.00 | 27.0 | 43.00 | 151.50 | 248.6 | 337.05 | 413.10 |
| 2023-02-12 | 82.5 | 22.00 | 26.00 | 35.0 | 54.00 | 144.25 | 271.2 | 373.05 | 423.00 |
| 2023-02-19 | 101.0 | 23.00 | 31.00 | 40.0 | 57.75 | 184.25 | 318.1 | 448.15 | 545.45 |
| 2023-02-26 | 121.0 | 25.95 | 37.95 | 47.0 | 75.75 | 211.50 | 363.4 | 486.20 | 618.00 |
| 2023-03-05 | 133.5 | 36.48 | 45.95 | 57.9 | 81.00 | 282.00 | 438.5 | 541.55 | 689.60 |
| 2023-03-12 | 194.0 | 53.48 | 67.00 | 81.0 | 121.00 | 348.00 | 613.0 | 771.90 | 1013.42 |
| 2023-03-19 | 232.0 | 61.95 | 75.95 | 100.9 | 146.00 | 438.50 | 821.3 | 1032.60 | 1299.50 |
| 2023-03-26 | 289.0 | 79.00 | 87.95 | 113.0 | 170.75 | 529.00 | 849.2 | 1249.35 | 1597.12 |
| 2023-04-02 | 371.5 | 100.95 | 124.90 | 150.9 | 226.00 | 745.50 | 1256.4 | 1544.65 | 1938.42 |
| 2023-04-09 | 402.0 | 114.85 | 133.95 | 161.9 | 240.25 | 739.25 | 1137.2 | 1605.60 | 2042.92 |
| 2023-04-16 | 421.5 | 114.90 | 133.00 | 164.9 | 245.50 | 740.75 | 1240.9 | 1709.10 | 2101.93 |
| 2023-04-23 | 391.0 | 120.47 | 144.90 | 169.0 | 249.50 | 746.75 | 1279.8 | 1630.45 | 2068.82 |
| 2023-04-30 | 386.5 | 91.42 | 119.85 | 158.7 | 231.75 | 652.75 | 1082.6 | 1479.85 | 1855.95 |
| 2023-05-07 | 320.5 | 88.33 | 110.00 | 134.8 | 197.00 | 579.00 | 904.5 | 1209.80 | 1636.30 |
| 2023-05-14 | 311.5 | 80.00 | 100.00 | 131.9 | 187.50 | 540.25 | 952.1 | 1155.20 | 1386.35 |
| 2023-05-21 | 312.5 | 79.38 | 93.00 | 112.0 | 184.00 | 508.00 | 881.8 | 1105.20 | 1376.58 |
| 2023-05-28 | 241.5 | 63.00 | 77.85 | 97.9 | 145.00 | 418.50 | 697.1 | 921.60 | 1173.42 |
| 2023-06-04 | 202.0 | 58.00 | 65.00 | 83.7 | 122.75 | 334.75 | 612.2 | 838.45 | 1075.42 |
| 2023-06-11 | 186.5 | 52.95 | 61.95 | 77.9 | 110.00 | 314.50 | 553.5 | 704.45 | 920.17 |
| 2023-06-18 | 152.5 | 36.48 | 43.95 | 64.9 | 91.00 | 245.25 | 403.6 | 547.65 | 655.35 |
| 2023-06-25 | 122.0 | 29.95 | 38.00 | 49.0 | 75.00 | 194.25 | 335.1 | 416.05 | 522.20 |
| 2023-07-02 | 110.0 | 29.00 | 38.95 | 44.0 | 70.75 | 179.25 | 297.1 | 407.20 | 523.52 |
| 2023-07-09 | 91.5 | 28.48 | 32.95 | 41.0 | 55.00 | 152.50 | 256.0 | 309.05 | 394.52 |
| 2023-07-16 | 87.0 | 19.48 | 24.00 | 33.9 | 50.00 | 146.00 | 237.1 | 296.00 | 341.05 |
| 2023-07-23 | 70.0 | 21.00 | 23.00 | 29.9 | 44.00 | 124.25 | 190.1 | 258.35 | 297.52 |
| 2023-07-30 | 64.5 | 17.00 | 22.00 | 26.0 | 39.00 | 113.00 | 169.2 | 232.25 | 296.00 |
| 2023-08-06 | 57.0 | 14.00 | 17.95 | 23.0 | 37.00 | 95.00 | 151.3 | 200.05 | 267.57 |
| 2023-08-13 | 44.0 | 10.00 | 14.00 | 17.0 | 26.00 | 77.25 | 121.2 | 166.00 | 206.62 |
| 2023-08-20 | 39.5 | 10.47 | 13.00 | 17.0 | 24.00 | 70.00 | 113.1 | 152.05 | 173.62 |
| 2023-08-27 | 34.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 20.00 | 58.00 | 107.0 | 130.05 | 160.53 |
| 2023-09-03 | 26.0 | 7.47 | 9.00 | 11.0 | 16.00 | 46.25 | 75.1 | 104.00 | 120.10 |
| 2023-09-10 | 23.5 | 6.00 | 7.00 | 9.0 | 15.00 | 40.00 | 59.1 | 88.00 | 110.58 |
| 2023-09-17 | 18.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 7.0 | 11.00 | 33.00 | 53.1 | 70.05 | 92.20 |
| 2023-09-24 | 14.5 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 5.0 | 8.00 | 24.00 | 37.1 | 57.05 | 64.53 |
| 2023-10-01 | 12.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 7.00 | 23.25 | 40.0 | 60.10 | 70.00 |
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