Prediction 2474
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
Validation test 1 for AL
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 102.0 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 22.0 | 44.00 | 240.00 | 537.0 | 938.75 | 1555.88 |
| 2022-10-16 | 98.0 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 19.0 | 43.00 | 241.00 | 529.4 | 900.60 | 1614.78 |
| 2022-10-23 | 96.0 | 7.97 | 11.00 | 19.0 | 41.00 | 217.50 | 480.1 | 849.05 | 1497.00 |
| 2022-10-30 | 90.0 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 18.0 | 40.00 | 206.00 | 470.0 | 790.10 | 1455.03 |
| 2022-11-06 | 82.5 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 16.0 | 34.00 | 194.25 | 443.0 | 727.25 | 1270.88 |
| 2022-11-13 | 81.0 | 6.97 | 10.00 | 16.0 | 36.00 | 179.25 | 409.2 | 678.05 | 1183.28 |
| 2022-11-20 | 68.0 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 29.00 | 163.25 | 382.1 | 679.00 | 1235.10 |
| 2022-11-27 | 64.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 13.0 | 28.00 | 153.25 | 355.1 | 584.30 | 1013.27 |
| 2022-12-04 | 61.0 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 12.0 | 28.75 | 137.00 | 312.1 | 568.15 | 1013.20 |
| 2022-12-11 | 58.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 11.0 | 25.00 | 145.00 | 333.1 | 526.45 | 961.02 |
| 2022-12-18 | 54.5 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 11.9 | 25.00 | 135.25 | 318.2 | 539.10 | 942.05 |
| 2022-12-25 | 58.0 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 12.0 | 25.00 | 128.00 | 297.0 | 522.00 | 852.10 |
| 2023-01-01 | 57.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 12.0 | 25.00 | 140.00 | 332.0 | 599.05 | 921.02 |
| 2023-01-08 | 66.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 13.0 | 27.00 | 146.25 | 320.0 | 549.00 | 942.33 |
| 2023-01-15 | 67.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 14.0 | 30.00 | 152.00 | 341.0 | 556.05 | 972.25 |
| 2023-01-22 | 68.0 | 5.97 | 9.00 | 15.0 | 31.00 | 160.25 | 357.2 | 698.10 | 1171.17 |
| 2023-01-29 | 70.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 16.0 | 31.00 | 178.00 | 384.5 | 698.25 | 1239.03 |
| 2023-02-05 | 81.5 | 6.97 | 10.00 | 16.0 | 33.75 | 192.00 | 425.0 | 770.15 | 1277.03 |
| 2023-02-12 | 83.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 17.0 | 37.00 | 196.00 | 484.4 | 777.00 | 1459.08 |
| 2023-02-19 | 88.0 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 19.0 | 40.00 | 207.00 | 503.1 | 798.10 | 1272.10 |
| 2023-02-26 | 90.0 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 20.0 | 41.00 | 220.00 | 519.4 | 960.45 | 1777.85 |
| 2023-03-05 | 102.0 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 20.0 | 45.00 | 223.25 | 519.2 | 1050.45 | 1565.67 |
| 2023-03-12 | 102.0 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 19.0 | 44.00 | 252.00 | 556.1 | 974.10 | 1514.03 |
| 2023-03-19 | 107.0 | 9.97 | 15.00 | 22.0 | 48.00 | 262.25 | 639.0 | 1183.25 | 2035.15 |
| 2023-03-26 | 130.0 | 9.00 | 14.00 | 23.9 | 54.00 | 285.50 | 627.2 | 1133.50 | 2120.75 |
| 2023-04-02 | 136.0 | 11.00 | 17.00 | 26.0 | 56.00 | 323.25 | 762.2 | 1324.10 | 2360.10 |
| 2023-04-09 | 149.0 | 12.97 | 18.00 | 30.0 | 64.00 | 355.25 | 777.7 | 1300.00 | 2376.05 |
| 2023-04-16 | 170.0 | 14.00 | 20.00 | 37.0 | 74.75 | 398.50 | 923.8 | 1458.70 | 2883.05 |
| 2023-04-23 | 199.0 | 13.97 | 23.00 | 36.0 | 86.00 | 454.25 | 969.6 | 1678.45 | 2916.38 |
| 2023-04-30 | 223.0 | 17.98 | 30.00 | 49.0 | 103.00 | 523.25 | 1187.1 | 2044.20 | 3770.03 |
| 2023-05-07 | 256.5 | 22.00 | 35.00 | 54.0 | 113.75 | 581.75 | 1320.0 | 2479.10 | 4307.20 |
| 2023-05-14 | 274.0 | 23.00 | 38.00 | 55.0 | 126.00 | 651.00 | 1448.1 | 2361.05 | 5191.77 |
| 2023-05-21 | 313.5 | 23.98 | 38.00 | 63.0 | 135.00 | 736.25 | 1604.9 | 2677.10 | 4537.77 |
| 2023-05-28 | 325.5 | 29.00 | 40.00 | 64.0 | 145.75 | 744.75 | 1637.7 | 2674.25 | 4865.35 |
| 2023-06-04 | 325.5 | 28.98 | 40.95 | 63.9 | 150.75 | 731.75 | 1548.1 | 2579.00 | 5510.57 |
| 2023-06-11 | 330.5 | 27.98 | 40.00 | 67.0 | 142.00 | 740.25 | 1758.8 | 3550.40 | 5883.30 |
| 2023-06-18 | 307.0 | 23.98 | 38.95 | 62.9 | 132.00 | 712.00 | 1622.3 | 2803.50 | 4359.93 |
| 2023-06-25 | 287.5 | 25.00 | 36.00 | 57.0 | 124.00 | 687.25 | 1654.5 | 2848.55 | 4191.65 |
| 2023-07-02 | 265.5 | 24.00 | 36.00 | 53.9 | 117.00 | 632.00 | 1444.1 | 2414.50 | 4246.07 |
| 2023-07-09 | 254.0 | 18.00 | 29.00 | 50.0 | 111.00 | 585.25 | 1365.3 | 2556.65 | 4121.32 |
| 2023-07-16 | 232.0 | 20.00 | 28.00 | 49.0 | 97.75 | 552.75 | 1206.4 | 2146.15 | 3647.25 |
| 2023-07-23 | 223.5 | 15.00 | 25.00 | 44.0 | 96.00 | 527.00 | 1210.8 | 1989.70 | 4305.57 |
| 2023-07-30 | 206.5 | 16.00 | 23.00 | 40.0 | 88.75 | 499.50 | 1094.4 | 2216.30 | 3379.70 |
| 2023-08-06 | 197.0 | 16.00 | 23.00 | 39.0 | 87.00 | 465.00 | 1103.4 | 1889.40 | 2935.20 |
| 2023-08-13 | 175.0 | 12.00 | 20.00 | 33.9 | 77.00 | 406.50 | 951.4 | 1808.20 | 3120.03 |
| 2023-08-20 | 150.5 | 13.00 | 18.00 | 30.0 | 65.00 | 373.00 | 888.1 | 1458.25 | 2439.82 |
| 2023-08-27 | 146.5 | 11.00 | 17.00 | 28.0 | 63.00 | 334.25 | 818.8 | 1529.25 | 2779.30 |
| 2023-09-03 | 140.0 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 26.0 | 57.00 | 334.25 | 748.5 | 1439.35 | 2201.75 |
| 2023-09-10 | 129.0 | 9.97 | 15.00 | 26.0 | 56.00 | 297.00 | 710.3 | 1203.10 | 2006.10 |
| 2023-09-17 | 121.0 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 24.0 | 55.00 | 281.25 | 624.1 | 1230.10 | 2128.43 |
| 2023-09-24 | 111.0 | 10.00 | 15.00 | 25.0 | 51.00 | 272.00 | 648.0 | 1064.25 | 1889.45 |
| 2023-10-01 | 109.0 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 21.9 | 48.00 | 255.00 | 595.1 | 1122.05 | 1827.20 |
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