Prediction 2475
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Validation test 1 for AM
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 48.0 | 11.00 | 14.00 | 19.0 | 30.00 | 78.00 | 127.0 | 172.00 | 222.00 |
| 2022-10-16 | 50.0 | 11.00 | 14.00 | 20.0 | 31.00 | 79.00 | 125.0 | 172.00 | 241.03 |
| 2022-10-23 | 52.0 | 12.00 | 15.00 | 20.0 | 32.00 | 82.00 | 131.0 | 169.05 | 232.07 |
| 2022-10-30 | 53.5 | 12.00 | 16.00 | 21.0 | 34.00 | 87.25 | 137.1 | 198.05 | 273.02 |
| 2022-11-06 | 56.0 | 13.00 | 18.00 | 24.0 | 36.00 | 93.25 | 141.0 | 182.00 | 240.07 |
| 2022-11-13 | 62.0 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 25.9 | 39.00 | 97.00 | 150.2 | 204.05 | 253.03 |
| 2022-11-20 | 65.0 | 16.98 | 21.00 | 27.0 | 41.00 | 102.00 | 167.0 | 221.10 | 295.02 |
| 2022-11-27 | 67.0 | 18.00 | 23.00 | 29.0 | 43.00 | 108.00 | 172.0 | 226.00 | 309.20 |
| 2022-12-04 | 74.0 | 17.00 | 21.00 | 30.0 | 45.00 | 116.00 | 182.0 | 239.05 | 318.05 |
| 2022-12-11 | 76.0 | 19.00 | 24.00 | 31.0 | 48.00 | 123.00 | 186.2 | 254.00 | 325.05 |
| 2022-12-18 | 78.0 | 20.00 | 25.00 | 32.0 | 50.00 | 125.25 | 193.0 | 264.15 | 363.02 |
| 2022-12-25 | 87.0 | 20.00 | 26.00 | 36.0 | 55.00 | 143.00 | 216.1 | 280.05 | 369.10 |
| 2023-01-01 | 90.0 | 23.00 | 29.00 | 39.0 | 58.00 | 145.00 | 223.1 | 300.00 | 413.18 |
| 2023-01-08 | 99.0 | 27.00 | 34.00 | 44.0 | 64.00 | 157.00 | 237.0 | 313.15 | 430.02 |
| 2023-01-15 | 106.0 | 28.00 | 35.00 | 47.0 | 69.00 | 164.00 | 263.1 | 358.00 | 450.30 |
| 2023-01-22 | 118.0 | 32.00 | 38.95 | 50.0 | 75.00 | 180.25 | 286.1 | 393.30 | 512.08 |
| 2023-01-29 | 125.0 | 34.00 | 42.00 | 54.0 | 81.00 | 194.25 | 304.0 | 400.10 | 506.05 |
| 2023-02-05 | 129.0 | 35.00 | 44.00 | 56.0 | 83.00 | 195.00 | 304.1 | 436.05 | 557.33 |
| 2023-02-12 | 138.0 | 37.98 | 47.00 | 62.0 | 91.00 | 211.00 | 330.0 | 436.05 | 603.15 |
| 2023-02-19 | 142.0 | 39.00 | 49.00 | 61.0 | 92.00 | 221.00 | 339.1 | 451.05 | 576.02 |
| 2023-02-26 | 142.0 | 39.98 | 48.00 | 62.0 | 94.00 | 220.00 | 332.2 | 460.00 | 610.12 |
| 2023-03-05 | 141.0 | 41.00 | 53.00 | 65.0 | 95.75 | 217.00 | 335.1 | 452.00 | 567.15 |
| 2023-03-12 | 145.0 | 37.98 | 47.00 | 60.0 | 91.00 | 222.00 | 342.0 | 448.00 | 574.08 |
| 2023-03-19 | 142.0 | 36.00 | 47.95 | 62.0 | 92.00 | 223.00 | 335.0 | 441.00 | 600.25 |
| 2023-03-26 | 137.5 | 36.00 | 47.00 | 59.0 | 89.00 | 215.00 | 324.2 | 434.05 | 580.12 |
| 2023-04-02 | 131.0 | 35.00 | 43.00 | 54.0 | 85.00 | 211.00 | 316.0 | 434.05 | 610.08 |
| 2023-04-09 | 124.0 | 34.00 | 42.00 | 54.0 | 80.00 | 194.00 | 302.0 | 409.25 | 526.02 |
| 2023-04-16 | 119.0 | 30.95 | 39.00 | 51.0 | 76.00 | 184.00 | 285.1 | 383.15 | 477.00 |
| 2023-04-23 | 109.0 | 30.00 | 35.00 | 47.0 | 71.00 | 175.00 | 274.0 | 369.00 | 497.02 |
| 2023-04-30 | 105.0 | 24.00 | 31.00 | 42.0 | 66.00 | 160.00 | 250.0 | 349.00 | 451.05 |
| 2023-05-07 | 92.0 | 23.00 | 29.00 | 40.0 | 59.00 | 149.25 | 238.0 | 314.05 | 444.05 |
| 2023-05-14 | 88.0 | 21.00 | 27.00 | 35.0 | 55.00 | 141.00 | 218.0 | 298.25 | 400.02 |
| 2023-05-21 | 80.0 | 18.00 | 24.00 | 34.0 | 52.00 | 130.25 | 203.0 | 275.00 | 356.32 |
| 2023-05-28 | 74.0 | 19.00 | 24.00 | 30.0 | 45.00 | 121.00 | 195.0 | 262.05 | 368.07 |
| 2023-06-04 | 70.0 | 17.00 | 22.00 | 28.0 | 44.00 | 111.00 | 178.0 | 237.00 | 327.05 |
| 2023-06-11 | 65.0 | 16.00 | 21.00 | 27.0 | 40.00 | 105.25 | 164.0 | 223.10 | 313.00 |
| 2023-06-18 | 61.5 | 14.97 | 20.00 | 25.0 | 38.00 | 100.00 | 163.0 | 223.00 | 297.18 |
| 2023-06-25 | 59.0 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 23.0 | 37.00 | 93.00 | 146.0 | 201.00 | 269.10 |
| 2023-07-02 | 56.0 | 13.00 | 17.00 | 22.0 | 35.00 | 88.00 | 139.0 | 191.05 | 253.03 |
| 2023-07-09 | 53.0 | 13.00 | 15.00 | 21.0 | 33.00 | 84.00 | 132.0 | 184.05 | 252.07 |
| 2023-07-16 | 50.0 | 12.00 | 14.00 | 19.0 | 31.00 | 78.00 | 124.1 | 176.00 | 248.05 |
| 2023-07-23 | 48.0 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 20.0 | 31.00 | 76.25 | 120.1 | 167.05 | 218.03 |
| 2023-07-30 | 47.0 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 18.9 | 29.00 | 76.00 | 119.1 | 166.00 | 209.00 |
| 2023-08-06 | 44.0 | 10.00 | 13.00 | 18.0 | 28.00 | 71.25 | 114.0 | 152.05 | 211.00 |
| 2023-08-13 | 45.0 | 10.00 | 13.00 | 18.0 | 28.00 | 69.00 | 109.0 | 146.00 | 206.05 |
| 2023-08-20 | 44.0 | 10.00 | 12.00 | 17.0 | 27.00 | 69.00 | 109.0 | 147.00 | 217.03 |
| 2023-08-27 | 44.0 | 10.97 | 13.00 | 17.0 | 27.00 | 70.00 | 111.1 | 146.05 | 199.07 |
| 2023-09-03 | 44.0 | 10.00 | 13.00 | 17.0 | 27.00 | 70.00 | 109.0 | 152.00 | 189.05 |
| 2023-09-10 | 43.0 | 10.00 | 13.00 | 17.0 | 27.00 | 69.00 | 113.0 | 145.05 | 196.03 |
| 2023-09-17 | 45.0 | 10.00 | 13.00 | 18.0 | 27.00 | 72.00 | 116.1 | 159.05 | 210.12 |
| 2023-09-24 | 45.0 | 11.00 | 14.00 | 19.0 | 28.00 | 73.00 | 116.1 | 159.10 | 219.10 |
| 2023-10-01 | 47.0 | 11.00 | 14.00 | 19.0 | 30.00 | 76.00 | 118.0 | 164.00 | 224.07 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
