Prediction 2478
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Ceará |
Description:
Validation test 1 for CE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 139.0 | 37.00 | 45.95 | 58.0 | 84.00 | 235.25 | 407.3 | 654.35 | 869.08 |
| 2022-10-16 | 127.0 | 32.98 | 43.00 | 54.0 | 80.00 | 212.25 | 364.1 | 539.05 | 765.42 |
| 2022-10-23 | 125.0 | 31.00 | 41.00 | 53.0 | 78.00 | 209.25 | 363.0 | 554.20 | 808.15 |
| 2022-10-30 | 119.0 | 31.00 | 38.00 | 49.0 | 75.00 | 193.00 | 339.1 | 477.00 | 686.67 |
| 2022-11-06 | 120.0 | 32.00 | 39.00 | 51.0 | 76.00 | 200.25 | 335.1 | 510.00 | 751.05 |
| 2022-11-13 | 119.0 | 31.00 | 39.00 | 49.0 | 73.00 | 195.00 | 319.1 | 483.35 | 769.10 |
| 2022-11-20 | 113.0 | 30.00 | 37.00 | 45.0 | 72.00 | 190.25 | 345.1 | 494.05 | 722.55 |
| 2022-11-27 | 112.0 | 27.00 | 36.00 | 46.0 | 69.00 | 191.00 | 354.0 | 526.10 | 742.23 |
| 2022-12-04 | 109.0 | 28.00 | 35.00 | 44.0 | 69.00 | 186.00 | 332.0 | 454.65 | 714.67 |
| 2022-12-11 | 108.0 | 28.00 | 36.00 | 45.0 | 67.00 | 183.25 | 338.2 | 509.10 | 700.02 |
| 2022-12-18 | 109.0 | 27.00 | 34.00 | 44.0 | 67.00 | 187.00 | 341.1 | 497.30 | 797.10 |
| 2022-12-25 | 114.0 | 28.00 | 37.00 | 47.0 | 71.00 | 197.25 | 336.2 | 524.05 | 802.33 |
| 2023-01-01 | 123.0 | 30.98 | 39.00 | 48.0 | 74.00 | 211.00 | 364.1 | 509.10 | 819.08 |
| 2023-01-08 | 140.0 | 38.00 | 48.00 | 60.0 | 89.00 | 242.25 | 409.2 | 616.70 | 857.10 |
| 2023-01-15 | 169.0 | 44.00 | 54.00 | 69.0 | 107.00 | 273.00 | 468.0 | 672.00 | 972.38 |
| 2023-01-22 | 203.0 | 54.00 | 64.95 | 85.0 | 127.00 | 333.25 | 558.1 | 859.00 | 1088.25 |
| 2023-01-29 | 240.5 | 63.00 | 80.00 | 105.9 | 153.00 | 390.25 | 683.0 | 1026.25 | 1339.25 |
| 2023-02-05 | 293.0 | 84.00 | 105.00 | 129.0 | 190.75 | 476.00 | 832.2 | 1278.35 | 1716.03 |
| 2023-02-12 | 352.0 | 101.97 | 123.00 | 153.9 | 226.00 | 576.00 | 1030.0 | 1445.25 | 2323.07 |
| 2023-02-19 | 429.0 | 120.97 | 142.00 | 180.9 | 271.00 | 679.25 | 1184.1 | 1659.90 | 2421.45 |
| 2023-02-26 | 486.5 | 137.97 | 172.95 | 218.0 | 316.75 | 783.00 | 1341.1 | 1959.30 | 2697.68 |
| 2023-03-05 | 557.5 | 160.97 | 185.95 | 239.0 | 358.00 | 920.25 | 1545.0 | 2292.20 | 3082.90 |
| 2023-03-12 | 636.0 | 182.00 | 222.00 | 288.0 | 418.00 | 1056.50 | 1741.3 | 2546.20 | 3945.72 |
| 2023-03-19 | 721.5 | 201.95 | 240.90 | 316.0 | 454.75 | 1210.00 | 2034.2 | 3051.10 | 4448.02 |
| 2023-03-26 | 821.5 | 216.97 | 274.00 | 358.0 | 514.00 | 1337.00 | 2335.1 | 3338.40 | 4828.50 |
| 2023-04-02 | 916.0 | 252.95 | 307.95 | 396.0 | 595.75 | 1510.25 | 2527.5 | 3751.10 | 5170.18 |
| 2023-04-09 | 1002.5 | 268.98 | 338.95 | 432.9 | 657.50 | 1672.25 | 2941.3 | 4343.15 | 6457.93 |
| 2023-04-16 | 1070.5 | 302.93 | 372.00 | 471.0 | 688.00 | 1796.25 | 3031.2 | 4523.80 | 6580.90 |
| 2023-04-23 | 1182.0 | 330.98 | 412.55 | 515.0 | 741.75 | 1881.00 | 3194.7 | 4491.70 | 6891.27 |
| 2023-04-30 | 1179.0 | 335.85 | 412.95 | 496.0 | 772.50 | 1989.25 | 3225.6 | 4823.90 | 6795.43 |
| 2023-05-07 | 1167.0 | 332.95 | 402.90 | 509.0 | 748.25 | 1951.75 | 3395.1 | 5057.60 | 6964.90 |
| 2023-05-14 | 1193.5 | 350.93 | 410.65 | 505.0 | 756.00 | 1947.50 | 3330.2 | 4986.35 | 6407.25 |
| 2023-05-21 | 1155.5 | 334.85 | 405.00 | 507.0 | 745.75 | 1917.25 | 3231.2 | 4614.50 | 6520.35 |
| 2023-05-28 | 1100.0 | 313.95 | 385.95 | 493.0 | 707.75 | 1851.00 | 3212.9 | 4496.70 | 6546.50 |
| 2023-06-04 | 1038.5 | 299.95 | 353.00 | 451.0 | 657.50 | 1712.75 | 2909.3 | 4616.50 | 6398.30 |
| 2023-06-11 | 947.0 | 282.95 | 356.90 | 431.9 | 619.75 | 1597.75 | 2617.2 | 3916.05 | 5603.12 |
| 2023-06-18 | 872.5 | 254.97 | 309.00 | 385.9 | 565.75 | 1462.50 | 2482.0 | 3798.85 | 5457.45 |
| 2023-06-25 | 808.0 | 225.97 | 284.95 | 355.0 | 528.00 | 1316.25 | 2275.3 | 3193.35 | 4504.25 |
| 2023-07-02 | 739.0 | 196.97 | 250.95 | 315.9 | 475.75 | 1224.00 | 2024.4 | 3064.10 | 4559.98 |
| 2023-07-09 | 684.0 | 195.97 | 238.85 | 300.0 | 434.75 | 1109.50 | 1973.1 | 2776.25 | 3922.75 |
| 2023-07-16 | 613.0 | 174.93 | 213.00 | 265.0 | 393.00 | 1026.25 | 1671.0 | 2374.30 | 3489.70 |
| 2023-07-23 | 556.0 | 152.88 | 188.00 | 244.0 | 358.00 | 907.00 | 1602.0 | 2224.25 | 3179.40 |
| 2023-07-30 | 496.0 | 133.00 | 168.00 | 207.9 | 306.75 | 816.25 | 1392.3 | 2233.25 | 2962.88 |
| 2023-08-06 | 444.0 | 127.00 | 150.95 | 191.0 | 279.00 | 716.25 | 1261.7 | 1749.05 | 2450.38 |
| 2023-08-13 | 381.0 | 109.97 | 134.00 | 171.9 | 247.75 | 621.00 | 1035.2 | 1577.20 | 2187.10 |
| 2023-08-20 | 334.0 | 91.00 | 110.00 | 143.9 | 215.75 | 547.00 | 927.3 | 1364.30 | 1887.15 |
| 2023-08-27 | 290.5 | 85.95 | 105.00 | 126.0 | 191.00 | 472.00 | 874.1 | 1296.40 | 1855.12 |
| 2023-09-03 | 259.0 | 70.00 | 88.00 | 110.0 | 163.00 | 422.25 | 737.1 | 1085.50 | 1577.47 |
| 2023-09-10 | 223.0 | 63.00 | 78.00 | 97.0 | 144.00 | 373.00 | 629.4 | 970.15 | 1471.00 |
| 2023-09-17 | 192.5 | 53.98 | 65.00 | 81.0 | 123.75 | 320.00 | 544.1 | 797.05 | 1093.30 |
| 2023-09-24 | 171.5 | 48.00 | 57.00 | 71.0 | 110.00 | 286.25 | 491.5 | 712.25 | 1026.22 |
| 2023-10-01 | 153.5 | 40.00 | 50.00 | 64.9 | 94.75 | 257.00 | 439.3 | 654.00 | 920.20 |
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