Prediction 2480
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Validation test 1 for ES
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 146.0 | 2.00 | 3.95 | 9.0 | 33.00 | 695.00 | 3321.9 | 9698.90 | 29319.85 |
| 2022-10-16 | 155.5 | 2.98 | 5.95 | 11.0 | 38.00 | 794.50 | 3993.6 | 12495.65 | 36822.22 |
| 2022-10-23 | 181.5 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 13.0 | 45.00 | 934.25 | 4794.4 | 14068.15 | 38617.12 |
| 2022-10-30 | 215.0 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 14.0 | 51.00 | 1087.50 | 5831.7 | 16931.95 | 41231.47 |
| 2022-11-06 | 232.0 | 3.00 | 8.00 | 16.0 | 52.00 | 1261.00 | 6529.6 | 20553.75 | 55875.07 |
| 2022-11-13 | 275.0 | 3.98 | 7.00 | 16.0 | 64.75 | 1359.50 | 7239.3 | 21313.50 | 61765.40 |
| 2022-11-20 | 313.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 19.9 | 70.00 | 1521.25 | 7138.5 | 18038.40 | 44749.70 |
| 2022-11-27 | 311.0 | 3.00 | 8.00 | 19.0 | 72.00 | 1545.00 | 8439.4 | 23605.30 | 64620.97 |
| 2022-12-04 | 336.5 | 4.00 | 10.00 | 22.0 | 77.00 | 1533.25 | 8236.2 | 24672.45 | 67015.90 |
| 2022-12-11 | 333.0 | 4.00 | 9.00 | 22.0 | 82.00 | 1644.50 | 8137.0 | 23620.90 | 60528.35 |
| 2022-12-18 | 332.0 | 5.00 | 10.00 | 23.0 | 81.75 | 1783.25 | 8308.0 | 24504.15 | 70360.97 |
| 2022-12-25 | 343.5 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 23.0 | 77.75 | 1773.50 | 7720.0 | 24707.90 | 72938.77 |
| 2023-01-01 | 319.5 | 4.00 | 9.00 | 22.0 | 76.00 | 1651.00 | 9581.9 | 28126.35 | 71603.97 |
| 2023-01-08 | 319.5 | 4.00 | 9.00 | 19.0 | 82.75 | 1645.00 | 8810.5 | 31548.75 | 71210.12 |
| 2023-01-15 | 337.0 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 21.0 | 77.00 | 1637.00 | 8206.8 | 24582.70 | 64784.42 |
| 2023-01-22 | 345.0 | 4.00 | 9.95 | 24.0 | 87.00 | 1678.00 | 7967.2 | 23026.40 | 68234.40 |
| 2023-01-29 | 313.5 | 5.00 | 11.00 | 20.0 | 79.75 | 1688.75 | 8687.5 | 24302.30 | 61026.60 |
| 2023-02-05 | 339.5 | 6.00 | 12.00 | 24.0 | 82.00 | 1708.50 | 9002.9 | 23337.30 | 62210.35 |
| 2023-02-12 | 354.5 | 5.00 | 10.00 | 24.0 | 88.00 | 1789.50 | 8338.7 | 24881.15 | 61104.45 |
| 2023-02-19 | 349.0 | 5.00 | 11.00 | 24.0 | 87.00 | 1669.25 | 9243.8 | 28239.60 | 63562.07 |
| 2023-02-26 | 344.5 | 5.00 | 11.00 | 28.0 | 89.00 | 1895.25 | 8939.4 | 27898.65 | 78843.12 |
| 2023-03-05 | 380.0 | 5.00 | 11.00 | 24.9 | 88.00 | 1837.25 | 9552.0 | 28936.30 | 73592.07 |
| 2023-03-12 | 419.5 | 6.00 | 12.00 | 26.0 | 90.00 | 1739.75 | 9369.6 | 28075.30 | 72353.05 |
| 2023-03-19 | 370.0 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 23.9 | 85.75 | 1977.75 | 8085.2 | 27031.70 | 72017.00 |
| 2023-03-26 | 371.0 | 5.00 | 10.95 | 24.0 | 85.00 | 1919.00 | 8625.5 | 33546.50 | 91639.82 |
| 2023-04-02 | 386.5 | 6.00 | 12.00 | 23.0 | 84.75 | 1775.00 | 8473.7 | 29423.90 | 74212.65 |
| 2023-04-09 | 352.5 | 6.00 | 9.95 | 24.0 | 81.00 | 1728.00 | 7927.6 | 27231.35 | 82207.40 |
| 2023-04-16 | 330.0 | 4.97 | 9.00 | 20.0 | 78.75 | 1755.00 | 7986.2 | 24594.95 | 78655.47 |
| 2023-04-23 | 309.0 | 5.00 | 11.00 | 22.0 | 76.00 | 1544.25 | 7765.8 | 22494.40 | 70931.07 |
| 2023-04-30 | 319.0 | 5.00 | 10.95 | 21.0 | 76.75 | 1501.00 | 7196.4 | 19242.75 | 51995.38 |
| 2023-05-07 | 289.0 | 4.97 | 9.00 | 20.0 | 73.75 | 1521.75 | 6852.6 | 22021.25 | 58584.12 |
| 2023-05-14 | 278.5 | 3.00 | 8.00 | 17.0 | 66.00 | 1340.25 | 6629.3 | 20500.80 | 68613.30 |
| 2023-05-21 | 274.5 | 3.00 | 8.00 | 19.0 | 70.00 | 1373.25 | 6375.5 | 18778.50 | 49692.65 |
| 2023-05-28 | 252.5 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 17.0 | 55.00 | 1225.25 | 6986.6 | 17289.40 | 48343.70 |
| 2023-06-04 | 223.5 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 13.0 | 53.00 | 1177.50 | 5042.0 | 14688.55 | 36226.60 |
| 2023-06-11 | 220.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 15.0 | 52.00 | 993.50 | 5080.5 | 17972.15 | 50850.93 |
| 2023-06-18 | 194.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 12.0 | 44.00 | 927.50 | 4150.0 | 11892.40 | 45205.45 |
| 2023-06-25 | 167.5 | 2.98 | 6.00 | 12.0 | 41.00 | 884.00 | 4066.2 | 12022.90 | 35234.07 |
| 2023-07-02 | 158.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 9.0 | 34.00 | 770.75 | 3271.7 | 11639.20 | 32127.00 |
| 2023-07-09 | 142.5 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 9.0 | 32.00 | 690.50 | 2967.3 | 9275.25 | 26668.35 |
| 2023-07-16 | 117.5 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 7.9 | 25.00 | 571.50 | 2714.5 | 7094.00 | 20088.50 |
| 2023-07-23 | 98.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 24.00 | 528.25 | 2482.3 | 8240.10 | 17873.27 |
| 2023-07-30 | 95.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 22.00 | 432.00 | 2104.0 | 6729.25 | 16352.37 |
| 2023-08-06 | 83.5 | 1.00 | 2.95 | 5.0 | 21.00 | 425.50 | 2018.9 | 5713.55 | 20837.80 |
| 2023-08-13 | 80.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 18.00 | 416.00 | 1767.9 | 5749.15 | 14174.05 |
| 2023-08-20 | 74.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 17.00 | 368.25 | 1928.3 | 5738.45 | 17379.55 |
| 2023-08-27 | 69.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 17.00 | 361.25 | 1678.2 | 5058.85 | 14596.40 |
| 2023-09-03 | 71.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 17.00 | 308.50 | 1721.3 | 5221.95 | 14061.88 |
| 2023-09-10 | 75.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 17.00 | 365.00 | 1766.0 | 5423.40 | 14344.67 |
| 2023-09-17 | 83.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 19.00 | 370.00 | 2141.4 | 5330.80 | 16447.58 |
| 2023-09-24 | 91.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 22.00 | 467.75 | 2099.1 | 6349.95 | 17971.95 |
| 2023-10-01 | 108.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 27.00 | 543.00 | 2659.1 | 8210.35 | 22636.57 |
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