Prediction 2482
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Maranhão |
Description:
Validation test 1 for MA
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 19.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 36.00 | 63.0 | 90.10 | 128.00 |
| 2022-10-16 | 21.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 38.00 | 66.0 | 101.00 | 155.00 |
| 2022-10-23 | 21.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 40.00 | 68.0 | 96.00 | 151.00 |
| 2022-10-30 | 22.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 39.25 | 72.1 | 105.05 | 145.05 |
| 2022-11-06 | 23.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 41.00 | 72.0 | 103.05 | 151.05 |
| 2022-11-13 | 23.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 40.00 | 76.0 | 118.05 | 169.05 |
| 2022-11-20 | 24.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 43.00 | 77.0 | 116.00 | 166.03 |
| 2022-11-27 | 27.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 46.00 | 80.1 | 116.05 | 157.03 |
| 2022-12-04 | 27.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.9 | 15.0 | 48.00 | 85.0 | 126.00 | 190.03 |
| 2022-12-11 | 29.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 54.00 | 97.0 | 135.05 | 209.03 |
| 2022-12-18 | 34.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 61.00 | 111.0 | 160.00 | 232.00 |
| 2022-12-25 | 42.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 13.9 | 23.0 | 78.00 | 138.0 | 193.20 | 277.02 |
| 2023-01-01 | 59.0 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 102.25 | 173.0 | 244.05 | 336.25 |
| 2023-01-08 | 74.0 | 12.00 | 17.00 | 23.0 | 41.0 | 134.00 | 249.0 | 355.00 | 471.10 |
| 2023-01-15 | 99.0 | 16.00 | 23.00 | 33.9 | 58.0 | 178.00 | 310.3 | 471.10 | 707.33 |
| 2023-01-22 | 125.0 | 22.00 | 29.00 | 40.9 | 69.0 | 226.00 | 389.0 | 580.05 | 830.12 |
| 2023-01-29 | 156.0 | 26.98 | 36.00 | 49.0 | 84.0 | 284.00 | 537.3 | 781.10 | 1049.00 |
| 2023-02-05 | 183.0 | 31.00 | 44.00 | 60.0 | 103.0 | 338.00 | 597.5 | 890.05 | 1200.80 |
| 2023-02-12 | 196.0 | 38.00 | 50.00 | 70.0 | 114.0 | 352.00 | 654.6 | 934.25 | 1365.03 |
| 2023-02-19 | 217.0 | 39.00 | 52.00 | 72.0 | 124.0 | 383.00 | 657.1 | 977.85 | 1459.00 |
| 2023-02-26 | 221.0 | 40.98 | 56.00 | 76.0 | 126.0 | 385.00 | 680.2 | 1035.35 | 1534.05 |
| 2023-03-05 | 221.0 | 44.00 | 56.95 | 77.0 | 122.0 | 380.00 | 650.0 | 935.10 | 1187.03 |
| 2023-03-12 | 215.0 | 39.00 | 52.00 | 73.0 | 119.0 | 373.00 | 628.1 | 971.30 | 1421.67 |
| 2023-03-19 | 200.0 | 41.98 | 54.00 | 72.0 | 116.0 | 358.00 | 616.4 | 901.00 | 1253.40 |
| 2023-03-26 | 203.5 | 38.98 | 50.00 | 69.0 | 115.0 | 360.25 | 638.0 | 891.05 | 1223.15 |
| 2023-04-02 | 203.5 | 41.00 | 52.00 | 72.0 | 116.0 | 349.25 | 605.2 | 858.25 | 1204.03 |
| 2023-04-09 | 204.5 | 40.00 | 52.00 | 72.0 | 119.0 | 361.00 | 637.0 | 938.10 | 1348.17 |
| 2023-04-16 | 209.5 | 40.00 | 53.00 | 72.0 | 119.0 | 370.00 | 644.1 | 902.05 | 1290.12 |
| 2023-04-23 | 203.0 | 37.98 | 51.00 | 67.0 | 116.0 | 341.00 | 587.2 | 862.00 | 1187.10 |
| 2023-04-30 | 189.0 | 37.98 | 49.00 | 67.0 | 112.0 | 338.25 | 556.2 | 804.35 | 1213.50 |
| 2023-05-07 | 168.0 | 32.00 | 43.00 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 305.25 | 520.2 | 767.30 | 1092.08 |
| 2023-05-14 | 160.0 | 28.00 | 40.00 | 58.0 | 95.0 | 287.00 | 513.3 | 724.00 | 984.48 |
| 2023-05-21 | 143.0 | 25.98 | 34.00 | 49.0 | 83.0 | 257.25 | 437.1 | 661.30 | 911.02 |
| 2023-05-28 | 122.0 | 23.00 | 30.00 | 42.0 | 72.0 | 219.25 | 398.0 | 616.10 | 892.12 |
| 2023-06-04 | 104.0 | 19.00 | 24.95 | 35.0 | 61.0 | 188.25 | 323.0 | 493.15 | 707.10 |
| 2023-06-11 | 90.0 | 17.00 | 23.00 | 31.0 | 50.0 | 155.00 | 250.2 | 373.15 | 545.48 |
| 2023-06-18 | 75.0 | 14.00 | 19.00 | 25.0 | 43.0 | 124.00 | 215.1 | 305.10 | 439.15 |
| 2023-06-25 | 63.0 | 10.00 | 15.00 | 21.0 | 36.0 | 108.25 | 186.0 | 273.20 | 389.23 |
| 2023-07-02 | 52.0 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 91.00 | 164.0 | 255.00 | 367.23 |
| 2023-07-09 | 46.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 14.0 | 25.0 | 80.00 | 149.0 | 224.00 | 337.07 |
| 2023-07-16 | 40.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 70.00 | 129.0 | 196.05 | 277.02 |
| 2023-07-23 | 36.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 63.00 | 117.0 | 165.05 | 233.20 |
| 2023-07-30 | 35.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 60.00 | 106.0 | 161.00 | 240.10 |
| 2023-08-06 | 31.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 55.00 | 95.0 | 143.00 | 202.03 |
| 2023-08-13 | 29.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 51.00 | 92.0 | 132.05 | 184.07 |
| 2023-08-20 | 28.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 48.00 | 89.0 | 132.00 | 199.03 |
| 2023-08-27 | 27.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 47.00 | 81.0 | 119.00 | 180.00 |
| 2023-09-03 | 25.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 44.00 | 78.1 | 114.00 | 161.00 |
| 2023-09-10 | 23.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 42.00 | 77.0 | 106.00 | 157.03 |
| 2023-09-17 | 22.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 40.00 | 72.0 | 106.05 | 153.05 |
| 2023-09-24 | 20.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 37.00 | 67.0 | 98.05 | 126.03 |
| 2023-10-01 | 20.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 38.00 | 65.0 | 97.00 | 132.03 |
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