Prediction 2483
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation test 1 for MG
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 380.0 | 141.00 | 159.00 | 183.0 | 251.00 | 639.75 | 1226.2 | 2150.45 | 3767.62 |
| 2022-10-16 | 412.0 | 143.97 | 168.95 | 193.0 | 267.00 | 692.75 | 1428.6 | 2519.00 | 4424.65 |
| 2022-10-23 | 441.0 | 151.97 | 181.00 | 211.0 | 285.75 | 756.00 | 1526.2 | 2547.15 | 4408.82 |
| 2022-10-30 | 472.0 | 158.97 | 184.00 | 227.9 | 311.00 | 848.00 | 1604.4 | 2809.40 | 5229.07 |
| 2022-11-06 | 504.5 | 186.00 | 213.00 | 251.9 | 340.00 | 892.00 | 1703.6 | 3088.10 | 5550.65 |
| 2022-11-13 | 563.5 | 197.97 | 234.95 | 278.0 | 379.00 | 973.50 | 1978.2 | 3627.35 | 6073.48 |
| 2022-11-20 | 632.0 | 223.00 | 262.90 | 309.0 | 425.00 | 1098.50 | 1979.1 | 3298.65 | 6077.30 |
| 2022-11-27 | 708.0 | 252.97 | 289.95 | 339.0 | 470.00 | 1253.25 | 2430.3 | 3828.75 | 6249.25 |
| 2022-12-04 | 800.5 | 287.98 | 328.95 | 388.0 | 524.00 | 1334.25 | 2618.6 | 5020.70 | 8596.67 |
| 2022-12-11 | 887.0 | 326.90 | 373.00 | 438.0 | 598.00 | 1541.00 | 2931.8 | 4542.10 | 8084.25 |
| 2022-12-18 | 1040.5 | 369.98 | 408.00 | 485.9 | 678.00 | 1716.25 | 3208.3 | 5422.55 | 9248.45 |
| 2022-12-25 | 1193.0 | 426.93 | 501.00 | 584.0 | 825.75 | 2014.00 | 3796.2 | 6279.85 | 10212.05 |
| 2023-01-01 | 1454.0 | 519.95 | 611.75 | 722.9 | 973.00 | 2366.75 | 4352.4 | 7059.40 | 11348.97 |
| 2023-01-08 | 1741.5 | 621.98 | 751.00 | 879.0 | 1166.75 | 2881.75 | 5181.4 | 8760.30 | 14346.55 |
| 2023-01-15 | 2062.0 | 751.95 | 873.85 | 1022.9 | 1374.00 | 3332.75 | 5961.1 | 9468.50 | 15323.45 |
| 2023-01-22 | 2399.5 | 909.92 | 1017.95 | 1214.7 | 1634.00 | 3912.00 | 6804.7 | 12133.70 | 19364.80 |
| 2023-01-29 | 2843.0 | 1050.00 | 1227.95 | 1419.9 | 1894.25 | 4679.00 | 8268.5 | 12938.10 | 21523.62 |
| 2023-02-05 | 3195.0 | 1188.97 | 1378.85 | 1640.9 | 2204.50 | 5096.00 | 8811.5 | 13920.25 | 21125.10 |
| 2023-02-12 | 3546.5 | 1315.97 | 1529.00 | 1795.9 | 2438.75 | 5587.50 | 9883.9 | 14974.90 | 25883.40 |
| 2023-02-19 | 3900.5 | 1502.67 | 1756.95 | 2076.9 | 2691.50 | 6179.25 | 11207.5 | 17472.85 | 30559.38 |
| 2023-02-26 | 4234.0 | 1654.35 | 1850.95 | 2221.3 | 2950.25 | 6959.25 | 12964.0 | 19483.15 | 39612.25 |
| 2023-03-05 | 4525.5 | 1749.90 | 2002.80 | 2361.8 | 3151.75 | 7336.25 | 13078.4 | 20136.90 | 35236.28 |
| 2023-03-12 | 4827.0 | 1888.78 | 2161.00 | 2518.7 | 3330.00 | 7725.25 | 14001.6 | 23516.30 | 36534.40 |
| 2023-03-19 | 5202.0 | 1925.97 | 2233.95 | 2632.0 | 3588.75 | 8389.50 | 15275.4 | 24440.70 | 46200.32 |
| 2023-03-26 | 5449.0 | 2000.72 | 2325.90 | 2718.7 | 3720.00 | 8801.50 | 15856.7 | 26040.10 | 43908.12 |
| 2023-04-02 | 5586.5 | 2147.85 | 2502.85 | 2987.3 | 3898.25 | 8943.25 | 15667.5 | 24711.70 | 39096.15 |
| 2023-04-09 | 5638.0 | 2127.93 | 2522.35 | 2994.8 | 3924.50 | 9324.50 | 17435.0 | 27010.80 | 38563.05 |
| 2023-04-16 | 5602.0 | 2166.82 | 2493.75 | 2903.2 | 3979.75 | 9127.75 | 16234.3 | 25332.60 | 41199.72 |
| 2023-04-23 | 5456.0 | 2046.97 | 2387.85 | 2780.2 | 3637.50 | 8849.25 | 15943.5 | 24209.75 | 43186.65 |
| 2023-04-30 | 4913.0 | 1865.75 | 2118.95 | 2557.4 | 3453.00 | 7963.50 | 14052.0 | 21106.25 | 32934.20 |
| 2023-05-07 | 4423.0 | 1697.92 | 1938.85 | 2280.7 | 3036.75 | 6925.25 | 12921.3 | 18982.15 | 29230.37 |
| 2023-05-14 | 3774.0 | 1443.95 | 1660.90 | 1952.0 | 2600.50 | 6003.75 | 10583.1 | 17233.60 | 27611.72 |
| 2023-05-21 | 3066.0 | 1142.88 | 1321.00 | 1557.8 | 2105.50 | 4901.50 | 8751.1 | 13045.00 | 20343.65 |
| 2023-05-28 | 2382.0 | 965.85 | 1108.85 | 1293.9 | 1681.00 | 3943.25 | 6817.1 | 10332.65 | 16776.88 |
| 2023-06-04 | 1895.0 | 763.77 | 834.95 | 971.0 | 1322.75 | 3032.25 | 5561.6 | 7809.05 | 12856.17 |
| 2023-06-11 | 1463.5 | 583.00 | 654.00 | 749.9 | 1027.00 | 2387.50 | 4114.1 | 6307.80 | 10999.38 |
| 2023-06-18 | 1130.0 | 426.98 | 499.95 | 573.0 | 774.75 | 1762.25 | 3022.3 | 4844.20 | 7919.45 |
| 2023-06-25 | 868.5 | 335.98 | 383.95 | 453.9 | 598.00 | 1359.25 | 2477.1 | 3715.40 | 6183.73 |
| 2023-07-02 | 673.0 | 263.98 | 311.95 | 358.8 | 468.75 | 1033.00 | 1891.9 | 2848.05 | 4327.85 |
| 2023-07-09 | 542.0 | 204.97 | 235.95 | 279.0 | 377.00 | 846.50 | 1443.3 | 2364.30 | 3758.10 |
| 2023-07-16 | 447.0 | 178.00 | 204.95 | 239.0 | 314.75 | 702.00 | 1233.1 | 1862.90 | 3054.75 |
| 2023-07-23 | 378.0 | 145.00 | 168.00 | 201.0 | 268.75 | 601.00 | 1104.1 | 1565.05 | 2545.55 |
| 2023-07-30 | 347.5 | 128.97 | 152.00 | 176.0 | 238.75 | 552.00 | 959.3 | 1355.30 | 2473.10 |
| 2023-08-06 | 305.0 | 123.00 | 137.95 | 163.0 | 223.00 | 493.00 | 841.3 | 1344.35 | 2183.00 |
| 2023-08-13 | 293.5 | 110.00 | 127.00 | 149.9 | 206.00 | 474.00 | 826.6 | 1338.65 | 2173.62 |
| 2023-08-20 | 291.0 | 107.97 | 123.00 | 150.0 | 197.00 | 463.25 | 830.1 | 1287.80 | 2169.40 |
| 2023-08-27 | 289.0 | 106.00 | 124.00 | 145.0 | 195.75 | 476.00 | 856.4 | 1326.60 | 2276.10 |
| 2023-09-03 | 292.0 | 106.00 | 125.00 | 149.0 | 199.00 | 485.25 | 879.4 | 1435.25 | 2226.20 |
| 2023-09-10 | 302.5 | 108.00 | 128.00 | 151.0 | 208.00 | 493.25 | 965.2 | 1608.15 | 2451.80 |
| 2023-09-17 | 319.0 | 114.00 | 135.00 | 156.9 | 212.75 | 526.25 | 961.2 | 1528.40 | 2302.25 |
| 2023-09-24 | 332.5 | 118.97 | 141.00 | 168.0 | 225.00 | 559.00 | 1028.4 | 1706.35 | 2945.03 |
| 2023-10-01 | 356.0 | 125.97 | 141.95 | 173.0 | 239.00 | 597.25 | 1166.9 | 1741.35 | 3084.15 |
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