Prediction 2484
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 1 for MS
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 85.0 | 12.00 | 16.00 | 23.0 | 43.00 | 175.00 | 381.0 | 628.25 | 1118.10 |
| 2022-10-16 | 100.0 | 13.00 | 19.95 | 27.0 | 50.00 | 203.25 | 422.1 | 705.10 | 1299.50 |
| 2022-10-23 | 110.0 | 16.00 | 21.95 | 30.0 | 57.00 | 241.00 | 487.2 | 757.20 | 1388.00 |
| 2022-10-30 | 133.0 | 19.00 | 26.00 | 38.0 | 70.00 | 278.00 | 611.6 | 991.50 | 1671.95 |
| 2022-11-06 | 157.0 | 22.00 | 29.00 | 44.9 | 81.00 | 329.25 | 719.4 | 1148.05 | 1913.40 |
| 2022-11-13 | 189.0 | 21.00 | 34.00 | 52.0 | 93.00 | 396.25 | 788.5 | 1325.35 | 2235.72 |
| 2022-11-20 | 223.5 | 30.00 | 44.00 | 60.9 | 111.00 | 470.00 | 1001.3 | 1720.35 | 3143.40 |
| 2022-11-27 | 244.0 | 34.00 | 48.00 | 68.0 | 120.00 | 536.00 | 1155.5 | 2121.05 | 3500.00 |
| 2022-12-04 | 279.0 | 36.95 | 53.00 | 78.9 | 143.00 | 602.00 | 1285.1 | 2142.35 | 3691.97 |
| 2022-12-11 | 319.0 | 49.00 | 64.00 | 88.0 | 155.00 | 671.25 | 1439.6 | 2404.85 | 4135.02 |
| 2022-12-18 | 341.0 | 53.00 | 68.00 | 96.0 | 171.00 | 770.00 | 1622.3 | 2774.85 | 4742.18 |
| 2022-12-25 | 386.0 | 47.00 | 76.95 | 110.0 | 198.75 | 859.25 | 1913.4 | 3198.00 | 5771.50 |
| 2023-01-01 | 458.0 | 63.00 | 88.00 | 129.0 | 225.00 | 987.50 | 2015.4 | 3454.70 | 5831.98 |
| 2023-01-08 | 516.0 | 73.00 | 97.95 | 145.0 | 261.00 | 1124.50 | 2469.6 | 3982.05 | 7314.30 |
| 2023-01-15 | 597.0 | 72.90 | 108.95 | 158.9 | 292.00 | 1263.00 | 2618.1 | 4174.55 | 7207.25 |
| 2023-01-22 | 660.0 | 94.00 | 132.00 | 190.9 | 325.00 | 1405.50 | 2666.1 | 4534.00 | 8914.92 |
| 2023-01-29 | 720.0 | 94.97 | 129.00 | 198.0 | 370.75 | 1537.50 | 3206.0 | 5878.95 | 9856.88 |
| 2023-02-05 | 763.0 | 111.97 | 149.00 | 207.0 | 373.50 | 1637.75 | 3363.3 | 6131.10 | 9427.12 |
| 2023-02-12 | 798.5 | 118.00 | 153.95 | 224.0 | 386.00 | 1685.25 | 3498.4 | 5896.80 | 10986.42 |
| 2023-02-19 | 820.0 | 113.95 | 157.95 | 221.9 | 412.50 | 1693.50 | 3469.9 | 6114.25 | 9937.05 |
| 2023-02-26 | 834.0 | 125.92 | 164.95 | 224.8 | 420.50 | 1782.00 | 4042.8 | 7021.65 | 11202.65 |
| 2023-03-05 | 849.5 | 126.95 | 176.90 | 243.8 | 437.75 | 1760.00 | 3793.2 | 6453.10 | 10668.30 |
| 2023-03-12 | 870.0 | 128.97 | 170.95 | 247.0 | 446.75 | 1777.00 | 3741.3 | 6377.15 | 10003.62 |
| 2023-03-19 | 852.0 | 110.00 | 161.80 | 237.8 | 445.00 | 1762.25 | 3608.3 | 5614.95 | 9388.15 |
| 2023-03-26 | 819.5 | 112.97 | 166.00 | 236.0 | 411.00 | 1770.50 | 3657.3 | 6163.30 | 9877.35 |
| 2023-04-02 | 864.0 | 128.00 | 160.95 | 232.9 | 427.75 | 1656.25 | 3539.2 | 5931.65 | 10417.05 |
| 2023-04-09 | 780.5 | 112.97 | 156.95 | 215.0 | 386.00 | 1732.00 | 3452.1 | 5729.70 | 9690.00 |
| 2023-04-16 | 758.0 | 105.90 | 138.00 | 206.9 | 377.00 | 1629.25 | 3312.0 | 5471.15 | 8739.50 |
| 2023-04-23 | 701.0 | 93.00 | 129.00 | 185.0 | 344.50 | 1510.25 | 3177.9 | 5846.25 | 9299.65 |
| 2023-04-30 | 643.5 | 92.97 | 118.00 | 165.0 | 315.00 | 1324.75 | 2856.4 | 4768.65 | 7441.40 |
| 2023-05-07 | 555.5 | 76.97 | 104.95 | 147.0 | 274.00 | 1156.75 | 2417.1 | 4346.00 | 7039.00 |
| 2023-05-14 | 463.5 | 66.00 | 87.95 | 127.0 | 227.75 | 1023.50 | 2200.1 | 3701.00 | 6577.07 |
| 2023-05-21 | 382.0 | 55.00 | 75.00 | 105.0 | 195.00 | 804.25 | 1660.0 | 2947.70 | 5255.40 |
| 2023-05-28 | 307.0 | 43.98 | 66.00 | 88.0 | 162.00 | 671.25 | 1462.3 | 2628.10 | 4353.38 |
| 2023-06-04 | 250.5 | 34.00 | 48.00 | 70.0 | 126.00 | 555.50 | 1206.4 | 2122.15 | 3905.10 |
| 2023-06-11 | 211.0 | 28.00 | 38.00 | 55.0 | 104.00 | 453.25 | 944.5 | 1791.15 | 2901.47 |
| 2023-06-18 | 162.5 | 23.98 | 31.95 | 47.0 | 81.00 | 348.25 | 746.1 | 1293.15 | 2019.58 |
| 2023-06-25 | 140.5 | 20.00 | 27.00 | 37.0 | 69.00 | 296.00 | 654.3 | 1206.80 | 2038.08 |
| 2023-07-02 | 107.0 | 14.00 | 20.00 | 29.0 | 55.00 | 234.00 | 459.1 | 828.35 | 1431.65 |
| 2023-07-09 | 89.0 | 12.00 | 17.00 | 25.0 | 45.00 | 190.00 | 398.1 | 709.40 | 1203.47 |
| 2023-07-16 | 77.0 | 10.00 | 14.00 | 20.0 | 39.00 | 155.00 | 323.1 | 554.25 | 949.17 |
| 2023-07-23 | 68.0 | 8.00 | 11.95 | 18.0 | 34.00 | 136.00 | 267.0 | 449.10 | 753.12 |
| 2023-07-30 | 60.0 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 15.0 | 30.00 | 120.00 | 265.1 | 442.50 | 738.20 |
| 2023-08-06 | 54.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 15.0 | 27.00 | 109.00 | 235.1 | 437.25 | 739.30 |
| 2023-08-13 | 51.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 14.0 | 26.00 | 99.00 | 220.0 | 397.15 | 666.65 |
| 2023-08-20 | 48.0 | 6.97 | 9.00 | 14.0 | 26.00 | 102.00 | 205.0 | 364.25 | 581.67 |
| 2023-08-27 | 51.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 26.00 | 103.25 | 220.0 | 363.05 | 557.42 |
| 2023-09-03 | 52.5 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 14.0 | 27.00 | 110.00 | 230.0 | 380.10 | 556.55 |
| 2023-09-10 | 56.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 15.0 | 27.00 | 112.00 | 231.1 | 382.25 | 685.45 |
| 2023-09-17 | 62.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 17.0 | 31.00 | 128.00 | 268.1 | 417.05 | 633.08 |
| 2023-09-24 | 66.0 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 18.0 | 34.00 | 134.00 | 286.0 | 491.40 | 755.27 |
| 2023-10-01 | 73.0 | 10.00 | 14.95 | 22.0 | 38.00 | 157.00 | 323.3 | 569.10 | 966.15 |
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