Prediction 2498
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation test 1 for SP
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 649.0 | 213.97 | 245.95 | 300.0 | 422.00 | 1057.50 | 1918.9 | 3023.10 | 4829.95 |
| 2022-10-16 | 691.0 | 224.93 | 263.00 | 326.9 | 456.00 | 1135.25 | 1967.2 | 3355.55 | 4962.80 |
| 2022-10-23 | 741.0 | 242.95 | 281.90 | 332.0 | 483.00 | 1214.00 | 2154.3 | 3409.40 | 5621.60 |
| 2022-10-30 | 772.5 | 255.97 | 304.00 | 372.9 | 502.75 | 1280.00 | 2281.0 | 3518.40 | 5180.07 |
| 2022-11-06 | 819.0 | 269.98 | 317.00 | 389.0 | 548.00 | 1389.00 | 2428.7 | 3831.65 | 7146.43 |
| 2022-11-13 | 894.0 | 300.98 | 352.00 | 420.0 | 581.75 | 1466.00 | 2554.3 | 3949.75 | 7207.98 |
| 2022-11-20 | 980.5 | 323.00 | 389.90 | 462.0 | 639.75 | 1611.50 | 2945.4 | 4554.15 | 6947.38 |
| 2022-11-27 | 1027.0 | 337.00 | 404.00 | 484.0 | 672.00 | 1714.50 | 3036.3 | 4952.20 | 7703.62 |
| 2022-12-04 | 1180.0 | 384.00 | 453.00 | 542.9 | 764.75 | 2011.25 | 3718.1 | 5505.35 | 8588.60 |
| 2022-12-11 | 1300.0 | 412.98 | 494.95 | 590.6 | 822.00 | 2152.50 | 3773.6 | 6163.05 | 10365.73 |
| 2022-12-18 | 1501.5 | 463.00 | 537.00 | 666.9 | 961.00 | 2459.00 | 4473.7 | 6850.10 | 11145.45 |
| 2022-12-25 | 1726.5 | 560.00 | 645.90 | 779.8 | 1101.00 | 2963.25 | 5234.3 | 8330.55 | 14347.23 |
| 2023-01-01 | 2076.5 | 647.88 | 766.80 | 916.9 | 1322.00 | 3723.25 | 6843.4 | 11811.05 | 18556.33 |
| 2023-01-08 | 2570.5 | 735.00 | 871.95 | 1092.9 | 1605.75 | 4492.75 | 8385.1 | 13686.70 | 24973.97 |
| 2023-01-15 | 3182.5 | 897.98 | 1085.80 | 1328.9 | 1945.00 | 5489.00 | 9985.2 | 16107.20 | 24716.42 |
| 2023-01-22 | 3857.0 | 1118.90 | 1314.00 | 1630.0 | 2422.00 | 6623.00 | 12291.7 | 22370.05 | 36167.30 |
| 2023-01-29 | 4443.0 | 1302.95 | 1563.00 | 1906.9 | 2719.50 | 7782.25 | 13965.3 | 21869.15 | 40115.57 |
| 2023-02-05 | 5368.0 | 1489.90 | 1760.95 | 2235.8 | 3277.50 | 9173.00 | 17749.3 | 27738.05 | 45892.90 |
| 2023-02-12 | 5876.5 | 1697.53 | 2021.00 | 2523.0 | 3694.50 | 10223.00 | 18881.8 | 33059.95 | 54356.35 |
| 2023-02-19 | 6413.0 | 1924.72 | 2261.80 | 2822.9 | 4153.50 | 11131.50 | 20230.1 | 31597.80 | 48721.45 |
| 2023-02-26 | 7103.0 | 2178.88 | 2521.95 | 2981.7 | 4379.50 | 12106.50 | 22533.9 | 33808.15 | 63661.55 |
| 2023-03-05 | 7574.0 | 2347.90 | 2723.85 | 3291.2 | 4784.00 | 12878.75 | 23659.1 | 38405.00 | 60557.07 |
| 2023-03-12 | 7937.5 | 2434.70 | 2865.15 | 3469.9 | 4974.00 | 13602.50 | 24097.7 | 37631.85 | 65668.92 |
| 2023-03-19 | 8488.5 | 2587.68 | 3132.95 | 3746.9 | 5276.75 | 14247.50 | 26810.8 | 44354.00 | 72205.40 |
| 2023-03-26 | 8809.0 | 2941.68 | 3249.50 | 4026.7 | 5729.00 | 14905.75 | 26376.9 | 42704.60 | 71237.67 |
| 2023-04-02 | 9290.0 | 2749.88 | 3426.30 | 4195.0 | 5982.75 | 15408.25 | 28640.0 | 43284.40 | 69254.20 |
| 2023-04-09 | 9479.0 | 3122.82 | 3633.05 | 4263.9 | 6056.75 | 15673.25 | 28869.5 | 46247.80 | 74692.30 |
| 2023-04-16 | 9315.5 | 2966.80 | 3533.95 | 4374.0 | 6109.25 | 15201.00 | 26696.1 | 43206.30 | 74055.32 |
| 2023-04-23 | 8957.0 | 2830.80 | 3333.00 | 4039.4 | 5870.25 | 15277.00 | 26819.7 | 41376.55 | 68990.12 |
| 2023-04-30 | 8068.0 | 2631.80 | 3116.90 | 3779.3 | 5307.75 | 13687.75 | 23746.9 | 37746.70 | 63390.47 |
| 2023-05-07 | 7003.0 | 2329.90 | 2733.85 | 3310.0 | 4571.00 | 12015.25 | 21332.0 | 33166.70 | 51779.82 |
| 2023-05-14 | 5796.5 | 1931.00 | 2237.90 | 2702.0 | 3721.50 | 9770.25 | 17175.5 | 29387.25 | 44704.32 |
| 2023-05-21 | 4653.0 | 1528.60 | 1742.95 | 2132.5 | 3034.50 | 7760.25 | 14511.7 | 24665.40 | 37173.03 |
| 2023-05-28 | 3733.5 | 1195.90 | 1440.90 | 1726.8 | 2427.75 | 6178.50 | 11135.2 | 17034.05 | 28639.50 |
| 2023-06-04 | 2918.5 | 915.75 | 1091.00 | 1356.8 | 1863.00 | 4868.75 | 8998.3 | 14003.50 | 24648.65 |
| 2023-06-11 | 2273.5 | 742.88 | 836.90 | 1014.8 | 1470.75 | 3718.25 | 6913.7 | 10691.60 | 19658.30 |
| 2023-06-18 | 1791.0 | 563.00 | 640.00 | 789.0 | 1122.75 | 2916.00 | 5131.2 | 8393.05 | 15198.80 |
| 2023-06-25 | 1343.0 | 425.85 | 511.75 | 617.9 | 883.00 | 2168.50 | 4083.4 | 6332.15 | 9931.05 |
| 2023-07-02 | 1077.5 | 333.00 | 392.00 | 473.8 | 686.75 | 1778.25 | 3131.8 | 5480.20 | 8242.52 |
| 2023-07-09 | 856.0 | 277.93 | 328.00 | 395.0 | 561.00 | 1468.25 | 2599.1 | 3768.85 | 6289.23 |
| 2023-07-16 | 719.0 | 225.97 | 266.90 | 320.0 | 455.75 | 1203.25 | 2209.2 | 3416.10 | 6066.00 |
| 2023-07-23 | 603.0 | 193.00 | 225.95 | 269.9 | 394.00 | 1044.00 | 1894.0 | 3149.70 | 5302.43 |
| 2023-07-30 | 558.5 | 168.00 | 195.95 | 245.9 | 356.00 | 945.25 | 1638.5 | 2509.90 | 4735.07 |
| 2023-08-06 | 495.5 | 154.97 | 177.00 | 220.0 | 319.00 | 827.25 | 1468.2 | 2565.00 | 4392.52 |
| 2023-08-13 | 468.5 | 147.00 | 169.95 | 206.9 | 301.00 | 790.25 | 1422.1 | 2395.20 | 4405.82 |
| 2023-08-20 | 457.5 | 131.97 | 160.00 | 203.9 | 291.00 | 785.25 | 1463.6 | 2144.05 | 3692.45 |
| 2023-08-27 | 471.0 | 146.00 | 176.00 | 209.0 | 305.00 | 763.25 | 1435.0 | 2238.15 | 3826.03 |
| 2023-09-03 | 483.0 | 147.00 | 170.95 | 208.9 | 308.75 | 801.00 | 1442.1 | 2452.00 | 4211.02 |
| 2023-09-10 | 489.5 | 155.97 | 185.95 | 227.9 | 320.00 | 824.00 | 1426.6 | 2387.05 | 3673.60 |
| 2023-09-17 | 538.0 | 173.93 | 203.00 | 246.9 | 346.00 | 906.00 | 1588.0 | 2438.75 | 3922.72 |
| 2023-09-24 | 578.5 | 180.00 | 214.90 | 268.0 | 379.00 | 974.50 | 1688.7 | 2687.20 | 4487.27 |
| 2023-10-01 | 609.0 | 195.95 | 229.00 | 274.0 | 386.75 | 1017.00 | 1813.3 | 2967.90 | 4409.80 |
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