Prediction 2908

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

Validation test 1 for UF=MA (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 8.00 1.52 1.99 2.76 4.59 14.08 23.78 32.89 41.96
2022-10-16 9.30 1.76 2.31 3.21 5.33 16.35 27.62 38.21 48.74
2022-10-23 10.80 2.05 2.68 3.73 6.19 19.00 32.09 44.39 56.62
2022-10-30 12.54 2.38 3.12 4.33 7.19 22.07 37.27 51.56 65.77
2022-11-06 14.57 2.76 3.62 5.03 8.35 25.63 43.29 59.89 76.40
2022-11-13 16.92 3.21 4.20 5.84 9.70 29.77 50.28 69.56 88.73
2022-11-20 19.65 3.72 4.88 6.78 11.27 34.57 58.39 80.78 103.04
2022-11-27 22.82 4.32 5.67 7.87 13.08 40.14 67.80 93.79 119.64
2022-12-04 26.49 5.02 6.58 9.14 15.19 46.60 78.70 108.87 138.88
2022-12-11 30.74 5.82 7.64 10.60 17.62 54.07 91.33 126.34 161.17
2022-12-18 35.65 6.76 8.86 12.30 20.44 62.73 105.95 146.56 186.96
2022-12-25 41.34 7.83 10.27 14.26 23.70 72.72 122.83 169.92 216.76
2023-01-01 47.89 9.07 11.90 16.52 27.46 84.25 142.30 196.85 251.12
2023-01-08 55.43 10.50 13.77 19.12 31.78 97.51 164.70 227.84 290.64
2023-01-15 64.07 12.14 15.92 22.10 36.73 112.71 190.37 263.35 335.94
2023-01-22 73.92 14.01 18.37 25.50 42.38 130.05 219.65 303.86 387.62
2023-01-29 85.09 16.12 21.14 29.36 48.79 149.70 252.85 349.78 446.20
2023-02-05 97.65 18.50 24.26 33.69 55.98 171.79 290.16 401.39 512.03
2023-02-12 111.60 21.14 27.73 38.50 63.98 196.33 331.61 458.73 585.19
2023-02-19 126.86 24.04 31.52 43.77 72.73 223.19 376.97 521.48 665.24
2023-02-26 143.23 27.14 35.59 49.42 82.12 251.97 425.60 588.74 751.04
2023-03-05 160.29 30.37 39.83 55.30 91.90 281.99 476.29 658.87 840.50
2023-03-12 177.42 33.62 44.08 61.21 101.72 312.13 527.21 729.31 930.35
2023-03-19 193.77 36.71 48.14 66.85 111.09 340.89 575.78 796.50 1016.07
2023-03-26 208.26 39.46 51.74 71.85 119.40 366.39 618.85 856.07 1092.06
2023-04-02 219.74 41.63 54.60 75.82 125.99 386.59 652.96 903.27 1152.27
2023-04-09 227.15 43.04 56.44 78.37 130.23 399.61 674.96 933.70 1191.09
2023-04-16 229.71 43.52 57.07 79.25 131.70 404.11 682.57 944.22 1204.51
2023-04-23 227.15 43.04 56.44 78.37 130.23 399.61 674.96 933.70 1191.09
2023-04-30 219.74 41.63 54.60 75.82 125.99 386.59 652.96 903.27 1152.27
2023-05-07 208.26 39.46 51.74 71.85 119.40 366.39 618.85 856.07 1092.06
2023-05-14 193.77 36.71 48.14 66.85 111.09 340.89 575.78 796.50 1016.07
2023-05-21 177.42 33.62 44.08 61.21 101.72 312.13 527.21 729.31 930.35
2023-05-28 160.29 30.37 39.83 55.30 91.90 281.99 476.29 658.87 840.50
2023-06-04 143.23 27.14 35.59 49.42 82.12 251.97 425.60 588.74 751.04
2023-06-11 126.86 24.04 31.52 43.77 72.73 223.19 376.97 521.48 665.24
2023-06-18 111.60 21.14 27.73 38.50 63.98 196.33 331.61 458.73 585.19
2023-06-25 97.65 18.50 24.26 33.69 55.98 171.79 290.16 401.39 512.03
2023-07-02 85.09 16.12 21.14 29.36 48.79 149.70 252.85 349.78 446.20
2023-07-09 73.92 14.01 18.37 25.50 42.38 130.05 219.65 303.86 387.62
2023-07-16 64.07 12.14 15.92 22.10 36.73 112.71 190.37 263.35 335.94
2023-07-23 55.43 10.50 13.77 19.12 31.78 97.51 164.70 227.84 290.64
2023-07-30 47.89 9.07 11.90 16.52 27.46 84.25 142.30 196.85 251.12
2023-08-06 41.34 7.83 10.27 14.26 23.70 72.72 122.83 169.92 216.76
2023-08-13 35.65 6.76 8.86 12.30 20.44 62.73 105.95 146.56 186.96
2023-08-20 30.74 5.82 7.64 10.60 17.62 54.07 91.33 126.34 161.17
2023-08-27 26.49 5.02 6.58 9.14 15.19 46.60 78.70 108.87 138.88
2023-09-03 22.82 4.32 5.67 7.87 13.08 40.14 67.80 93.79 119.64
2023-09-10 19.65 3.72 4.88 6.78 11.27 34.57 58.39 80.78 103.04
2023-09-17 16.92 3.21 4.20 5.84 9.70 29.77 50.28 69.56 88.73
2023-09-24 14.57 2.76 3.62 5.03 8.35 25.63 43.29 59.89 76.40
2023-10-01 6.89 1.30 1.71 2.38 3.95 12.12 20.47 28.31 36.12
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