Prediction 2935

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

Validation test 2 for UF=MA (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 8.20 1.68 2.18 2.93 4.72 14.23 22.85 30.48 38.29
2023-10-15 9.52 1.95 2.53 3.40 5.48 16.53 26.55 35.40 44.49
2023-10-22 11.06 2.27 2.94 3.95 6.36 19.20 30.84 41.13 51.68
2023-10-29 12.85 2.64 3.41 4.59 7.39 22.30 35.83 47.77 60.03
2023-11-05 14.92 3.06 3.96 5.33 8.59 25.90 41.61 55.49 69.73
2023-11-12 17.33 3.56 4.60 6.19 9.97 30.08 48.33 64.45 80.98
2023-11-19 20.13 4.13 5.35 7.19 11.58 34.93 56.13 74.84 94.04
2023-11-26 23.37 4.80 6.21 8.35 13.45 40.56 65.17 86.90 109.19
2023-12-03 27.13 5.57 7.21 9.69 15.61 47.09 75.65 100.88 126.75
2023-12-10 31.48 6.46 8.36 11.25 18.11 54.64 87.79 117.07 147.09
2023-12-17 36.52 7.50 9.70 13.04 21.01 63.39 101.83 135.80 170.63
2023-12-24 42.34 8.69 11.25 15.12 24.36 73.49 118.06 157.44 197.82
2023-12-31 49.05 10.07 13.03 17.52 28.22 85.14 136.78 182.40 229.19
2024-01-07 56.77 11.66 15.08 20.28 32.66 98.54 158.31 211.11 265.26
2024-01-14 65.61 13.47 17.43 23.44 37.76 113.89 182.98 244.01 306.60
2024-01-21 75.71 15.55 20.12 27.04 43.56 131.41 211.13 281.54 353.76
2024-01-28 87.15 17.90 23.16 31.13 50.15 151.27 243.03 324.09 407.22
2024-02-04 100.01 20.54 26.57 35.73 57.55 173.60 278.89 371.91 467.31
2024-02-11 114.30 23.47 30.37 40.83 65.77 198.40 318.74 425.05 534.07
2024-02-18 129.93 26.68 34.52 46.41 74.77 225.54 362.34 483.19 607.13
2024-02-25 146.69 30.12 38.98 52.40 84.41 254.63 409.07 545.51 685.44
2024-03-03 164.16 33.71 43.62 58.64 94.46 284.96 457.80 610.49 767.09
2024-03-10 181.71 37.31 48.28 64.91 104.56 315.42 506.74 675.75 849.09
2024-03-17 198.45 40.75 52.73 70.89 114.19 344.48 553.43 738.01 927.32
2024-03-24 213.30 43.80 56.67 76.19 122.74 370.24 594.82 793.21 996.68
2024-03-31 225.06 46.22 59.80 80.40 129.50 390.65 627.62 836.94 1051.62
2024-04-07 232.64 47.77 61.81 83.10 133.86 403.82 648.76 865.14 1087.05
2024-04-14 235.26 48.31 62.51 84.04 135.37 408.37 656.07 874.89 1099.30
2024-04-21 232.64 47.77 61.81 83.10 133.86 403.82 648.76 865.14 1087.05
2024-04-28 225.06 46.22 59.80 80.40 129.50 390.65 627.62 836.94 1051.62
2024-05-05 213.30 43.80 56.67 76.19 122.74 370.24 594.82 793.21 996.68
2024-05-12 198.45 40.75 52.73 70.89 114.19 344.48 553.43 738.01 927.32
2024-05-19 181.71 37.31 48.28 64.91 104.56 315.42 506.74 675.75 849.09
2024-05-26 164.16 33.71 43.62 58.64 94.46 284.96 457.80 610.49 767.09
2024-06-02 146.69 30.12 38.98 52.40 84.41 254.63 409.07 545.51 685.44
2024-06-09 129.93 26.68 34.52 46.41 74.77 225.54 362.34 483.19 607.13
2024-06-16 114.30 23.47 30.37 40.83 65.77 198.40 318.74 425.05 534.07
2024-06-23 100.01 20.54 26.57 35.73 57.55 173.60 278.89 371.91 467.31
2024-06-30 87.15 17.90 23.16 31.13 50.15 151.27 243.03 324.09 407.22
2024-07-07 75.71 15.55 20.12 27.04 43.56 131.41 211.13 281.54 353.76
2024-07-14 65.61 13.47 17.43 23.44 37.76 113.89 182.98 244.01 306.60
2024-07-21 56.77 11.66 15.08 20.28 32.66 98.54 158.31 211.11 265.26
2024-07-28 49.05 10.07 13.03 17.52 28.22 85.14 136.78 182.40 229.19
2024-08-04 42.34 8.69 11.25 15.12 24.36 73.49 118.06 157.44 197.82
2024-08-11 36.52 7.50 9.70 13.04 21.01 63.39 101.83 135.80 170.63
2024-08-18 31.48 6.46 8.36 11.25 18.11 54.64 87.79 117.07 147.09
2024-08-25 27.13 5.57 7.21 9.69 15.61 47.09 75.65 100.88 126.75
2024-09-01 23.37 4.80 6.21 8.35 13.45 40.56 65.17 86.90 109.19
2024-09-08 20.13 4.13 5.35 7.19 11.58 34.93 56.13 74.84 94.04
2024-09-15 17.33 3.56 4.60 6.19 9.97 30.08 48.33 64.45 80.98
2024-09-22 14.92 3.06 3.96 5.33 8.59 25.90 41.61 55.49 69.73
2024-09-29 7.05 1.45 1.87 2.52 4.06 12.24 19.67 26.23 32.96
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