Prediction 4050
| Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
|---|---|
| Author | Davide Nicola |
| ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Alagoas
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 24.50 | 24.06 | 24.06 | 24.06 | 24.50 | 24.67 | 150.35 | 151.43 | 152.19 |
| 2023-10-15 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 351.17 | 355.65 | 358.16 |
| 2023-10-22 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 416.83 | 422.48 | 425.39 |
| 2023-10-29 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 411.66 | 417.21 | 420.04 |
| 2023-11-05 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 383.30 | 388.39 | 390.86 |
| 2023-11-12 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 332.87 | 337.01 | 339.40 |
| 2023-11-19 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 304.74 | 308.35 | 310.42 |
| 2023-11-26 | 0.87 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.86 | 1.13 | 331.10 | 335.19 | 337.44 |
| 2023-12-03 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 324.01 | 328.01 | 330.21 |
| 2023-12-10 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 285.64 | 288.75 | 290.81 |
| 2023-12-17 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 265.46 | 268.26 | 269.83 |
| 2023-12-24 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 245.97 | 248.41 | 249.75 |
| 2023-12-31 | 0.74 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.73 | 0.97 | 249.24 | 251.72 | 253.03 |
| 2024-01-07 | 1.37 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 1.35 | 1.79 | 319.84 | 323.68 | 325.69 |
| 2024-01-14 | 0.32 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.31 | 0.45 | 327.94 | 331.78 | 333.90 |
| 2024-01-21 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 318.30 | 322.00 | 323.99 |
| 2024-01-28 | 0.41 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.40 | 0.57 | 316.83 | 320.42 | 322.38 |
| 2024-02-04 | 1.10 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 1.08 | 1.48 | 357.42 | 361.46 | 363.66 |
| 2024-02-11 | 0.71 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.69 | 0.96 | 371.20 | 375.49 | 377.81 |
| 2024-02-18 | 1.00 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.98 | 1.36 | 398.86 | 403.57 | 406.00 |
| 2024-02-25 | 0.62 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.60 | 0.85 | 406.50 | 411.27 | 413.66 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1.15 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1.13 | 1.55 | 425.63 | 430.58 | 432.97 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1.11 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1.09 | 1.50 | 451.29 | 456.60 | 459.16 |
| 2024-03-17 | 0.59 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.57 | 0.80 | 450.94 | 456.22 | 458.73 |
| 2024-03-24 | 0.58 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.57 | 0.78 | 442.50 | 447.58 | 449.93 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1.70 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 1.67 | 2.26 | 473.61 | 478.90 | 481.87 |
| 2024-04-07 | 0.45 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.44 | 0.60 | 470.34 | 475.51 | 478.48 |
| 2024-04-14 | 0.75 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.73 | 0.98 | 454.24 | 459.17 | 461.80 |
| 2024-04-21 | 2.10 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 2.06 | 2.77 | 487.34 | 492.51 | 495.54 |
| 2024-04-28 | 0.39 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.38 | 0.50 | 479.91 | 484.90 | 487.91 |
| 2024-05-05 | 0.17 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 451.02 | 455.69 | 458.26 |
| 2024-05-12 | 0.62 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.60 | 0.76 | 431.55 | 435.91 | 438.23 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1.58 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 1.56 | 2.03 | 437.49 | 441.84 | 444.26 |
| 2024-05-26 | 0.66 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.65 | 0.81 | 435.43 | 439.69 | 442.11 |
| 2024-06-02 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 411.81 | 415.66 | 417.88 |
| 2024-06-09 | 0.40 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 390.86 | 394.52 | 396.43 |
| 2024-06-16 | 0.75 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.74 | 0.91 | 379.79 | 383.34 | 385.10 |
| 2024-06-23 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 354.00 | 357.04 | 358.80 |
| 2024-06-30 | 0.24 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 322.63 | 325.17 | 326.52 |
| 2024-07-07 | 0.82 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.80 | 0.96 | 311.46 | 313.95 | 315.20 |
| 2024-07-14 | 0.69 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.68 | 0.78 | 304.76 | 307.10 | 308.31 |
| 2024-07-21 | 0.63 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.62 | 0.69 | 295.27 | 297.55 | 298.69 |
| 2024-07-28 | 0.29 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 283.29 | 285.46 | 286.54 |
| 2024-08-04 | 0.16 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 256.60 | 258.28 | 259.26 |
| 2024-08-11 | 0.66 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.65 | 0.71 | 243.75 | 245.32 | 246.27 |
| 2024-08-18 | 1.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 1.15 | 1.34 | 237.75 | 239.28 | 240.19 |
| 2024-08-25 | 2.18 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 2.15 | 2.60 | 246.56 | 248.11 | 249.08 |
| 2024-09-01 | 2.32 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 2.28 | 2.73 | 250.83 | 252.36 | 253.37 |
| 2024-09-08 | 2.87 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 2.83 | 3.39 | 262.59 | 264.29 | 265.32 |
| 2024-09-15 | 2.31 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.38 | 2.28 | 2.64 | 261.76 | 263.43 | 264.42 |
| 2024-09-22 | 3.83 | 0.56 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 3.77 | 4.46 | 272.59 | 274.38 | 275.40 |
| 2024-09-29 | 4.12 | 0.64 | 0.66 | 0.67 | 4.06 | 4.74 | 280.65 | 282.55 | 283.54 |
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