Prediction 4134
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=ES (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 42.0 | 67.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 46.0 | 73.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 48.0 | 76.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 58.0 | 88.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 72.0 | 106.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 73.0 | 108.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.0 | 93.0 | 133.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 125.0 | 173.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.0 | 149.0 | 203.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 125.0 | 183.0 | 245.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 122.0 | 180.0 | 242.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 58.0 | 134.0 | 196.0 | 264.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.0 | 197.0 | 277.0 | 364.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 123.0 | 234.0 | 326.0 | 426.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 143.0 | 266.0 | 368.0 | 480.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 153.0 | 283.0 | 392.0 | 511.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 149.0 | 280.0 | 389.0 | 508.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 61.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 159.0 | 297.0 | 412.0 | 540.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 183.0 | 337.0 | 466.0 | 608.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 78.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 190.0 | 349.0 | 484.0 | 632.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 92.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 214.0 | 389.0 | 537.0 | 701.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 110.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 245.0 | 439.0 | 605.0 | 788.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 120.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 263.0 | 470.0 | 647.0 | 844.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 115.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 256.0 | 462.0 | 638.0 | 835.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 118.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 263.0 | 475.0 | 657.0 | 861.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 133.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 290.0 | 520.0 | 718.0 | 941.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 131.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.0 | 288.0 | 520.0 | 720.0 | 946.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 131.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.0 | 290.0 | 526.0 | 731.0 | 962.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 283.0 | 518.0 | 721.0 | 952.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 122.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 278.0 | 511.0 | 715.0 | 945.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 119.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 274.0 | 507.0 | 711.0 | 943.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 99.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 241.0 | 456.0 | 644.0 | 859.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 85.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 219.0 | 421.0 | 599.0 | 802.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 82.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 216.0 | 418.0 | 596.0 | 800.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 74.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 202.0 | 398.0 | 571.0 | 769.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 173.0 | 352.0 | 510.0 | 691.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 161.0 | 333.0 | 486.0 | 662.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 148.0 | 313.0 | 460.0 | 629.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 133.0 | 290.0 | 430.0 | 592.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 112.0 | 255.0 | 384.0 | 533.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.0 | 224.0 | 342.0 | 480.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 214.0 | 329.0 | 464.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.0 | 210.0 | 325.0 | 459.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 73.0 | 194.0 | 305.0 | 433.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 69.0 | 189.0 | 298.0 | 425.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 58.0 | 170.0 | 273.0 | 393.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.0 | 154.0 | 251.0 | 365.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 141.0 | 234.0 | 343.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.0 | 167.0 | 271.0 | 393.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.0 | 157.0 | 257.0 | 376.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 142.0 | 237.0 | 349.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.0 | 156.0 | 257.0 | 377.0 |
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