Prediction 4140
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Pará |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=PA (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 30.0 | 110.0 | 160.0 | 196.0 | 231.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 102.0 | 152.0 | 187.0 | 222.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 97.0 | 145.0 | 180.0 | 214.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 32.0 | 117.0 | 171.0 | 210.0 | 248.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 79.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 39.0 | 130.0 | 189.0 | 231.0 | 272.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 95.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 51.0 | 151.0 | 216.0 | 262.0 | 308.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 113.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 65.0 | 176.0 | 247.0 | 298.0 | 349.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 124.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 73.0 | 190.0 | 266.0 | 320.0 | 374.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 138.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 45.0 | 83.0 | 208.0 | 290.0 | 348.0 | 406.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 127.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 75.0 | 195.0 | 273.0 | 330.0 | 386.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 84.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 41.0 | 139.0 | 203.0 | 250.0 | 296.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 29.0 | 119.0 | 179.0 | 221.0 | 264.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 150.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 51.0 | 92.0 | 226.0 | 315.0 | 379.0 | 442.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 183.0 | 30.0 | 48.0 | 70.0 | 117.0 | 270.0 | 371.0 | 444.0 | 516.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 221.0 | 47.0 | 67.0 | 92.0 | 145.0 | 319.0 | 434.0 | 517.0 | 600.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 246.0 | 58.0 | 79.0 | 107.0 | 164.0 | 353.0 | 478.0 | 568.0 | 658.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 280.0 | 73.0 | 96.0 | 127.0 | 190.0 | 398.0 | 535.0 | 635.0 | 734.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 262.0 | 64.0 | 86.0 | 116.0 | 176.0 | 374.0 | 506.0 | 601.0 | 696.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 284.0 | 74.0 | 98.0 | 129.0 | 192.0 | 404.0 | 544.0 | 646.0 | 748.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 252.0 | 59.0 | 81.0 | 109.0 | 168.0 | 363.0 | 492.0 | 585.0 | 679.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 277.0 | 70.0 | 93.0 | 124.0 | 187.0 | 396.0 | 535.0 | 635.0 | 736.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 285.0 | 73.0 | 97.0 | 128.0 | 192.0 | 406.0 | 548.0 | 651.0 | 754.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 294.0 | 77.0 | 101.0 | 134.0 | 199.0 | 419.0 | 564.0 | 671.0 | 776.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 241.0 | 53.0 | 74.0 | 102.0 | 159.0 | 349.0 | 476.0 | 568.0 | 660.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 213.0 | 40.0 | 59.0 | 85.0 | 137.0 | 312.0 | 428.0 | 513.0 | 598.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 222.0 | 44.0 | 64.0 | 90.0 | 144.0 | 324.0 | 444.0 | 532.0 | 619.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 208.0 | 38.0 | 57.0 | 82.0 | 134.0 | 307.0 | 422.0 | 506.0 | 590.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 182.0 | 26.0 | 43.0 | 67.0 | 114.0 | 272.0 | 378.0 | 455.0 | 532.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 161.0 | 16.0 | 33.0 | 54.0 | 98.0 | 245.0 | 343.0 | 414.0 | 486.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 183.0 | 26.0 | 43.0 | 66.0 | 114.0 | 273.0 | 379.0 | 457.0 | 534.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 169.0 | 19.0 | 36.0 | 58.0 | 103.0 | 255.0 | 356.0 | 430.0 | 503.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 143.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 43.0 | 84.0 | 221.0 | 313.0 | 380.0 | 446.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 112.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 25.0 | 61.0 | 181.0 | 261.0 | 320.0 | 378.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 51.0 | 165.0 | 240.0 | 296.0 | 351.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 85.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 40.0 | 144.0 | 214.0 | 266.0 | 317.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 36.0 | 138.0 | 206.0 | 256.0 | 305.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 72.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 30.0 | 127.0 | 192.0 | 240.0 | 288.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 124.0 | 188.0 | 235.0 | 282.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 117.0 | 179.0 | 225.0 | 270.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 106.0 | 166.0 | 209.0 | 253.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 104.0 | 164.0 | 207.0 | 250.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 106.0 | 166.0 | 210.0 | 254.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 112.0 | 174.0 | 219.0 | 264.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 121.0 | 185.0 | 233.0 | 280.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 64.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 119.0 | 182.0 | 229.0 | 276.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 117.0 | 180.0 | 227.0 | 274.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 112.0 | 174.0 | 220.0 | 265.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 104.0 | 163.0 | 207.0 | 251.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 110.0 | 172.0 | 217.0 | 262.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 105.0 | 165.0 | 209.0 | 253.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 110.0 | 172.0 | 218.0 | 263.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 52.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 102.0 | 162.0 | 206.0 | 249.0 |
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