Prediction 4176
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=RS (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 85.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 181.0 | 308.0 | 410.0 | 519.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 88.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 186.0 | 318.0 | 425.0 | 540.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 81.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 179.0 | 310.0 | 417.0 | 531.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 79.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 176.0 | 309.0 | 417.0 | 534.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 194.0 | 338.0 | 455.0 | 582.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 88.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 194.0 | 339.0 | 459.0 | 588.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 85.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 190.0 | 336.0 | 456.0 | 586.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 213.0 | 372.0 | 503.0 | 646.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 107.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 227.0 | 395.0 | 535.0 | 687.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 113.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 238.0 | 414.0 | 560.0 | 720.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 108.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 233.0 | 407.0 | 552.0 | 712.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 181.0 | 329.0 | 453.0 | 590.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 61.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 159.0 | 296.0 | 412.0 | 539.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 79.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 189.0 | 343.0 | 473.0 | 617.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 71.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 177.0 | 327.0 | 452.0 | 591.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 72.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 179.0 | 331.0 | 458.0 | 600.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 225.0 | 402.0 | 552.0 | 718.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 140.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.0 | 291.0 | 506.0 | 688.0 | 889.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 151.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.0 | 309.0 | 536.0 | 727.0 | 940.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 251.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 38.0 | 115.0 | 473.0 | 792.0 | 1062.0 | 1361.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 389.0 | 17.0 | 47.0 | 92.0 | 199.0 | 700.0 | 1146.0 | 1524.0 | 1945.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 557.0 | 56.0 | 97.0 | 157.0 | 301.0 | 977.0 | 1581.0 | 2093.0 | 2663.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 753.0 | 102.0 | 155.0 | 233.0 | 420.0 | 1301.0 | 2088.0 | 2757.0 | 3501.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 1043.0 | 170.0 | 240.0 | 345.0 | 596.0 | 1779.0 | 2838.0 | 3740.0 | 4744.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 1339.0 | 238.0 | 327.0 | 458.0 | 774.0 | 2268.0 | 3607.0 | 4748.0 | 6018.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1647.0 | 310.0 | 417.0 | 577.0 | 960.0 | 2778.0 | 4410.0 | 5801.0 | 7351.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 1894.0 | 366.0 | 489.0 | 671.0 | 1109.0 | 3188.0 | 5058.0 | 6653.0 | 8431.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 2010.0 | 392.0 | 522.0 | 714.0 | 1178.0 | 3383.0 | 5368.0 | 7062.0 | 8951.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1883.0 | 361.0 | 483.0 | 664.0 | 1100.0 | 3176.0 | 5046.0 | 6643.0 | 8425.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1794.0 | 340.0 | 456.0 | 629.0 | 1046.0 | 3030.0 | 4821.0 | 6351.0 | 8058.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 1442.0 | 257.0 | 352.0 | 493.0 | 832.0 | 2450.0 | 3910.0 | 5159.0 | 6553.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1263.0 | 215.0 | 299.0 | 423.0 | 724.0 | 2156.0 | 3450.0 | 4557.0 | 5793.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 860.0 | 122.0 | 181.0 | 268.0 | 480.0 | 1490.0 | 2403.0 | 3185.0 | 4057.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 642.0 | 71.0 | 117.0 | 184.0 | 348.0 | 1129.0 | 1836.0 | 2440.0 | 3115.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 417.0 | 19.0 | 51.0 | 98.0 | 212.0 | 757.0 | 1250.0 | 1671.0 | 2143.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 370.0 | 8.0 | 37.0 | 80.0 | 184.0 | 679.0 | 1128.0 | 1511.0 | 1940.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 212.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 88.0 | 416.0 | 714.0 | 969.0 | 1253.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 178.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 67.0 | 363.0 | 634.0 | 866.0 | 1126.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 157.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.0 | 331.0 | 587.0 | 807.0 | 1055.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 137.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 299.0 | 540.0 | 748.0 | 982.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 119.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 272.0 | 498.0 | 695.0 | 918.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 104.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 248.0 | 463.0 | 651.0 | 863.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 231.0 | 437.0 | 618.0 | 823.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 85.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 218.0 | 418.0 | 594.0 | 794.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 78.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 207.0 | 402.0 | 574.0 | 770.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 72.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 199.0 | 391.0 | 560.0 | 753.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 187.0 | 372.0 | 536.0 | 724.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 64.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 186.0 | 373.0 | 538.0 | 728.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 172.0 | 351.0 | 510.0 | 692.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 178.0 | 362.0 | 526.0 | 714.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 172.0 | 353.0 | 514.0 | 700.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 171.0 | 353.0 | 515.0 | 702.0 |
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