Prediction 4430
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Validation 1 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 417.0 | 219.0 | 245.0 | 278.0 | 339.0 | 506.0 | 596.0 | 654.0 | 708.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 464.0 | 229.0 | 260.0 | 298.0 | 370.0 | 572.0 | 681.0 | 753.0 | 819.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 459.0 | 239.0 | 268.0 | 305.0 | 373.0 | 558.0 | 658.0 | 723.0 | 783.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 466.0 | 195.0 | 228.0 | 271.0 | 354.0 | 599.0 | 737.0 | 829.0 | 915.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 540.0 | 265.0 | 301.0 | 346.0 | 430.0 | 666.0 | 795.0 | 880.0 | 958.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 597.0 | 233.0 | 276.0 | 333.0 | 445.0 | 780.0 | 973.0 | 1102.0 | 1222.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 692.0 | 233.0 | 285.0 | 354.0 | 495.0 | 935.0 | 1196.0 | 1373.0 | 1539.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 753.0 | 206.0 | 263.0 | 342.0 | 509.0 | 1066.0 | 1411.0 | 1647.0 | 1872.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 889.0 | 229.0 | 296.0 | 390.0 | 591.0 | 1274.0 | 1701.0 | 1996.0 | 2276.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 903.0 | 257.0 | 325.0 | 419.0 | 617.0 | 1267.0 | 1667.0 | 1941.0 | 2200.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 756.0 | 237.0 | 293.0 | 371.0 | 530.0 | 1039.0 | 1346.0 | 1555.0 | 1752.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 697.0 | 140.0 | 191.0 | 266.0 | 434.0 | 1049.0 | 1452.0 | 1734.0 | 2004.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 1689.0 | 244.0 | 358.0 | 535.0 | 968.0 | 2708.0 | 3910.0 | 4768.0 | 5599.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 1999.0 | 290.0 | 425.0 | 635.0 | 1147.0 | 3203.0 | 4624.0 | 5637.0 | 6619.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 2309.0 | 334.0 | 490.0 | 733.0 | 1324.0 | 3701.0 | 5342.0 | 6513.0 | 7648.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 2573.0 | 403.0 | 581.0 | 853.0 | 1504.0 | 4065.0 | 5813.0 | 7054.0 | 8254.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 2956.0 | 451.0 | 654.0 | 966.0 | 1717.0 | 4693.0 | 6732.0 | 8182.0 | 9585.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 2980.0 | 528.0 | 740.0 | 1058.0 | 1797.0 | 4601.0 | 6476.0 | 7799.0 | 9072.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 3086.0 | 468.0 | 680.0 | 1006.0 | 1790.0 | 4904.0 | 7039.0 | 8559.0 | 10029.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 3150.0 | 425.0 | 634.0 | 963.0 | 1775.0 | 5112.0 | 7443.0 | 9112.0 | 10732.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 3368.0 | 411.0 | 627.0 | 975.0 | 1852.0 | 5564.0 | 8197.0 | 10091.0 | 11935.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 3455.0 | 461.0 | 688.0 | 1049.0 | 1941.0 | 5622.0 | 8197.0 | 10042.0 | 11834.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 3611.0 | 520.0 | 763.0 | 1143.0 | 2067.0 | 5796.0 | 8375.0 | 10215.0 | 11999.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 3552.0 | 543.0 | 786.0 | 1162.0 | 2064.0 | 5638.0 | 8086.0 | 9827.0 | 11511.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 3424.0 | 514.0 | 747.0 | 1109.0 | 1980.0 | 5453.0 | 7839.0 | 9537.0 | 11181.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 3673.0 | 562.0 | 814.0 | 1202.0 | 2135.0 | 5829.0 | 8360.0 | 10160.0 | 11902.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 3472.0 | 629.0 | 877.0 | 1247.0 | 2106.0 | 5340.0 | 7496.0 | 9015.0 | 10477.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 3377.0 | 609.0 | 850.0 | 1211.0 | 2046.0 | 5197.0 | 7298.0 | 8780.0 | 10205.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 3412.0 | 581.0 | 822.0 | 1185.0 | 2037.0 | 5308.0 | 7510.0 | 9067.0 | 10568.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 3401.0 | 616.0 | 859.0 | 1222.0 | 2063.0 | 5231.0 | 7342.0 | 8830.0 | 10262.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 3105.0 | 557.0 | 778.0 | 1110.0 | 1878.0 | 4785.0 | 6725.0 | 8093.0 | 9410.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 2709.0 | 486.0 | 680.0 | 969.0 | 1639.0 | 4173.0 | 5863.0 | 7055.0 | 8203.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 2235.0 | 407.0 | 567.0 | 805.0 | 1357.0 | 3433.0 | 4816.0 | 5790.0 | 6727.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 1899.0 | 326.0 | 461.0 | 663.0 | 1137.0 | 2950.0 | 4169.0 | 5030.0 | 5860.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 1683.0 | 308.0 | 428.0 | 608.0 | 1023.0 | 2583.0 | 3620.0 | 4351.0 | 5054.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 1404.0 | 275.0 | 377.0 | 527.0 | 869.0 | 2127.0 | 2955.0 | 3535.0 | 4092.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 1160.0 | 263.0 | 350.0 | 473.0 | 746.0 | 1706.0 | 2322.0 | 2749.0 | 3158.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 829.0 | 176.0 | 238.0 | 326.0 | 524.0 | 1235.0 | 1696.0 | 2017.0 | 2325.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 694.0 | 188.0 | 240.0 | 313.0 | 467.0 | 985.0 | 1305.0 | 1526.0 | 1735.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 579.0 | 171.0 | 215.0 | 275.0 | 400.0 | 806.0 | 1054.0 | 1223.0 | 1382.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 506.0 | 151.0 | 190.0 | 242.0 | 350.0 | 703.0 | 917.0 | 1063.0 | 1201.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 425.0 | 156.0 | 187.0 | 229.0 | 312.0 | 564.0 | 711.0 | 809.0 | 901.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 422.0 | 175.0 | 205.0 | 244.0 | 320.0 | 544.0 | 671.0 | 755.0 | 834.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 388.0 | 190.0 | 215.0 | 248.0 | 309.0 | 479.0 | 572.0 | 633.0 | 689.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 398.0 | 195.0 | 221.0 | 255.0 | 317.0 | 492.0 | 588.0 | 650.0 | 708.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 357.0 | 174.0 | 198.0 | 228.0 | 284.0 | 441.0 | 527.0 | 583.0 | 634.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 322.0 | 159.0 | 180.0 | 207.0 | 257.0 | 397.0 | 474.0 | 524.0 | 570.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 321.0 | 157.0 | 178.0 | 205.0 | 255.0 | 396.0 | 473.0 | 524.0 | 570.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 353.0 | 190.0 | 211.0 | 238.0 | 289.0 | 425.0 | 498.0 | 545.0 | 588.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 366.0 | 186.0 | 210.0 | 239.0 | 295.0 | 447.0 | 530.0 | 583.0 | 633.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 383.0 | 187.0 | 213.0 | 245.0 | 305.0 | 473.0 | 565.0 | 625.0 | 680.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 416.0 | 204.0 | 231.0 | 266.0 | 332.0 | 514.0 | 614.0 | 679.0 | 739.0 |
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