Prediction 4431
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Maranhão |
Description:
Validation 1 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 40.0 | 59.0 | 73.0 | 87.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 25.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 44.0 | 66.0 | 83.0 | 98.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 64.0 | 75.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 41.0 | 58.0 | 69.0 | 81.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 40.0 | 56.0 | 67.0 | 77.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 25.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 46.0 | 71.0 | 90.0 | 108.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 29.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 47.0 | 69.0 | 85.0 | 100.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 31.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 53.0 | 81.0 | 101.0 | 121.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 39.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 69.0 | 105.0 | 131.0 | 157.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 32.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 58.0 | 91.0 | 115.0 | 139.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 27.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 53.0 | 87.0 | 112.0 | 138.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 28.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 54.0 | 86.0 | 110.0 | 134.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 57.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 29.0 | 100.0 | 152.0 | 191.0 | 229.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 93.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 46.0 | 165.0 | 254.0 | 320.0 | 384.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 109.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 51.0 | 201.0 | 318.0 | 404.0 | 490.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 111.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 46.0 | 222.0 | 369.0 | 480.0 | 591.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 125.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 54.0 | 244.0 | 398.0 | 514.0 | 629.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 155.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 61.0 | 320.0 | 541.0 | 709.0 | 878.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 196.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 82.0 | 387.0 | 639.0 | 829.0 | 1019.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 192.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 83.0 | 374.0 | 611.0 | 788.0 | 966.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 219.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 87.0 | 451.0 | 761.0 | 998.0 | 1235.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 216.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 88.0 | 437.0 | 730.0 | 952.0 | 1174.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 207.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 93.0 | 392.0 | 629.0 | 806.0 | 982.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 191.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 33.0 | 84.0 | 368.0 | 598.0 | 770.0 | 941.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 186.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 76.0 | 376.0 | 628.0 | 819.0 | 1010.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 193.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 36.0 | 87.0 | 365.0 | 584.0 | 748.0 | 911.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 186.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 85.0 | 347.0 | 554.0 | 708.0 | 860.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 211.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 94.0 | 403.0 | 651.0 | 836.0 | 1020.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 199.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 45.0 | 98.0 | 356.0 | 551.0 | 695.0 | 836.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 175.0 | 19.0 | 30.0 | 48.0 | 94.0 | 294.0 | 437.0 | 541.0 | 642.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 155.0 | 24.0 | 35.0 | 52.0 | 91.0 | 245.0 | 349.0 | 423.0 | 494.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 154.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 48.0 | 87.0 | 249.0 | 361.0 | 442.0 | 519.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 131.0 | 18.0 | 27.0 | 41.0 | 75.0 | 210.0 | 304.0 | 370.0 | 435.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 115.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 34.0 | 64.0 | 188.0 | 276.0 | 339.0 | 399.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 103.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 57.0 | 169.0 | 248.0 | 305.0 | 360.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 95.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 54.0 | 153.0 | 222.0 | 270.0 | 318.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 80.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 43.0 | 132.0 | 195.0 | 240.0 | 284.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 62.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 34.0 | 102.0 | 151.0 | 186.0 | 220.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 59.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 100.0 | 149.0 | 185.0 | 220.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 54.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 95.0 | 145.0 | 182.0 | 218.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 56.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 28.0 | 97.0 | 147.0 | 183.0 | 219.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 48.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 88.0 | 140.0 | 178.0 | 215.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 56.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 24.0 | 109.0 | 179.0 | 232.0 | 285.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 60.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 25.0 | 120.0 | 198.0 | 258.0 | 318.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 60.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | 117.0 | 191.0 | 246.0 | 301.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 51.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 105.0 | 176.0 | 230.0 | 284.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 42.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 82.0 | 133.0 | 172.0 | 210.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 45.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 81.0 | 126.0 | 160.0 | 193.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 41.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 69.0 | 104.0 | 129.0 | 153.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 35.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 59.0 | 88.0 | 108.0 | 129.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 24.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 44.0 | 69.0 | 88.0 | 106.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 25.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 43.0 | 66.0 | 83.0 | 100.0 |
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