Prediction 4432
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation 1 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 156.0 | 65.0 | 76.0 | 91.0 | 119.0 | 201.0 | 247.0 | 278.0 | 306.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 189.0 | 91.0 | 104.0 | 120.0 | 150.0 | 234.0 | 280.0 | 311.0 | 338.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 194.0 | 89.0 | 102.0 | 119.0 | 152.0 | 244.0 | 295.0 | 329.0 | 360.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 212.0 | 95.0 | 110.0 | 129.0 | 165.0 | 268.0 | 326.0 | 364.0 | 399.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 252.0 | 92.0 | 111.0 | 135.0 | 184.0 | 333.0 | 420.0 | 478.0 | 532.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 269.0 | 71.0 | 92.0 | 120.0 | 180.0 | 382.0 | 507.0 | 593.0 | 675.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 356.0 | 93.0 | 119.0 | 157.0 | 237.0 | 508.0 | 677.0 | 793.0 | 904.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 397.0 | 72.0 | 100.0 | 143.0 | 241.0 | 609.0 | 854.0 | 1027.0 | 1192.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 504.0 | 73.0 | 107.0 | 160.0 | 289.0 | 807.0 | 1164.0 | 1418.0 | 1665.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 567.0 | 60.0 | 95.0 | 153.0 | 302.0 | 958.0 | 1432.0 | 1775.0 | 2110.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 599.0 | 40.0 | 70.0 | 126.0 | 286.0 | 1092.0 | 1714.0 | 2173.0 | 2627.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 614.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 53.0 | 201.0 | 1426.0 | 2582.0 | 3487.0 | 4409.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 1283.0 | 36.0 | 78.0 | 170.0 | 503.0 | 2661.0 | 4516.0 | 5933.0 | 7355.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 1701.0 | 50.0 | 107.0 | 231.0 | 673.0 | 3509.0 | 5936.0 | 7785.0 | 9642.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 1996.0 | 61.0 | 129.0 | 276.0 | 796.0 | 4096.0 | 6907.0 | 9047.0 | 11193.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 2299.0 | 59.0 | 131.0 | 292.0 | 884.0 | 4829.0 | 8257.0 | 10880.0 | 13520.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 2664.0 | 57.0 | 132.0 | 308.0 | 984.0 | 5737.0 | 9952.0 | 13197.0 | 16471.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 2953.0 | 51.0 | 124.0 | 305.0 | 1040.0 | 6552.0 | 11565.0 | 15451.0 | 19385.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 3575.0 | 38.0 | 105.0 | 288.0 | 1134.0 | 8457.0 | 15477.0 | 20998.0 | 26628.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 4044.0 | 32.0 | 95.0 | 280.0 | 1204.0 | 9939.0 | 18577.0 | 25429.0 | 32444.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 4566.0 | 45.0 | 126.0 | 352.0 | 1423.0 | 10921.0 | 20106.0 | 27348.0 | 34741.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 5049.0 | 67.0 | 175.0 | 455.0 | 1678.0 | 11608.0 | 20904.0 | 28170.0 | 35556.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 5732.0 | 75.0 | 196.0 | 512.0 | 1899.0 | 13207.0 | 23814.0 | 32109.0 | 40542.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 5942.0 | 82.0 | 210.0 | 543.0 | 1988.0 | 13608.0 | 24451.0 | 32919.0 | 41523.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 6095.0 | 85.0 | 218.0 | 562.0 | 2047.0 | 13926.0 | 24992.0 | 33629.0 | 42402.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 6974.0 | 96.0 | 246.0 | 636.0 | 2331.0 | 15984.0 | 28734.0 | 38692.0 | 48811.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 6990.0 | 113.0 | 279.0 | 695.0 | 2423.0 | 15662.0 | 27798.0 | 37229.0 | 46787.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 6695.0 | 132.0 | 310.0 | 738.0 | 2423.0 | 14607.0 | 25532.0 | 33969.0 | 42494.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 6414.0 | 113.0 | 274.0 | 667.0 | 2266.0 | 14205.0 | 25043.0 | 33443.0 | 41945.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 5701.0 | 116.0 | 272.0 | 640.0 | 2080.0 | 12377.0 | 21572.0 | 28665.0 | 35829.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 4861.0 | 96.0 | 226.0 | 537.0 | 1761.0 | 10597.0 | 18515.0 | 24628.0 | 30805.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 3921.0 | 75.0 | 178.0 | 425.0 | 1410.0 | 8589.0 | 15048.0 | 20041.0 | 25089.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 2945.0 | 50.0 | 122.0 | 300.0 | 1032.0 | 6555.0 | 11590.0 | 15497.0 | 19453.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 2249.0 | 46.0 | 108.0 | 254.0 | 823.0 | 4872.0 | 8481.0 | 11264.0 | 14073.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 1716.0 | 48.0 | 104.0 | 227.0 | 672.0 | 3564.0 | 6052.0 | 7952.0 | 9860.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 1255.0 | 51.0 | 101.0 | 203.0 | 535.0 | 2466.0 | 4054.0 | 5250.0 | 6443.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 884.0 | 50.0 | 92.0 | 170.0 | 406.0 | 1653.0 | 2636.0 | 3367.0 | 4091.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 653.0 | 37.0 | 68.0 | 126.0 | 301.0 | 1218.0 | 1940.0 | 2476.0 | 3007.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 497.0 | 34.0 | 59.0 | 106.0 | 239.0 | 901.0 | 1410.0 | 1786.0 | 2157.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 373.0 | 48.0 | 73.0 | 112.0 | 208.0 | 609.0 | 890.0 | 1092.0 | 1287.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 285.0 | 48.0 | 69.0 | 99.0 | 170.0 | 443.0 | 625.0 | 754.0 | 879.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 231.0 | 48.0 | 65.0 | 90.0 | 145.0 | 345.0 | 475.0 | 566.0 | 652.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 199.0 | 51.0 | 66.0 | 87.0 | 132.0 | 285.0 | 381.0 | 446.0 | 509.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 175.0 | 56.0 | 69.0 | 87.0 | 124.0 | 240.0 | 309.0 | 356.0 | 401.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 169.0 | 57.0 | 70.0 | 87.0 | 121.0 | 228.0 | 291.0 | 333.0 | 373.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 159.0 | 63.0 | 74.0 | 89.0 | 119.0 | 206.0 | 256.0 | 290.0 | 321.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 141.0 | 54.0 | 64.0 | 78.0 | 105.0 | 184.0 | 230.0 | 261.0 | 290.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 150.0 | 61.0 | 72.0 | 86.0 | 113.0 | 193.0 | 238.0 | 269.0 | 296.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 168.0 | 66.0 | 79.0 | 95.0 | 126.0 | 218.0 | 271.0 | 306.0 | 339.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 163.0 | 70.0 | 82.0 | 97.0 | 125.0 | 207.0 | 253.0 | 284.0 | 312.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 165.0 | 83.0 | 94.0 | 108.0 | 133.0 | 202.0 | 239.0 | 263.0 | 285.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 160.0 | 71.0 | 82.0 | 97.0 | 124.0 | 203.0 | 247.0 | 276.0 | 302.0 |
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