Prediction 4438
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Piauí |
Description:
Validation 1 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 | 57.0 | 66.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 31.0 | 40.0 | 47.0 | 52.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 39.0 | 44.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 34.0 | 47.0 | 56.0 | 65.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 39.0 | 57.0 | 70.0 | 82.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 26.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 40.0 | 56.0 | 68.0 | 79.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 26.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 39.0 | 54.0 | 64.0 | 74.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 46.0 | 65.0 | 79.0 | 92.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 31.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 46.0 | 63.0 | 75.0 | 87.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 31.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 44.0 | 59.0 | 69.0 | 78.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 25.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 42.0 | 62.0 | 77.0 | 91.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 36.0 | 59.0 | 76.0 | 93.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 48.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 28.0 | 77.0 | 110.0 | 134.0 | 157.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 58.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 93.0 | 134.0 | 163.0 | 192.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 65.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 42.0 | 95.0 | 128.0 | 151.0 | 173.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 75.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 48.0 | 109.0 | 149.0 | 176.0 | 202.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 93.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 54.0 | 149.0 | 213.0 | 259.0 | 303.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 100.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 56.0 | 162.0 | 236.0 | 289.0 | 340.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 110.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 64.0 | 175.0 | 251.0 | 305.0 | 357.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 117.0 | 19.0 | 28.0 | 40.0 | 69.0 | 181.0 | 256.0 | 309.0 | 360.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 139.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 46.0 | 81.0 | 219.0 | 313.0 | 379.0 | 443.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 167.0 | 20.0 | 31.0 | 49.0 | 92.0 | 275.0 | 404.0 | 497.0 | 587.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 205.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 49.0 | 104.0 | 359.0 | 550.0 | 689.0 | 826.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 231.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 38.0 | 100.0 | 451.0 | 736.0 | 951.0 | 1165.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 239.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 30.0 | 92.0 | 504.0 | 863.0 | 1137.0 | 1414.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 277.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 40.0 | 113.0 | 558.0 | 933.0 | 1216.0 | 1500.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 311.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 53.0 | 136.0 | 600.0 | 976.0 | 1257.0 | 1537.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 335.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 51.0 | 139.0 | 668.0 | 1108.0 | 1440.0 | 1772.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 350.0 | 16.0 | 31.0 | 60.0 | 153.0 | 677.0 | 1100.0 | 1418.0 | 1734.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 342.0 | 22.0 | 39.0 | 70.0 | 162.0 | 629.0 | 991.0 | 1259.0 | 1525.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 368.0 | 31.0 | 51.0 | 87.0 | 185.0 | 646.0 | 990.0 | 1242.0 | 1490.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 348.0 | 41.0 | 63.0 | 99.0 | 190.0 | 577.0 | 853.0 | 1051.0 | 1245.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 291.0 | 34.0 | 53.0 | 83.0 | 159.0 | 483.0 | 713.0 | 879.0 | 1041.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 278.0 | 39.0 | 58.0 | 87.0 | 158.0 | 446.0 | 646.0 | 788.0 | 925.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 245.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 78.0 | 141.0 | 391.0 | 563.0 | 685.0 | 804.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 219.0 | 31.0 | 46.0 | 69.0 | 125.0 | 351.0 | 508.0 | 619.0 | 727.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 189.0 | 26.0 | 38.0 | 58.0 | 107.0 | 305.0 | 442.0 | 541.0 | 636.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 141.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 58.0 | 91.0 | 206.0 | 280.0 | 330.0 | 379.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 130.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 | 51.0 | 82.0 | 192.0 | 263.0 | 313.0 | 360.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 106.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 38.0 | 64.0 | 164.0 | 230.0 | 276.0 | 321.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 102.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 33.0 | 59.0 | 161.0 | 229.0 | 278.0 | 325.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 89.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 32.0 | 54.0 | 136.0 | 189.0 | 227.0 | 263.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 82.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 34.0 | 54.0 | 119.0 | 161.0 | 190.0 | 217.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 71.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 29.0 | 45.0 | 105.0 | 143.0 | 170.0 | 195.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 57.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 81.0 | 107.0 | 125.0 | 142.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 59.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 40.0 | 81.0 | 106.0 | 123.0 | 139.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 49.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 32.0 | 72.0 | 97.0 | 114.0 | 131.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 43.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 27.0 | 65.0 | 90.0 | 107.0 | 124.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 36.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 51.0 | 69.0 | 81.0 | 92.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 34.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 49.0 | 66.0 | 77.0 | 88.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 29.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 41.0 | 54.0 | 63.0 | 71.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 44.0 | 50.0 | 56.0 |
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