Prediction 4439
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Validation 1 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 50.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 26.0 | 84.0 | 126.0 | 156.0 | 185.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 57.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 91.0 | 130.0 | 159.0 | 186.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 66.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 38.0 | 104.0 | 149.0 | 180.0 | 211.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 73.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 40.0 | 121.0 | 178.0 | 220.0 | 260.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 89.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 44.0 | 157.0 | 242.0 | 304.0 | 365.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 96.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 44.0 | 182.0 | 292.0 | 373.0 | 455.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 136.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 58.0 | 266.0 | 437.0 | 565.0 | 694.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 160.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 69.0 | 311.0 | 507.0 | 655.0 | 802.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 190.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 28.0 | 78.0 | 382.0 | 637.0 | 830.0 | 1024.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 227.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 29.0 | 88.0 | 474.0 | 809.0 | 1065.0 | 1322.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 223.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 79.0 | 491.0 | 864.0 | 1153.0 | 1445.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 209.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 76.0 | 452.0 | 787.0 | 1045.0 | 1305.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 276.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 86.0 | 658.0 | 1209.0 | 1643.0 | 2086.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 384.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 102.0 | 1011.0 | 1960.0 | 2723.0 | 3511.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 514.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 23.0 | 127.0 | 1406.0 | 2783.0 | 3900.0 | 5057.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 631.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 24.0 | 146.0 | 1795.0 | 3629.0 | 5129.0 | 6687.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 808.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 36.0 | 201.0 | 2206.0 | 4363.0 | 6114.0 | 7924.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 1012.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 38.0 | 233.0 | 2889.0 | 5851.0 | 8275.0 | 10795.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 1220.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 41.0 | 269.0 | 3572.0 | 7329.0 | 10420.0 | 13639.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 1348.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 62.0 | 340.0 | 3655.0 | 7202.0 | 10075.0 | 13046.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 1552.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 71.0 | 389.0 | 4224.0 | 8339.0 | 11675.0 | 15125.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 1747.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 | 76.0 | 428.0 | 4811.0 | 9559.0 | 13418.0 | 17414.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 1952.0 | 10.0 | 33.0 | 107.0 | 528.0 | 5077.0 | 9785.0 | 13566.0 | 17459.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 2080.0 | 13.0 | 41.0 | 128.0 | 589.0 | 5264.0 | 9998.0 | 13777.0 | 17657.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 2103.0 | 15.0 | 45.0 | 137.0 | 611.0 | 5244.0 | 9877.0 | 13563.0 | 17342.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 2200.0 | 17.0 | 50.0 | 149.0 | 649.0 | 5439.0 | 10197.0 | 13976.0 | 17847.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 2159.0 | 19.0 | 55.0 | 158.0 | 658.0 | 5232.0 | 9704.0 | 13240.0 | 16855.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 1989.0 | 17.0 | 48.0 | 141.0 | 598.0 | 4862.0 | 9059.0 | 12384.0 | 15786.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 1770.0 | 15.0 | 44.0 | 128.0 | 537.0 | 4301.0 | 7987.0 | 10904.0 | 13886.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 1581.0 | 9.0 | 30.0 | 95.0 | 443.0 | 4028.0 | 7678.0 | 10596.0 | 13594.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 1279.0 | 8.0 | 26.0 | 81.0 | 367.0 | 3212.0 | 6075.0 | 8357.0 | 10698.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 902.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 62.0 | 268.0 | 2221.0 | 4155.0 | 5690.0 | 7261.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 632.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 52.0 | 202.0 | 1485.0 | 2707.0 | 3668.0 | 4646.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 421.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 28.0 | 123.0 | 1048.0 | 1971.0 | 2705.0 | 3457.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 304.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 89.0 | 752.0 | 1411.0 | 1935.0 | 2472.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 260.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 81.0 | 619.0 | 1137.0 | 1545.0 | 1962.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 197.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 56.0 | 494.0 | 935.0 | 1287.0 | 1647.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 130.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 46.0 | 289.0 | 509.0 | 680.0 | 853.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 91.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 33.0 | 201.0 | 352.0 | 469.0 | 587.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 74.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 27.0 | 159.0 | 276.0 | 365.0 | 456.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 55.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 120.0 | 209.0 | 278.0 | 348.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 50.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 108.0 | 187.0 | 248.0 | 309.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 47.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 92.0 | 151.0 | 196.0 | 241.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 40.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 79.0 | 129.0 | 168.0 | 206.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 39.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 69.0 | 106.0 | 133.0 | 160.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 37.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 62.0 | 92.0 | 113.0 | 134.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 37.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 61.0 | 89.0 | 109.0 | 128.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 37.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 60.0 | 86.0 | 105.0 | 124.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 38.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 65.0 | 98.0 | 121.0 | 144.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 40.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 69.0 | 106.0 | 132.0 | 158.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 44.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 71.0 | 103.0 | 126.0 | 148.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 46.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 73.0 | 105.0 | 127.0 | 149.0 |
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