Prediction 4440
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Validation 1 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 111.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 25.0 | 55.0 | 197.0 | 303.0 | 382.0 | 459.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 118.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 27.0 | 59.0 | 209.0 | 322.0 | 405.0 | 487.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 130.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 27.0 | 62.0 | 236.0 | 369.0 | 468.0 | 565.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 135.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 61.0 | 254.0 | 406.0 | 519.0 | 631.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 146.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 59.0 | 297.0 | 498.0 | 650.0 | 802.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 166.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 35.0 | 80.0 | 301.0 | 471.0 | 596.0 | 719.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 193.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 81.0 | 385.0 | 638.0 | 829.0 | 1019.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 229.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 90.0 | 472.0 | 798.0 | 1047.0 | 1296.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 288.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 35.0 | 109.0 | 610.0 | 1048.0 | 1384.0 | 1723.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 301.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 29.0 | 103.0 | 680.0 | 1211.0 | 1624.0 | 2043.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 289.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 30.0 | 102.0 | 640.0 | 1128.0 | 1505.0 | 1888.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 256.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 64.0 | 698.0 | 1379.0 | 1931.0 | 2502.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 467.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 34.0 | 142.0 | 1132.0 | 2098.0 | 2861.0 | 3642.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 542.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 44.0 | 174.0 | 1275.0 | 2326.0 | 3151.0 | 3992.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 630.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 49.0 | 197.0 | 1500.0 | 2757.0 | 3747.0 | 4757.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 685.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 52.0 | 212.0 | 1644.0 | 3032.0 | 4128.0 | 5247.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 746.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 56.0 | 230.0 | 1795.0 | 3316.0 | 4517.0 | 5744.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 795.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 50.0 | 228.0 | 1997.0 | 3776.0 | 5193.0 | 6648.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 914.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 49.0 | 245.0 | 2392.0 | 4626.0 | 6423.0 | 8273.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 1044.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 45.0 | 255.0 | 2879.0 | 5723.0 | 8035.0 | 10430.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 1179.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 47.0 | 279.0 | 3313.0 | 6652.0 | 9376.0 | 12203.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 1361.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 60.0 | 336.0 | 3735.0 | 7407.0 | 10388.0 | 13475.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 1594.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 68.0 | 389.0 | 4406.0 | 8770.0 | 12319.0 | 15995.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 1679.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 67.0 | 398.0 | 4714.0 | 9463.0 | 13337.0 | 17357.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 1780.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 79.0 | 441.0 | 4870.0 | 9643.0 | 13517.0 | 17526.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 2013.0 | 7.0 | 25.0 | 91.0 | 501.0 | 5493.0 | 10862.0 | 15217.0 | 19723.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 1978.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 77.0 | 464.0 | 5590.0 | 11258.0 | 15888.0 | 20695.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 1876.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 81.0 | 460.0 | 5170.0 | 10276.0 | 14425.0 | 18723.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 1834.0 | 8.0 | 28.0 | 95.0 | 484.0 | 4842.0 | 9406.0 | 13083.0 | 16875.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 1669.0 | 9.0 | 30.0 | 97.0 | 462.0 | 4280.0 | 8186.0 | 11314.0 | 14529.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 1592.0 | 10.0 | 30.0 | 96.0 | 447.0 | 4052.0 | 7718.0 | 10647.0 | 13657.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 1380.0 | 11.0 | 33.0 | 97.0 | 413.0 | 3381.0 | 6306.0 | 8624.0 | 10996.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 1077.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 71.0 | 314.0 | 2681.0 | 5045.0 | 6926.0 | 8854.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 907.0 | 9.0 | 26.0 | 72.0 | 286.0 | 2154.0 | 3949.0 | 5363.0 | 6805.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 727.0 | 9.0 | 24.0 | 64.0 | 239.0 | 1684.0 | 3045.0 | 4110.0 | 5194.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 607.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 55.0 | 203.0 | 1391.0 | 2500.0 | 3367.0 | 4248.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 484.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 50.0 | 171.0 | 1069.0 | 1882.0 | 2512.0 | 3150.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 426.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 48.0 | 156.0 | 921.0 | 1602.0 | 2126.0 | 2655.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 375.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 55.0 | 153.0 | 757.0 | 1265.0 | 1650.0 | 2035.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 296.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 51.0 | 130.0 | 568.0 | 921.0 | 1186.0 | 1449.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 251.0 | 16.0 | 28.0 | 51.0 | 118.0 | 462.0 | 728.0 | 926.0 | 1121.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 213.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 46.0 | 104.0 | 383.0 | 597.0 | 754.0 | 908.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 194.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 89.0 | 362.0 | 578.0 | 738.0 | 897.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 180.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 32.0 | 80.0 | 344.0 | 555.0 | 713.0 | 870.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 163.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 76.0 | 301.0 | 475.0 | 605.0 | 733.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 145.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 70.0 | 261.0 | 406.0 | 513.0 | 619.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 128.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 65.0 | 223.0 | 340.0 | 425.0 | 509.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 118.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 60.0 | 206.0 | 314.0 | 394.0 | 472.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 120.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 61.0 | 209.0 | 320.0 | 400.0 | 479.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 123.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 62.0 | 217.0 | 332.0 | 416.0 | 499.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 114.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 57.0 | 201.0 | 309.0 | 387.0 | 465.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 117.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 60.0 | 201.0 | 305.0 | 381.0 | 455.0 |
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