Prediction 4444
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Validation 1 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 47.0 | 57.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 39.0 | 52.0 | 64.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 33.0 | 58.0 | 77.0 | 96.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 41.0 | 72.0 | 97.0 | 122.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 82.0 | 157.0 | 217.0 | 280.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 162.0 | 349.0 | 506.0 | 671.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 290.0 | 678.0 | 1015.0 | 1374.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 431.0 | 1068.0 | 1633.0 | 2241.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 128.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 545.0 | 1341.0 | 2045.0 | 2801.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 146.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 684.0 | 1765.0 | 2738.0 | 3792.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 164.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 752.0 | 1917.0 | 2961.0 | 4090.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 160.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 760.0 | 1970.0 | 3062.0 | 4244.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 180.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 870.0 | 2276.0 | 3547.0 | 4927.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 152.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 831.0 | 2302.0 | 3663.0 | 5154.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 154.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 776.0 | 2070.0 | 3251.0 | 4536.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 125.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 615.0 | 1621.0 | 2533.0 | 3524.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 82.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 402.0 | 1059.0 | 1656.0 | 2303.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 283.0 | 831.0 | 1350.0 | 1923.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 162.0 | 423.0 | 658.0 | 914.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 119.0 | 311.0 | 484.0 | 671.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 56.0 | 144.0 | 223.0 | 308.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 40.0 | 90.0 | 132.0 | 177.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 69.0 | 114.0 | 164.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 |
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