Prediction 4635
| Model | LNCC-SURGE-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Forecast for UF=SP (Model4 SURGE)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 205.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 27.0 | 73.0 | 612.0 | 1579.0 | 2897.0 | 4781.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 252.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 90.0 | 753.0 | 1942.0 | 3564.0 | 5882.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 311.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 40.0 | 110.0 | 926.0 | 2389.0 | 4384.0 | 7236.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 382.0 | 16.0 | 28.0 | 49.0 | 136.0 | 1139.0 | 2939.0 | 5394.0 | 8901.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 470.0 | 20.0 | 34.0 | 61.0 | 167.0 | 1401.0 | 3616.0 | 6635.0 | 10949.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 578.0 | 24.0 | 42.0 | 75.0 | 205.0 | 1723.0 | 4447.0 | 8161.0 | 13468.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 711.0 | 30.0 | 52.0 | 92.0 | 252.0 | 2119.0 | 5470.0 | 10037.0 | 16565.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 874.0 | 37.0 | 64.0 | 113.0 | 310.0 | 2606.0 | 6727.0 | 12344.0 | 20371.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 1075.0 | 46.0 | 79.0 | 139.0 | 382.0 | 3205.0 | 8271.0 | 15177.0 | 25046.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 1321.0 | 56.0 | 97.0 | 171.0 | 469.0 | 3939.0 | 10165.0 | 18654.0 | 30784.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 1623.0 | 69.0 | 119.0 | 210.0 | 576.0 | 4839.0 | 12488.0 | 22916.0 | 37819.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 1993.0 | 84.0 | 146.0 | 258.0 | 708.0 | 5940.0 | 15331.0 | 28132.0 | 46427.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 2444.0 | 104.0 | 179.0 | 316.0 | 868.0 | 7284.0 | 18800.0 | 34498.0 | 56932.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 2992.0 | 127.0 | 219.0 | 387.0 | 1062.0 | 8918.0 | 23016.0 | 42234.0 | 69698.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 3654.0 | 155.0 | 267.0 | 472.0 | 1297.0 | 10890.0 | 28107.0 | 51577.0 | 85117.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 4446.0 | 188.0 | 325.0 | 575.0 | 1578.0 | 13251.0 | 34199.0 | 62754.0 | 103563.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 5380.0 | 228.0 | 394.0 | 696.0 | 1910.0 | 16035.0 | 41384.0 | 75939.0 | 125322.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 6458.0 | 274.0 | 473.0 | 835.0 | 2293.0 | 19249.0 | 49681.0 | 91163.0 | 150447.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 7664.0 | 325.0 | 561.0 | 991.0 | 2721.0 | 22845.0 | 58960.0 | 108191.0 | 178548.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 8951.0 | 379.0 | 655.0 | 1157.0 | 3178.0 | 26678.0 | 68853.0 | 126344.0 | 208506.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 10226.0 | 433.0 | 748.0 | 1322.0 | 3630.0 | 30478.0 | 78661.0 | 144343.0 | 238209.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 11354.0 | 481.0 | 831.0 | 1468.0 | 4031.0 | 33840.0 | 87339.0 | 160266.0 | 264487.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 12172.0 | 515.0 | 891.0 | 1574.0 | 4321.0 | 36279.0 | 93632.0 | 171815.0 | 283546.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 12535.0 | 531.0 | 917.0 | 1621.0 | 4450.0 | 37361.0 | 96425.0 | 176939.0 | 292003.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 12371.0 | 524.0 | 905.0 | 1600.0 | 4392.0 | 36871.0 | 95162.0 | 174622.0 | 288178.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 11712.0 | 496.0 | 857.0 | 1515.0 | 4158.0 | 34910.0 | 90099.0 | 165330.0 | 272845.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 10683.0 | 452.0 | 782.0 | 1381.0 | 3793.0 | 31843.0 | 82184.0 | 150807.0 | 248876.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 9447.0 | 400.0 | 691.0 | 1222.0 | 3354.0 | 28156.0 | 72668.0 | 133346.0 | 220060.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 8151.0 | 345.0 | 596.0 | 1054.0 | 2894.0 | 24296.0 | 62705.0 | 115064.0 | 189890.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 6907.0 | 293.0 | 505.0 | 893.0 | 2452.0 | 20586.0 | 53131.0 | 97495.0 | 160897.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 5776.0 | 245.0 | 423.0 | 747.0 | 2051.0 | 17216.0 | 44432.0 | 81533.0 | 134553.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 4786.0 | 203.0 | 350.0 | 619.0 | 1699.0 | 14265.0 | 36817.0 | 67559.0 | 111493.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 3941.0 | 167.0 | 288.0 | 510.0 | 1399.0 | 11746.0 | 30315.0 | 55628.0 | 91803.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 3231.0 | 137.0 | 236.0 | 418.0 | 1147.0 | 9630.0 | 24855.0 | 45608.0 | 75267.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 2641.0 | 112.0 | 193.0 | 342.0 | 938.0 | 7873.0 | 20319.0 | 37285.0 | 61532.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 2155.0 | 91.0 | 158.0 | 279.0 | 765.0 | 6424.0 | 16579.0 | 30422.0 | 50206.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 1756.0 | 74.0 | 129.0 | 227.0 | 624.0 | 5235.0 | 13510.0 | 24791.0 | 40912.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 1430.0 | 61.0 | 105.0 | 185.0 | 508.0 | 4262.0 | 11000.0 | 20184.0 | 33310.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 1164.0 | 49.0 | 85.0 | 150.0 | 413.0 | 3468.0 | 8951.0 | 16425.0 | 27106.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 946.0 | 40.0 | 69.0 | 122.0 | 336.0 | 2821.0 | 7281.0 | 13360.0 | 22048.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 770.0 | 33.0 | 56.0 | 100.0 | 273.0 | 2294.0 | 5921.0 | 10865.0 | 17930.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 626.0 | 27.0 | 46.0 | 81.0 | 222.0 | 1865.0 | 4814.0 | 8834.0 | 14579.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 509.0 | 22.0 | 37.0 | 66.0 | 181.0 | 1517.0 | 3914.0 | 7182.0 | 11853.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 414.0 | 18.0 | 30.0 | 53.0 | 147.0 | 1233.0 | 3182.0 | 5839.0 | 9636.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 336.0 | 14.0 | 25.0 | 43.0 | 119.0 | 1002.0 | 2587.0 | 4746.0 | 7833.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 273.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 35.0 | 97.0 | 815.0 | 2103.0 | 3858.0 | 6367.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 222.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 29.0 | 79.0 | 662.0 | 1709.0 | 3136.0 | 5176.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 181.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 64.0 | 538.0 | 1389.0 | 2549.0 | 4207.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 147.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 52.0 | 438.0 | 1129.0 | 2072.0 | 3420.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 119.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 42.0 | 356.0 | 918.0 | 1684.0 | 2780.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 97.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 34.0 | 289.0 | 746.0 | 1369.0 | 2259.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 167.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 59.0 | 497.0 | 1283.0 | 2355.0 | 3886.0 |
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