Prediction 4639
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=AM (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 59.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 112.0 | 176.0 | 223.0 | 269.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 65.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 123.0 | 191.0 | 241.0 | 292.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 64.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21.0 | 122.0 | 191.0 | 243.0 | 295.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 66.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 126.0 | 199.0 | 253.0 | 307.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 74.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 27.0 | 139.0 | 217.0 | 275.0 | 335.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 78.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 29.0 | 145.0 | 227.0 | 288.0 | 351.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 95.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 41.0 | 170.0 | 261.0 | 330.0 | 401.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 102.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 45.0 | 180.0 | 277.0 | 350.0 | 425.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 115.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 54.0 | 200.0 | 305.0 | 385.0 | 466.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 121.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 58.0 | 210.0 | 320.0 | 404.0 | 490.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 109.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 48.0 | 194.0 | 300.0 | 381.0 | 464.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 93.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 36.0 | 172.0 | 272.0 | 348.0 | 426.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 167.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 37.0 | 88.0 | 279.0 | 418.0 | 526.0 | 637.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 182.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 44.0 | 98.0 | 302.0 | 452.0 | 568.0 | 687.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 207.0 | 9.0 | 29.0 | 56.0 | 115.0 | 339.0 | 505.0 | 632.0 | 765.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 197.0 | 4.0 | 24.0 | 50.0 | 107.0 | 325.0 | 488.0 | 613.0 | 744.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 224.0 | 13.0 | 34.0 | 63.0 | 126.0 | 366.0 | 545.0 | 685.0 | 829.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 234.0 | 16.0 | 37.0 | 67.0 | 132.0 | 382.0 | 570.0 | 716.0 | 867.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 236.0 | 15.0 | 37.0 | 67.0 | 132.0 | 385.0 | 576.0 | 724.0 | 879.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 217.0 | 8.0 | 28.0 | 57.0 | 119.0 | 360.0 | 542.0 | 684.0 | 833.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 232.0 | 12.0 | 34.0 | 63.0 | 129.0 | 382.0 | 575.0 | 726.0 | 883.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 222.0 | 8.0 | 29.0 | 57.0 | 121.0 | 369.0 | 557.0 | 705.0 | 860.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 218.0 | 6.0 | 26.0 | 55.0 | 118.0 | 364.0 | 553.0 | 700.0 | 855.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 197.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 44.0 | 103.0 | 335.0 | 512.0 | 652.0 | 798.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 177.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 34.0 | 89.0 | 306.0 | 473.0 | 604.0 | 742.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 173.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 31.0 | 86.0 | 301.0 | 468.0 | 599.0 | 736.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 159.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 76.0 | 281.0 | 439.0 | 564.0 | 696.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 150.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 70.0 | 269.0 | 424.0 | 546.0 | 675.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 127.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 53.0 | 235.0 | 377.0 | 488.0 | 606.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 118.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 47.0 | 223.0 | 359.0 | 467.0 | 582.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 111.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 42.0 | 212.0 | 345.0 | 451.0 | 562.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 105.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 205.0 | 335.0 | 438.0 | 548.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 92.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 29.0 | 185.0 | 308.0 | 405.0 | 508.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 81.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 170.0 | 287.0 | 380.0 | 478.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 80.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 168.0 | 285.0 | 377.0 | 476.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 73.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 158.0 | 270.0 | 360.0 | 455.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 71.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 155.0 | 267.0 | 356.0 | 451.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 63.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 144.0 | 252.0 | 338.0 | 429.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 71.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 157.0 | 271.0 | 361.0 | 458.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 74.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 162.0 | 278.0 | 372.0 | 471.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 69.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 155.0 | 269.0 | 360.0 | 457.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 66.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 151.0 | 264.0 | 354.0 | 450.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 62.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 145.0 | 256.0 | 344.0 | 439.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 55.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 134.0 | 240.0 | 325.0 | 416.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 55.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 134.0 | 240.0 | 326.0 | 417.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 52.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 130.0 | 235.0 | 319.0 | 409.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 57.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 138.0 | 247.0 | 335.0 | 428.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 56.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 136.0 | 245.0 | 332.0 | 425.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 67.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 155.0 | 272.0 | 366.0 | 467.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 59.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 142.0 | 254.0 | 344.0 | 440.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 65.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 151.0 | 267.0 | 361.0 | 462.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 69.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 158.0 | 278.0 | 375.0 | 478.0 |
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