Prediction 4650
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Pará |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=PA (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 81.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 34.0 | 145.0 | 221.0 | 277.0 | 334.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 73.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 28.0 | 134.0 | 206.0 | 261.0 | 315.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 67.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 125.0 | 196.0 | 248.0 | 300.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 78.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 32.0 | 141.0 | 216.0 | 271.0 | 328.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 88.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 39.0 | 155.0 | 234.0 | 293.0 | 353.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 100.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 48.0 | 171.0 | 255.0 | 318.0 | 381.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 112.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 57.0 | 187.0 | 276.0 | 343.0 | 410.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 121.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 24.0 | 63.0 | 199.0 | 292.0 | 361.0 | 431.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 129.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 29.0 | 69.0 | 210.0 | 307.0 | 379.0 | 452.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 119.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 23.0 | 62.0 | 196.0 | 288.0 | 357.0 | 426.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 86.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 38.0 | 152.0 | 231.0 | 289.0 | 348.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 83.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 35.0 | 148.0 | 225.0 | 283.0 | 341.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 169.0 | 12.0 | 29.0 | 52.0 | 99.0 | 264.0 | 378.0 | 462.0 | 548.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 209.0 | 28.0 | 48.0 | 74.0 | 128.0 | 318.0 | 448.0 | 545.0 | 643.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 254.0 | 47.0 | 70.0 | 100.0 | 162.0 | 379.0 | 529.0 | 640.0 | 753.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 293.0 | 63.0 | 88.0 | 121.0 | 190.0 | 431.0 | 597.0 | 720.0 | 845.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 341.0 | 83.0 | 111.0 | 148.0 | 226.0 | 497.0 | 683.0 | 822.0 | 962.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 322.0 | 75.0 | 102.0 | 137.0 | 212.0 | 471.0 | 649.0 | 782.0 | 915.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 357.0 | 90.0 | 119.0 | 158.0 | 238.0 | 519.0 | 713.0 | 856.0 | 1002.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 328.0 | 78.0 | 105.0 | 141.0 | 216.0 | 479.0 | 660.0 | 794.0 | 930.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 347.0 | 85.0 | 114.0 | 151.0 | 230.0 | 504.0 | 694.0 | 834.0 | 976.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 356.0 | 89.0 | 118.0 | 157.0 | 237.0 | 517.0 | 710.0 | 853.0 | 998.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 366.0 | 93.0 | 123.0 | 162.0 | 244.0 | 530.0 | 727.0 | 874.0 | 1021.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 320.0 | 74.0 | 101.0 | 136.0 | 211.0 | 469.0 | 647.0 | 779.0 | 912.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 271.0 | 54.0 | 77.0 | 109.0 | 174.0 | 402.0 | 559.0 | 676.0 | 794.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 278.0 | 57.0 | 81.0 | 113.0 | 179.0 | 411.0 | 571.0 | 690.0 | 810.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 256.0 | 48.0 | 70.0 | 100.0 | 163.0 | 382.0 | 533.0 | 645.0 | 759.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 222.0 | 34.0 | 54.0 | 81.0 | 138.0 | 336.0 | 473.0 | 574.0 | 676.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 194.0 | 22.0 | 40.0 | 65.0 | 117.0 | 297.0 | 422.0 | 514.0 | 607.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 203.0 | 26.0 | 45.0 | 71.0 | 124.0 | 310.0 | 439.0 | 534.0 | 631.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 191.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 63.0 | 115.0 | 293.0 | 416.0 | 508.0 | 600.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 161.0 | 8.0 | 25.0 | 47.0 | 93.0 | 253.0 | 363.0 | 446.0 | 528.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 129.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 29.0 | 69.0 | 209.0 | 306.0 | 378.0 | 451.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 114.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 | 58.0 | 190.0 | 281.0 | 349.0 | 417.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 103.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 50.0 | 174.0 | 260.0 | 324.0 | 388.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 99.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 47.0 | 170.0 | 254.0 | 317.0 | 381.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 86.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 37.0 | 151.0 | 230.0 | 288.0 | 347.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 86.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 37.0 | 151.0 | 230.0 | 288.0 | 347.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 76.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 30.0 | 138.0 | 213.0 | 268.0 | 324.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 74.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 29.0 | 136.0 | 210.0 | 265.0 | 320.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 75.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 29.0 | 137.0 | 211.0 | 266.0 | 322.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 76.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 30.0 | 139.0 | 214.0 | 270.0 | 326.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 79.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 143.0 | 219.0 | 276.0 | 333.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 84.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 36.0 | 149.0 | 227.0 | 285.0 | 343.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 82.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 34.0 | 146.0 | 223.0 | 280.0 | 338.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 80.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 143.0 | 220.0 | 276.0 | 334.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 72.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 27.0 | 133.0 | 207.0 | 261.0 | 316.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 68.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 127.0 | 199.0 | 252.0 | 305.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 69.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 129.0 | 200.0 | 254.0 | 308.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 64.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21.0 | 122.0 | 191.0 | 243.0 | 295.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 65.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 124.0 | 194.0 | 246.0 | 299.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 60.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 117.0 | 185.0 | 236.0 | 287.0 |
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