Prediction 10
| Modelo | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
|---|---|
| Autor | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
Descrição:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2704302 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de todos as cidades clusterizadas com 2704302 como input
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-02 | 83.06 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 247.98 | - |
| 2022-01-09 | 71.74 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 168.97 | - |
| 2022-01-16 | 53.75 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 136.65 | - |
| 2022-01-23 | 34.49 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 134.87 | - |
| 2022-01-30 | 23.20 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 143.88 | - |
| 2022-02-06 | 112.16 | - | 22.76 | - | - | - | - | 201.56 | - |
| 2022-02-13 | 110.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 234.49 | - |
| 2022-02-20 | 96.79 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 254.22 | - |
| 2022-02-27 | 119.57 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 254.66 | - |
| 2022-03-06 | 101.34 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 246.31 | - |
| 2022-03-13 | 71.95 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 213.04 | - |
| 2022-03-20 | 69.15 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 205.92 | - |
| 2022-03-27 | 60.48 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 192.73 | - |
| 2022-04-03 | 83.92 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 218.64 | - |
| 2022-04-10 | 69.32 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 222.24 | - |
| 2022-04-17 | 82.05 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 202.02 | - |
| 2022-04-24 | 102.50 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 238.41 | - |
| 2022-05-01 | 126.77 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 326.63 | - |
| 2022-05-08 | 238.27 | - | 13.12 | - | - | - | - | 463.42 | - |
| 2022-05-15 | 304.65 | - | 24.46 | - | - | - | - | 584.84 | - |
| 2022-05-22 | 386.81 | - | 17.56 | - | - | - | - | 756.06 | - |
| 2022-05-29 | 450.13 | - | 6.90 | - | - | - | - | 893.36 | - |
| 2022-06-05 | 422.85 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 953.59 | - |
| 2022-06-12 | 404.47 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1040.23 | - |
| 2022-06-19 | 341.02 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1001.51 | - |
| 2022-06-26 | 339.92 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1000.41 | - |
| 2022-07-03 | 335.58 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 996.07 | - |
| 2022-07-10 | 314.36 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 974.85 | - |
| 2022-07-17 | 287.07 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 947.56 | - |
| 2022-07-24 | 290.31 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 950.80 | - |
| 2022-07-31 | 280.76 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 941.25 | - |
| 2022-08-07 | 278.58 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 939.07 | - |
| 2022-08-14 | 304.26 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 964.75 | - |
| 2022-08-21 | 297.85 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 958.34 | - |
| 2022-08-28 | 302.51 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 851.82 | - |
| 2022-09-04 | 297.65 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 760.95 | - |
| 2022-09-11 | 307.81 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 738.74 | - |
| 2022-09-18 | 294.90 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 657.12 | - |
| 2022-09-25 | 292.80 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 632.82 | - |
| 2022-10-02 | 214.71 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 511.45 | - |
| 2022-10-09 | 173.77 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 357.74 | - |
| 2022-10-16 | 140.38 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 282.06 | - |
| 2022-10-23 | 126.35 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 285.18 | - |
| 2022-10-30 | 88.55 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 242.10 | - |
| 2022-11-06 | 79.51 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 189.56 | - |
| 2022-11-13 | 56.99 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 140.77 | - |
| 2022-11-20 | 54.32 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 143.49 | - |
| 2022-11-27 | 38.13 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 122.17 | - |
| 2022-12-04 | 46.93 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 144.44 | - |
| 2022-12-11 | 43.27 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 197.88 | - |
| 2022-12-18 | 23.21 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 228.70 | - |
| 2022-12-25 | 26.23 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 192.49 | - |
| 2023-01-01 | 29.90 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 174.71 | - |
| 2023-01-08 | 30.95 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 196.05 | - |
| 2023-01-15 | 24.78 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 175.80 | - |
| 2023-01-22 | 12.17 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 190.41 | - |
| 2023-01-29 | 13.18 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 228.42 | - |
| 2023-02-05 | 35.73 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 240.07 | - |
| 2023-02-12 | 44.34 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 227.27 | - |
| 2023-02-19 | 42.55 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 199.07 | - |
| 2023-02-26 | 16.62 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 169.19 | - |
| 2023-03-05 | 28.23 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 110.76 | - |
| 2023-03-12 | 12.59 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 48.35 | - |
| 2023-03-19 | 9.23 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 53.25 | - |
| 2023-03-26 | 20.96 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 106.54 | - |
| 2023-04-02 | 27.30 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 140.52 | - |
| 2023-04-09 | 28.95 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 136.50 | - |
| 2023-04-16 | 44.27 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 152.36 | - |
| 2023-04-23 | 47.25 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 154.09 | - |
| 2023-04-30 | 54.47 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 216.85 | - |
| 2023-05-07 | 30.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 189.01 | - |
| 2023-05-14 | 88.70 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 271.41 | - |
| 2023-05-21 | 113.02 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 307.94 | - |
| 2023-05-28 | 114.01 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 290.55 | - |
| 2023-06-04 | 158.32 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 411.15 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 113.82 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 345.02 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 106.22 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 354.68 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 69.58 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 298.48 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 48.29 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 257.50 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
