Prediction 1001

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Acre

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 42.43 3.71 5.51 8.68 18.43 97.50 206.03 322.34 475.21
2025-10-12 52.46 4.26 6.41 10.23 22.22 123.65 267.35 424.09 632.76
2025-10-19 66.37 5.03 7.65 12.36 27.44 160.35 354.57 570.03 860.45
2025-10-26 75.47 5.34 8.20 13.42 30.45 186.80 422.15 687.60 1049.75
2025-11-02 94.45 6.25 9.71 16.08 37.24 239.33 552.44 911.33 1406.74
2025-11-09 107.00 6.63 10.40 17.44 41.23 277.43 653.79 1091.97 1703.81
2025-11-16 124.78 7.25 11.49 19.50 47.02 330.87 795.67 1345.12 2120.98
2025-11-23 143.24 7.82 12.51 21.47 52.81 388.26 952.30 1629.09 2595.25
2025-11-30 157.03 8.05 13.02 22.60 56.66 434.86 1087.45 1881.97 3028.39
2025-12-07 169.45 8.17 13.35 23.43 59.87 479.25 1221.39 2137.89 3474.23
2025-12-14 213.18 9.70 15.98 28.37 73.80 615.47 1597.93 2828.23 4640.63
2025-12-21 195.28 8.37 13.92 24.99 66.24 575.33 1521.21 2721.99 4508.78
2026-01-04 203.35 8.22 13.81 25.06 67.62 611.16 1645.11 2975.39 4974.51
2026-01-11 177.99 6.78 11.51 21.12 58.03 545.51 1494.47 2731.53 4608.68
2026-01-18 167.64 6.03 10.34 19.17 53.61 523.77 1459.91 2696.10 4589.87
2026-01-25 388.62 13.35 23.00 42.99 122.04 1237.02 3506.83 6542.32 11236.30
2026-02-01 387.92 12.62 21.93 41.42 119.58 1257.95 3626.27 6833.18 11838.13
2026-02-08 394.03 12.15 21.30 40.63 119.26 1301.33 3813.59 7257.28 12680.74
2026-02-15 371.33 10.86 19.20 36.99 110.38 1248.66 3719.04 7146.36 12592.43
2026-02-22 371.55 10.31 18.40 35.79 108.50 1271.79 3848.91 7466.94 13266.87
2026-03-01 352.49 9.29 16.72 32.83 101.14 1227.85 3774.94 7392.77 13242.88
2026-03-08 300.67 7.52 13.65 27.09 84.79 1065.62 3327.46 6577.29 11877.44
2026-03-15 281.36 6.68 12.25 24.53 77.99 1014.31 3216.16 6415.84 11678.39
2026-03-22 288.54 6.53 12.05 24.37 78.65 1057.83 3405.21 6854.71 12575.55
2026-03-29 250.16 5.37 10.02 20.45 67.06 932.47 3046.85 6188.37 11441.39
2026-04-05 225.46 4.60 8.66 17.86 59.45 854.31 2832.92 5804.85 10814.76
2026-04-12 192.73 3.74 7.10 14.79 49.99 742.25 2497.45 5162.25 9690.54
2026-04-19 163.12 3.00 5.76 12.13 41.63 638.40 2179.20 4543.39 8592.75
2026-04-26 144.91 2.53 4.91 10.44 36.39 576.17 1994.97 4194.85 7992.37
2026-05-03 137.93 2.29 4.49 9.64 34.09 557.07 1956.15 4147.99 7960.97
2026-05-10 128.39 2.03 4.02 8.70 31.24 526.65 1875.25 4009.68 7751.28
2026-05-17 127.22 1.92 3.83 8.37 30.49 529.88 1912.87 4123.91 8029.21
2026-05-24 116.02 1.66 3.35 7.41 27.38 490.61 1795.40 3902.32 7651.65
2026-05-31 102.77 1.39 2.85 6.37 23.88 441.20 1636.49 3585.73 7080.20
2026-06-07 99.30 1.28 2.65 5.97 22.73 432.67 1626.42 3592.21 7142.26
2026-06-14 87.98 1.07 2.25 5.13 19.84 389.04 1481.86 3298.88 6604.13
2026-06-21 59.01 0.66 1.42 3.32 13.09 264.86 1022.23 2293.57 4622.84
2026-06-28 62.47 0.66 1.44 3.39 13.59 285.93 1123.10 2546.57 5179.88
2026-07-05 45.51 0.42 0.97 2.36 9.71 212.09 846.37 1937.32 3973.01
2026-07-12 43.72 0.38 0.89 2.18 9.16 207.33 840.41 1941.74 4014.48
2026-07-19 45.78 0.38 0.89 2.21 9.43 220.84 909.23 2120.43 4419.55
2026-07-26 42.44 0.32 0.78 1.98 8.58 208.32 871.14 2050.57 4308.53
2026-08-02 39.92 0.28 0.70 1.79 7.93 199.37 846.68 2011.48 4260.39
2026-08-09 39.02 0.25 0.65 1.69 7.62 198.26 854.94 2049.78 4376.12
2026-08-16 35.11 0.20 0.54 1.46 6.73 181.45 794.42 1922.07 4135.90
2026-08-23 35.77 0.19 0.53 1.44 6.74 187.99 835.52 2039.75 4423.49
2026-08-30 37.81 0.19 0.54 1.48 7.01 201.98 911.14 2244.24 4904.67
2026-09-06 35.81 0.16 0.48 1.35 6.53 194.48 890.35 2212.48 4872.39
2026-09-13 32.05 0.13 0.40 1.16 5.74 176.98 822.16 2060.95 4573.24
2026-09-20 35.27 0.14 0.43 1.24 6.22 197.85 932.47 2357.78 5271.30
2026-09-27 40.31 0.16 0.48 1.39 7.01 229.70 1098.16 2800.63 6308.11
2026-10-04 39.47 0.14 0.45 1.31 6.75 228.48 1107.94 2849.67 6466.06
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