Prediction 1002

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Alagoas

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 10.70 1.34 1.89 2.79 5.29 21.51 40.25 58.54 81.00
2025-10-12 8.52 0.97 1.40 2.10 4.11 17.55 33.57 49.45 69.17
2025-10-19 7.63 0.80 1.17 1.79 3.59 16.10 31.42 46.86 66.25
2025-10-26 7.35 0.71 1.06 1.65 3.38 15.85 31.57 47.63 68.04
2025-11-02 6.81 0.61 0.92 1.46 3.06 15.02 30.49 46.55 67.16
2025-11-09 5.61 0.45 0.70 1.14 2.45 12.65 26.19 40.44 58.93
2025-11-16 5.76 0.43 0.68 1.12 2.47 13.26 27.95 43.62 64.15
2025-11-23 5.53 0.38 0.62 1.03 2.32 12.98 27.87 43.96 65.26
2025-11-30 5.00 0.31 0.52 0.89 2.05 11.98 26.18 41.74 62.53
2025-12-07 4.11 0.22 0.39 0.69 1.64 10.06 22.38 36.06 54.50
2025-12-14 4.01 0.20 0.36 0.64 1.57 10.02 22.67 36.88 56.23
2025-12-21 3.71 0.16 0.31 0.57 1.42 9.45 21.74 35.73 54.94
2026-01-04 3.14 0.11 0.23 0.45 1.17 8.17 19.12 31.73 49.20
2026-01-11 2.77 0.08 0.18 0.37 1.01 7.35 17.49 29.30 45.81
2026-01-18 2.21 0.04 0.12 0.26 0.77 6.00 14.51 24.54 38.69
2026-01-25 4.55 0.16 0.32 0.61 1.63 12.38 30.27 51.60 81.92
2026-02-01 5.08 0.18 0.35 0.67 1.80 14.04 34.82 59.89 95.81
2026-02-08 4.59 0.14 0.29 0.57 1.59 12.90 32.48 56.36 90.86
2026-02-15 3.85 0.09 0.22 0.45 1.30 11.04 28.21 49.39 80.22
2026-02-22 5.23 0.15 0.31 0.62 1.76 15.17 39.27 69.31 113.39
2026-03-01 5.47 0.15 0.31 0.63 1.81 16.11 42.28 75.23 123.97
2026-03-08 5.80 0.15 0.32 0.65 1.90 17.33 46.11 82.73 137.30
2026-03-15 5.73 0.14 0.30 0.62 1.84 17.39 46.91 84.84 141.81
2026-03-22 6.65 0.17 0.35 0.71 2.12 20.46 55.89 101.89 171.47
2026-03-29 6.78 0.16 0.34 0.71 2.13 21.16 58.58 107.64 182.40
2026-04-05 6.91 0.15 0.33 0.70 2.14 21.88 61.38 113.67 193.92
2026-04-12 7.23 0.15 0.34 0.71 2.21 23.21 65.94 123.06 211.35
2026-04-19 8.98 0.20 0.42 0.88 2.72 29.19 83.93 157.80 272.79
2026-04-26 11.32 0.26 0.53 1.10 3.39 37.24 108.38 205.29 357.18
2026-05-03 12.32 0.28 0.57 1.17 3.64 41.09 121.06 231.01 404.54
2026-05-10 13.08 0.29 0.58 1.22 3.82 44.20 131.85 253.44 446.65
2026-05-17 15.24 0.33 0.67 1.39 4.40 52.17 157.47 304.88 540.70
2026-05-24 16.65 0.36 0.72 1.49 4.75 57.74 176.39 343.97 613.84
2026-05-31 16.72 0.34 0.69 1.46 4.71 58.77 181.69 356.84 640.74
2026-06-07 16.38 0.32 0.65 1.39 4.55 58.34 182.47 360.92 652.04
2026-06-14 15.84 0.29 0.60 1.30 4.34 57.14 180.84 360.19 654.68
2026-06-21 13.09 0.21 0.47 1.03 3.53 47.89 153.35 307.57 562.40
2026-06-28 15.07 0.24 0.52 1.16 3.99 56.13 182.73 370.19 682.82
2026-07-05 14.16 0.20 0.46 1.05 3.68 53.62 177.17 362.08 672.96
2026-07-12 13.45 0.17 0.41 0.96 3.44 51.74 173.40 357.39 669.14
2026-07-19 12.29 0.14 0.35 0.84 3.09 48.09 163.49 339.88 641.11
2026-07-26 12.24 0.13 0.33 0.81 3.02 48.66 167.87 352.05 669.12
2026-08-02 12.17 0.12 0.31 0.77 2.95 49.21 172.32 364.60 698.33
2026-08-09 10.54 0.08 0.24 0.63 2.50 43.36 154.13 329.05 635.15
2026-08-16 9.47 0.05 0.20 0.54 2.20 39.65 143.08 308.19 599.48
2026-08-23 9.29 0.04 0.18 0.51 2.12 39.54 144.78 314.59 616.60
2026-08-30 8.69 0.03 0.15 0.45 1.95 37.60 139.71 306.23 604.76
2026-09-06 8.09 0.01 0.13 0.40 1.78 35.60 134.19 296.66 590.23
2026-09-13 6.68 0.00 0.08 0.30 1.43 29.94 114.51 255.32 511.73
2026-09-20 6.32 0.00 0.06 0.27 1.33 28.75 111.54 250.79 506.32
2026-09-27 5.88 0.00 0.05 0.23 1.21 27.23 107.11 242.85 493.83
2026-10-04 5.64 0.00 0.04 0.21 1.14 26.52 105.79 241.82 495.24
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