Prediction 1003

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Amapá

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 4.82 0.32 0.53 0.89 2.01 11.34 24.37 38.46 57.12
2025-10-12 5.16 0.34 0.55 0.93 2.13 12.31 26.76 42.54 63.56
2025-10-19 6.46 0.42 0.68 1.15 2.64 15.56 34.19 54.71 82.23
2025-10-26 4.68 0.27 0.45 0.79 1.88 11.47 25.54 41.16 62.26
2025-11-02 3.53 0.17 0.31 0.56 1.38 8.79 19.83 32.19 48.99
2025-11-09 2.86 0.11 0.22 0.43 1.09 7.24 16.54 27.05 41.41
2025-11-16 3.99 0.18 0.33 0.61 1.53 10.17 23.44 38.57 59.38
2025-11-23 1.98 0.04 0.11 0.25 0.72 5.20 12.17 20.20 31.29
2025-11-30 3.55 0.13 0.26 0.51 1.32 9.31 21.94 36.58 56.96
2025-12-07 3.32 0.11 0.23 0.45 1.21 8.82 21.01 35.26 55.21
2025-12-14 2.07 0.03 0.10 0.24 0.72 5.63 13.62 23.02 36.26
2025-12-21 3.16 0.09 0.20 0.41 1.12 8.60 20.94 35.59 56.34
2026-01-04 1.27 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.41 3.59 8.92 15.29 24.37
2026-01-11 1.90 0.01 0.07 0.20 0.63 5.36 13.36 23.02 36.86
2026-01-18 2.54 0.04 0.12 0.28 0.86 7.18 18.06 31.27 50.30
2026-01-25 7.89 0.30 0.55 1.04 2.76 22.19 56.02 97.44 157.44
2026-02-01 9.29 0.36 0.65 1.21 3.23 26.40 67.31 117.75 191.22
2026-02-08 7.51 0.26 0.49 0.94 2.57 21.60 55.63 97.91 159.83
2026-02-15 13.07 0.51 0.90 1.66 4.47 37.86 98.33 174.01 285.43
2026-02-22 9.30 0.32 0.59 1.13 3.13 27.29 71.61 127.46 210.14
2026-03-01 11.34 0.40 0.72 1.37 3.78 33.58 88.92 159.17 263.70
2026-03-08 10.24 0.34 0.62 1.20 3.38 30.68 82.04 147.68 245.86
2026-03-15 14.94 0.51 0.93 1.76 4.90 45.12 121.69 220.25 368.43
2026-03-22 11.94 0.38 0.70 1.36 3.86 36.48 99.33 180.79 303.88
2026-03-29 15.59 0.50 0.92 1.76 5.01 48.05 131.98 241.52 407.86
2026-04-05 12.33 0.36 0.69 1.35 3.91 38.42 106.53 196.02 332.60
2026-04-12 11.81 0.33 0.64 1.26 3.70 37.19 104.05 192.49 328.15
2026-04-19 12.49 0.34 0.66 1.31 3.88 39.70 112.07 208.43 356.96
2026-04-26 12.60 0.34 0.65 1.30 3.88 40.45 115.19 215.36 370.52
2026-05-03 10.70 0.26 0.52 1.07 3.25 34.71 99.74 187.47 324.01
2026-05-10 11.60 0.28 0.56 1.14 3.49 37.99 110.11 208.02 361.15
2026-05-17 9.49 0.20 0.43 0.90 2.82 31.43 91.92 174.57 304.45
2026-05-24 7.34 0.13 0.30 0.66 2.14 24.58 72.53 138.48 242.59
2026-05-31 8.59 0.16 0.36 0.77 2.49 29.01 86.30 165.59 291.35
2026-06-07 6.58 0.09 0.24 0.56 1.88 22.49 67.53 130.25 230.19
2026-06-14 5.72 0.06 0.19 0.47 1.61 19.77 59.87 116.06 206.01
2026-06-21 3.69 0.00 0.09 0.26 1.00 12.94 39.59 77.16 137.59
2026-06-28 4.26 0.01 0.11 0.30 1.15 15.16 47.01 92.39 165.94
2026-07-05 3.93 0.00 0.09 0.27 1.04 14.18 44.43 87.86 158.65
2026-07-12 4.80 0.02 0.12 0.33 1.27 17.42 55.09 109.55 198.78
2026-07-19 3.34 0.00 0.05 0.20 0.85 12.34 39.44 78.91 143.90
2026-07-26 4.36 0.00 0.09 0.28 1.12 16.17 52.11 104.80 192.02
2026-08-02 4.51 0.00 0.09 0.29 1.15 16.92 55.01 111.24 204.79
2026-08-09 5.11 0.01 0.11 0.33 1.30 19.31 63.31 128.71 238.08
2026-08-16 6.06 0.03 0.14 0.40 1.54 23.09 76.37 156.08 290.04
2026-08-23 3.91 0.00 0.05 0.22 0.95 15.14 50.61 104.04 194.26
2026-08-30 6.56 0.03 0.15 0.42 1.63 25.47 85.75 177.12 332.20
2026-09-06 3.89 0.00 0.05 0.20 0.93 15.36 52.28 108.60 204.67
2026-09-13 6.20 0.02 0.13 0.37 1.51 24.59 84.28 175.93 333.01
2026-09-20 4.71 0.00 0.07 0.25 1.12 18.93 65.50 137.47 261.41
2026-09-27 5.20 0.00 0.08 0.28 1.23 21.08 73.53 155.13 296.32
2026-10-04 6.87 0.02 0.13 0.39 1.63 28.02 98.52 208.88 400.74
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