Prediction 1004

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Amazonas

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 44.71 7.63 10.15 14.10 24.37 81.95 141.32 195.79 259.77
2025-10-12 45.22 7.34 9.84 13.80 24.23 84.31 147.64 206.43 276.07
2025-10-19 46.00 7.11 9.62 13.60 24.24 87.18 154.95 218.58 294.57
2025-10-26 51.30 7.57 10.32 14.72 26.61 98.80 178.16 253.51 344.23
2025-11-02 52.96 7.47 10.25 14.75 27.04 103.61 189.47 271.90 371.90
2025-11-09 51.06 6.88 9.51 13.81 25.67 101.45 188.12 272.19 374.99
2025-11-16 54.58 7.04 9.80 14.34 27.04 110.07 206.87 301.76 418.64
2025-11-23 55.20 6.82 9.56 14.11 26.94 112.97 215.16 316.33 441.89
2025-11-30 58.39 6.92 9.77 14.52 28.09 121.23 233.88 346.54 487.35
2025-12-07 70.12 7.99 11.35 16.99 33.28 147.65 288.48 430.69 609.69
2025-12-14 67.00 7.32 10.48 15.81 31.36 143.05 283.01 425.69 606.53
2025-12-21 74.00 7.78 11.20 17.01 34.16 160.14 320.71 485.94 696.79
2026-01-04 67.62 6.83 9.89 15.15 30.80 148.32 300.65 458.84 662.05
2026-01-11 58.69 5.69 8.30 12.81 26.37 130.46 267.59 411.30 597.12
2026-01-18 47.28 4.39 6.46 10.05 20.96 106.49 221.01 342.09 499.66
2026-01-25 106.46 9.64 14.20 22.19 46.67 242.69 509.36 793.75 1166.22
2026-02-01 114.54 10.00 14.82 23.31 49.59 264.38 561.17 880.42 1301.15
2026-02-08 109.99 9.26 13.81 21.86 47.03 257.05 551.71 871.35 1295.20
2026-02-15 118.99 9.67 14.50 23.11 50.27 281.47 610.78 970.99 1451.54
2026-02-22 121.50 9.53 14.38 23.07 50.72 290.89 638.08 1020.97 1534.84
2026-03-01 133.68 10.14 15.38 24.82 55.15 323.84 717.96 1156.12 1747.65
2026-03-08 126.37 9.26 14.12 22.94 51.52 309.75 693.99 1124.59 1709.29
2026-03-15 117.79 8.33 12.79 20.91 47.47 292.07 661.21 1078.14 1647.56
2026-03-22 124.18 8.50 13.12 21.58 49.48 311.45 712.34 1168.66 1795.41
2026-03-29 123.01 8.15 12.64 20.92 48.46 312.01 720.89 1189.88 1837.65
2026-04-05 129.41 8.30 12.94 21.55 50.42 331.90 774.55 1286.13 1996.63
2026-04-12 107.18 6.64 10.42 17.46 41.29 277.94 655.09 1094.22 1707.46
2026-04-19 112.58 6.76 10.66 17.97 42.91 295.14 702.45 1180.21 1851.01
2026-04-26 110.48 6.42 10.18 17.28 41.65 292.78 703.60 1189.01 1874.18
2026-05-03 99.07 5.57 8.89 15.17 36.95 265.36 643.85 1094.29 1733.46
2026-05-10 96.11 5.24 8.40 14.42 35.47 260.16 637.24 1089.20 1733.90
2026-05-17 87.07 4.59 7.41 12.80 31.79 238.17 588.88 1012.21 1619.20
2026-05-24 80.18 4.09 6.64 11.55 28.97 221.61 553.05 955.91 1536.50
2026-05-31 81.87 4.06 6.61 11.57 29.28 228.58 575.69 1000.53 1615.90
2026-06-07 72.58 3.48 5.71 10.05 25.69 204.72 520.31 909.20 1475.35
2026-06-14 63.66 2.95 4.87 8.64 22.30 181.38 465.18 817.27 1332.39
2026-06-21 41.17 1.82 3.04 5.45 14.26 118.55 306.81 541.95 887.65
2026-06-28 43.48 1.82 3.08 5.57 14.79 127.40 334.99 597.36 986.50
2026-07-05 40.50 1.62 2.76 5.03 13.57 120.44 320.93 576.84 959.18
2026-07-12 35.88 1.36 2.34 4.32 11.84 108.32 292.48 529.88 887.18
2026-07-19 36.78 1.34 2.32 4.32 11.97 112.60 307.85 561.93 946.95
2026-07-26 43.41 1.53 2.66 4.97 13.94 134.72 372.99 686.00 1163.65
2026-08-02 37.90 1.27 2.23 4.22 12.00 119.27 334.31 619.38 1057.34
2026-08-09 39.06 1.25 2.22 4.24 12.20 124.62 353.62 660.00 1133.90
2026-08-16 31.57 0.95 1.72 3.32 9.71 102.10 293.27 551.32 953.11
2026-08-23 31.87 0.92 1.68 3.26 9.68 104.45 303.63 574.90 1000.09
2026-08-30 28.17 0.77 1.42 2.80 8.43 93.56 275.20 524.76 918.45
2026-09-06 30.28 0.80 1.49 2.94 8.95 101.89 303.22 582.25 1025.28
2026-09-13 27.67 0.69 1.30 2.61 8.07 94.32 283.96 549.04 972.60
2026-09-20 31.19 0.76 1.43 2.89 8.99 107.64 327.76 638.08 1137.06
2026-09-27 33.98 0.80 1.52 3.08 9.67 118.75 365.70 716.75 1284.75
2026-10-04 36.51 0.84 1.59 3.23 10.27 129.17 402.23 793.65 1430.89
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