Prediction 1005

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 27.81 3.55 4.97 7.29 13.76 56.10 105.41 153.72 213.21
2025-10-12 26.87 3.21 4.53 6.73 12.99 55.43 106.30 156.91 219.93
2025-10-19 24.12 2.69 3.84 5.79 11.41 50.88 99.53 148.66 210.52
2025-10-26 25.63 2.68 3.88 5.91 11.86 55.23 110.11 166.37 237.96
2025-11-02 25.91 2.55 3.72 5.74 11.75 57.02 115.82 176.96 255.57
2025-11-09 24.50 2.26 3.34 5.21 10.88 55.02 113.82 175.81 256.32
2025-11-16 21.63 1.87 2.80 4.42 9.41 49.55 104.36 162.93 239.75
2025-11-23 22.57 1.84 2.78 4.45 9.63 52.71 112.95 178.18 264.55
2025-11-30 21.48 1.65 2.52 4.08 8.99 51.13 111.44 177.58 265.99
2025-12-07 23.50 1.71 2.64 4.31 9.66 56.96 126.20 203.10 306.83
2025-12-14 24.66 1.71 2.65 4.37 9.96 60.84 137.01 222.65 339.22
2025-12-21 25.16 1.65 2.59 4.31 9.98 63.21 144.61 237.25 364.46
2026-01-04 23.57 1.46 2.31 3.90 9.18 60.24 140.00 231.85 359.06
2026-01-11 21.18 1.23 1.98 3.38 8.11 55.10 130.04 217.35 339.29
2026-01-18 23.55 1.31 2.12 3.65 8.87 62.27 149.19 251.58 395.82
2026-01-25 58.96 3.26 5.23 8.97 21.93 158.23 384.52 654.11 1036.96
2026-02-01 71.91 3.81 6.15 10.62 26.33 196.10 483.50 829.67 1325.25
2026-02-08 80.11 4.06 6.60 11.49 28.87 221.95 555.13 960.78 1546.12
2026-02-15 101.39 4.93 8.05 14.13 35.99 285.31 723.70 1263.13 2047.60
2026-02-22 115.16 5.36 8.82 15.59 40.26 329.07 846.35 1489.55 2432.11
2026-03-01 136.03 6.07 10.05 17.91 46.85 394.65 1029.01 1825.90 3002.57
2026-03-08 142.77 6.10 10.17 18.27 48.44 420.46 1111.20 1987.74 3291.70
2026-03-15 155.97 6.39 10.72 19.41 52.14 466.15 1248.45 2251.14 3753.74
2026-03-22 159.95 6.28 10.61 19.36 52.70 485.09 1316.36 2392.33 4016.47
2026-03-29 171.21 6.45 10.96 20.16 55.60 526.75 1448.06 2652.19 4482.84
2026-04-05 183.82 6.64 11.37 21.08 58.86 573.63 1597.27 2947.97 5016.01
2026-04-12 182.80 6.34 10.93 20.40 57.71 578.53 1631.41 3033.86 5196.17
2026-04-19 190.58 6.35 11.01 20.72 59.34 611.60 1746.33 3271.95 5640.42
2026-04-26 195.45 6.25 10.92 20.70 60.03 635.87 1838.20 3469.62 6019.64
2026-05-03 199.91 6.15 10.81 20.63 60.57 659.28 1929.28 3668.24 6404.69
2026-05-10 183.28 5.41 9.58 18.43 54.79 612.61 1814.51 3475.04 6105.51
2026-05-17 205.06 5.83 10.38 20.12 60.49 694.53 2081.83 4015.57 7099.06
2026-05-24 207.38 5.67 10.17 19.84 60.38 711.67 2158.53 4193.05 7458.39
2026-05-31 199.26 5.24 9.46 18.60 57.26 692.76 2125.88 4158.61 7442.14
2026-06-07 179.37 4.53 8.24 16.32 50.88 631.69 1961.06 3862.84 6954.48
2026-06-14 148.70 3.60 6.60 13.19 41.63 530.42 1665.67 3303.57 5983.05
2026-06-21 101.21 2.33 4.32 8.74 27.96 365.68 1161.49 2319.32 4225.30
2026-06-28 87.27 1.88 3.54 7.25 23.64 321.42 1038.57 2095.23 3851.14
2026-07-05 71.61 1.44 2.76 5.72 19.03 268.70 882.85 1798.95 3335.28
2026-07-12 59.12 1.11 2.16 4.54 15.41 226.01 755.03 1553.83 2905.73
2026-07-19 56.21 0.99 1.95 4.16 14.38 218.92 743.63 1545.70 2915.62
2026-07-26 49.14 0.80 1.61 3.50 12.33 195.01 673.63 1414.31 2691.07
2026-08-02 44.92 0.68 1.40 3.08 11.05 181.65 638.10 1353.22 2597.32
2026-08-09 39.37 0.55 1.15 2.59 9.50 162.21 579.40 1241.07 2402.77
2026-08-16 32.52 0.41 0.89 2.05 7.69 136.54 495.86 1072.69 2094.67
2026-08-23 31.49 0.37 0.82 1.91 7.31 134.64 497.00 1085.67 2137.98
2026-08-30 27.57 0.29 0.67 1.60 6.27 120.01 450.19 992.90 1971.64
2026-09-06 25.29 0.24 0.58 1.41 5.65 112.06 427.06 950.84 1903.64
2026-09-13 22.90 0.19 0.49 1.22 5.02 103.29 399.84 898.56 1813.57
2026-09-20 20.22 0.15 0.40 1.03 4.34 92.81 364.84 827.47 1683.46
2026-09-27 18.32 0.11 0.33 0.89 3.86 85.56 341.51 781.65 1602.80
2026-10-04 17.45 0.09 0.30 0.82 3.61 82.88 335.85 775.64 1602.92
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