Prediction 1006

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Ceará

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 29.34 6.86 8.68 11.37 17.82 48.26 75.50 98.67 124.44
2025-10-12 29.72 6.66 8.48 11.20 17.79 49.58 78.57 103.47 131.38
2025-10-19 21.53 4.61 5.92 7.88 12.70 36.45 58.49 77.62 99.20
2025-10-26 20.94 4.31 5.57 7.47 12.19 35.93 58.38 78.04 100.37
2025-11-02 20.46 4.04 5.26 7.12 11.75 35.59 58.51 78.77 101.93
2025-11-09 18.14 3.44 4.51 6.14 10.27 31.96 53.17 72.08 93.85
2025-11-16 15.34 2.79 3.68 5.06 8.57 27.39 46.10 62.93 82.42
2025-11-23 17.45 3.07 4.07 5.63 9.64 31.54 53.66 73.74 97.13
2025-11-30 18.36 3.12 4.16 5.79 10.02 33.57 57.74 79.86 105.79
2025-12-07 20.75 3.41 4.58 6.41 11.20 38.39 66.73 92.88 123.71
2025-12-14 18.12 2.87 3.87 5.46 9.66 33.93 59.60 83.48 111.80
2025-12-21 15.68 2.39 3.25 4.61 8.25 29.71 52.74 74.33 100.08
2026-01-04 11.63 1.69 2.32 3.33 6.04 22.30 40.02 56.75 76.82
2026-01-11 10.19 1.42 1.97 2.85 5.23 19.77 35.83 51.12 69.57
2026-01-18 6.29 0.81 1.15 1.69 3.17 12.38 22.68 32.57 44.56
2026-01-25 15.19 2.02 2.81 4.10 7.65 30.08 55.54 80.14 110.13
2026-02-01 18.71 2.43 3.39 4.97 9.33 37.40 69.70 101.13 139.66
2026-02-08 23.03 2.92 4.09 6.01 11.38 46.50 87.45 127.59 177.03
2026-02-15 26.53 3.28 4.60 6.80 12.98 54.10 102.66 150.60 209.94
2026-02-22 33.68 4.06 5.72 8.49 16.33 69.35 132.77 195.80 274.24
2026-03-01 31.03 3.62 5.14 7.67 14.89 64.54 124.68 184.87 260.13
2026-03-08 36.83 4.19 5.97 8.94 17.51 77.34 150.71 224.62 317.50
2026-03-15 44.43 4.94 7.05 10.61 20.93 94.19 185.12 277.34 393.79
2026-03-22 45.97 4.97 7.13 10.78 21.45 98.38 195.02 293.66 418.82
2026-03-29 55.15 5.81 8.37 12.71 25.51 119.12 238.11 360.36 516.20
2026-04-05 66.69 6.86 9.91 15.12 30.57 145.36 292.97 445.61 641.08
2026-04-12 75.19 7.54 10.93 16.76 34.15 165.38 336.10 513.73 742.25
2026-04-19 85.76 8.38 12.20 18.80 38.61 190.34 389.97 598.99 869.11
2026-04-26 93.63 8.92 13.04 20.18 41.78 209.68 433.07 668.41 973.91
2026-05-03 96.43 8.95 13.15 20.44 42.65 217.87 453.59 703.44 1029.20
2026-05-10 101.01 9.14 13.48 21.06 44.29 230.22 483.10 752.74 1105.86
2026-05-17 109.09 9.63 14.26 22.37 47.42 250.80 530.40 830.33 1224.80
2026-05-24 135.55 11.69 17.37 27.37 58.43 314.29 669.81 1053.42 1560.11
2026-05-31 152.15 12.81 19.10 30.24 65.04 355.79 764.07 1207.17 1794.94
2026-06-07 150.16 12.34 18.46 29.36 63.64 354.09 766.22 1216.08 1815.33
2026-06-14 132.80 10.64 15.99 25.55 55.81 315.79 688.51 1097.68 1644.98
2026-06-21 75.37 5.85 8.85 14.24 31.39 180.78 397.15 636.01 956.83
2026-06-28 80.26 5.89 8.99 14.61 32.78 196.31 438.92 710.36 1078.51
2026-07-05 80.54 5.63 8.66 14.21 32.35 200.28 454.51 742.16 1135.52
2026-07-12 71.40 4.75 7.37 12.20 28.21 180.45 415.50 684.38 1055.02
2026-07-19 61.37 3.89 6.09 10.17 23.88 157.51 367.70 610.64 948.08
2026-07-26 57.01 3.44 5.44 9.17 21.84 148.56 351.59 588.70 920.53
2026-08-02 51.49 2.97 4.73 8.05 19.43 136.18 326.62 551.24 867.91
2026-08-09 45.43 2.49 4.01 6.89 16.88 121.96 296.39 504.20 799.30
2026-08-16 39.96 2.09 3.39 5.89 14.63 108.84 267.95 459.35 733.10
2026-08-23 42.79 2.15 3.51 6.14 15.45 118.20 294.73 509.14 817.97
2026-08-30 35.27 1.68 2.78 4.91 12.55 98.84 249.59 434.43 702.50
2026-09-06 32.69 1.49 2.48 4.42 11.46 92.88 237.49 416.45 677.79
2026-09-13 29.22 1.26 2.13 3.84 10.10 84.20 217.96 385.01 630.62
2026-09-20 24.05 0.98 1.68 3.07 8.19 70.28 184.16 327.69 540.11
2026-09-27 20.23 0.77 1.35 2.50 6.79 59.93 158.95 284.86 472.45
2026-10-04 19.09 0.69 1.23 2.29 6.31 57.29 153.78 277.55 463.16
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