Prediction 1007

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Distrito Federal

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 29.84 3.66 5.14 7.61 14.56 61.07 116.24 170.84 238.56
2025-10-12 32.17 3.64 5.18 7.78 15.27 67.68 132.07 197.00 278.67
2025-10-19 29.24 3.04 4.40 6.71 13.50 63.20 126.37 191.25 273.95
2025-10-26 26.60 2.55 3.74 5.79 11.96 59.03 120.84 185.50 268.98
2025-11-02 28.22 2.51 3.73 5.86 12.37 64.25 134.56 209.40 307.27
2025-11-09 29.11 2.40 3.62 5.76 12.44 67.93 145.49 229.45 340.62
2025-11-16 30.22 2.32 3.54 5.71 12.61 72.23 158.11 252.62 379.29
2025-11-23 36.54 2.63 4.05 6.61 14.90 89.42 199.92 323.52 491.11
2025-11-30 39.81 2.68 4.17 6.90 15.86 99.67 227.51 372.76 572.00
2025-12-07 49.43 3.14 4.92 8.22 19.27 126.56 294.78 488.88 758.13
2025-12-14 56.31 3.36 5.31 8.98 21.47 147.38 350.15 587.66 920.77
2025-12-21 65.55 3.68 5.88 10.05 24.47 175.29 424.64 721.02 1141.20
2026-01-04 69.23 3.65 5.89 10.19 25.30 189.10 466.93 801.94 1281.90
2026-01-11 67.67 3.35 5.47 9.57 24.22 188.74 474.85 824.72 1331.20
2026-01-18 63.27 2.94 4.85 8.60 22.18 180.11 461.55 810.48 1320.75
2026-01-25 110.09 4.89 8.10 14.46 37.88 319.62 833.82 1480.02 2434.45
2026-02-01 120.47 5.05 8.46 15.25 40.64 356.66 947.07 1698.95 2820.36
2026-02-08 133.56 5.30 8.95 16.30 44.21 403.13 1089.25 1974.46 3307.47
2026-02-15 156.48 5.89 10.02 18.43 50.83 481.35 1323.02 2422.88 4094.84
2026-02-22 179.62 6.41 11.00 20.43 57.27 562.94 1573.51 2910.79 4962.60
2026-03-01 194.60 6.58 11.39 21.37 60.91 621.20 1765.36 3298.22 5671.71
2026-03-08 192.52 6.17 10.78 20.42 59.18 625.82 1807.74 3410.53 5914.74
2026-03-15 209.01 6.37 11.21 21.44 63.11 691.65 2030.25 3867.36 6763.18
2026-03-22 217.57 6.29 11.17 21.58 64.55 732.73 2185.17 4202.11 7409.25
2026-03-29 220.10 6.05 10.83 21.12 64.18 754.24 2284.74 4434.82 7883.24
2026-04-05 227.10 5.94 10.72 21.10 65.10 791.65 2435.26 4770.78 8548.50
2026-04-12 232.53 5.79 10.53 20.92 65.54 824.38 2574.80 5090.21 9193.10
2026-04-19 226.34 5.36 9.84 19.72 62.74 815.92 2586.87 5160.19 9392.32
2026-04-26 223.14 5.03 9.31 18.84 60.84 817.73 2631.30 5295.54 9713.06
2026-05-03 228.60 4.91 9.17 18.71 61.32 851.48 2780.22 5644.43 10431.86
2026-05-10 223.49 4.58 8.61 17.74 58.99 845.91 2802.25 5738.53 10685.61
2026-05-17 222.55 4.35 8.25 17.14 57.82 855.80 2875.76 5939.61 11142.27
2026-05-24 212.51 3.96 7.57 15.88 54.35 830.15 2829.22 5893.02 11136.13
2026-05-31 204.36 3.63 7.00 14.82 51.45 810.76 2801.97 5885.18 11202.14
2026-06-07 180.60 3.05 5.95 12.71 44.77 727.62 2549.56 5399.44 10351.41
2026-06-14 166.20 2.68 5.26 11.35 40.57 679.84 2414.89 5156.16 9955.28
2026-06-21 126.06 1.92 3.82 8.34 30.30 523.52 1884.97 4057.38 7888.91
2026-06-28 105.39 1.49 3.02 6.69 24.80 446.88 1639.22 3567.85 7004.30
2026-07-05 83.99 1.10 2.27 5.12 19.38 362.99 1354.36 2977.98 5898.08
2026-07-12 65.27 0.78 1.66 3.82 14.76 287.50 1091.12 2423.65 4842.63
2026-07-19 46.07 0.49 1.09 2.57 10.20 206.94 798.92 1792.81 3613.98
2026-07-26 39.91 0.38 0.88 2.13 8.65 182.71 717.55 1626.76 3308.44
2026-08-02 36.07 0.31 0.75 1.85 7.67 168.35 672.58 1540.44 3160.77
2026-08-09 27.78 0.20 0.53 1.35 5.77 132.22 537.35 1243.35 2573.86
2026-08-16 25.59 0.16 0.45 1.19 5.21 124.15 513.21 1199.64 2505.34
2026-08-23 24.99 0.14 0.41 1.11 4.99 123.55 519.44 1226.54 2584.07
2026-08-30 24.21 0.12 0.38 1.03 4.74 121.95 521.41 1243.62 2643.00
2026-09-06 22.69 0.10 0.33 0.93 4.36 116.46 506.33 1219.78 2614.88
2026-09-13 20.59 0.07 0.27 0.80 3.87 107.67 475.95 1158.03 2503.97
2026-09-20 22.25 0.08 0.28 0.84 4.11 118.49 532.45 1308.29 2853.10
2026-09-27 22.99 0.07 0.28 0.84 4.17 124.64 569.29 1412.52 3106.58
2026-10-04 22.61 0.06 0.26 0.79 4.03 124.82 579.40 1451.60 3219.46
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