Prediction 1008

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
Download CSV Dashboard
Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Espírito Santo

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 313.62 5.70 10.92 23.00 79.37 1238.31 4261.46 8928.12 16957.13
2025-10-12 324.51 5.03 9.90 21.47 77.81 1352.40 4885.88 10538.45 20527.01
2025-10-19 323.39 4.29 8.66 19.35 73.56 1420.55 5381.00 11940.05 23835.91
2025-10-26 300.21 3.41 7.08 16.28 64.86 1388.19 5506.95 12561.96 25685.83
2025-11-02 770.19 7.69 16.20 38.09 158.39 3743.63 15534.99 36405.42 76200.77
2025-11-09 762.14 6.58 14.22 34.34 149.25 3890.11 16868.91 40586.11 86913.89
2025-11-16 1167.90 8.82 19.42 48.10 218.08 6252.61 28304.31 69873.93 153009.17
2025-11-23 1614.55 10.66 23.99 60.87 287.75 9056.91 42758.50 108245.04 242261.57
2025-11-30 1454.43 8.39 19.31 50.26 247.63 8540.08 42010.75 109001.39 249216.66
2025-12-07 1908.61 9.68 22.74 60.60 310.77 11719.27 60017.32 159517.49 372414.00
2025-12-14 2620.93 11.73 28.08 76.60 408.49 16813.38 89567.38 243740.02 580805.69
2025-12-21 2548.86 10.05 24.59 68.65 380.56 17068.22 94506.28 263195.42 639869.16
2026-01-04 2323.47 8.09 20.21 57.75 332.60 16227.78 93321.82 265856.06 659172.47
2026-01-11 4023.96 12.48 31.70 92.53 552.77 29288.88 174810.22 509201.49 1287124.02
2026-01-18 8070.12 22.33 57.67 171.90 1064.63 61168.61 378648.44 1127303.89 2903995.88
2026-01-25 5395.98 13.26 34.96 106.53 684.04 42560.87 273073.25 830608.85 2179860.90
2026-02-01 10158.04 22.34 59.89 186.25 1238.39 83317.27 553723.99 1720129.56 4597588.00
2026-02-08 8346.49 16.39 44.78 142.23 979.13 71142.74 489463.24 1552327.78 4224298.45
2026-02-15 8397.53 14.77 41.07 133.17 948.56 74336.80 529147.38 1712723.28 4743861.45
2026-02-22 9868.61 15.58 44.09 145.83 1074.02 90671.11 667402.08 2203957.77 6211528.72
2026-03-01 11803.40 16.76 48.24 162.70 1238.39 112493.76 855786.56 2882373.12 8263761.69
2026-03-08 11977.88 15.31 44.82 154.16 1212.17 118349.79 930046.87 3193949.39 9312680.92
2026-03-15 13293.34 15.32 45.61 159.93 1298.33 136099.08 1104290.60 3865624.87 11459793.90
2026-03-22 14983.57 15.60 47.21 168.66 1413.05 158871.68 1330345.32 4745625.65 14300676.31
2026-03-29 15729.67 14.81 45.55 165.81 1433.07 172641.92 1491284.61 5419593.10 16597222.83
2026-04-05 15749.93 13.42 41.97 155.62 1386.87 178852.05 1593010.57 5896449.29 18347142.14
2026-04-12 15986.91 12.35 39.24 148.19 1361.23 187745.60 1723558.10 6496156.49 20532911.44
2026-04-19 24023.93 16.89 54.43 209.13 1978.89 291639.93 2758430.88 10583957.96 33975735.05
2026-04-26 15255.39 9.71 31.87 124.75 1216.12 191355.54 1864013.57 7279324.39 23727515.57
2026-05-03 14940.77 8.65 28.84 114.90 1153.15 193564.86 1941185.72 7713813.99 25526283.59
2026-05-10 13969.43 7.35 24.93 101.09 1044.30 186851.31 1928477.40 7796220.50 26186621.53
2026-05-17 13130.04 6.29 21.69 89.48 951.07 181251.37 1924545.37 7913630.79 26975562.99
2026-05-24 13264.49 5.80 20.30 85.19 931.32 188904.99 2062881.65 8626082.38 29835461.62
2026-05-31 12042.48 4.80 17.08 72.93 819.85 176868.81 1985759.15 8442556.27 29624094.05
2026-06-07 11267.25 4.09 14.82 64.39 744.05 170602.63 1968658.51 8508343.91 30282936.11
2026-06-14 10174.70 3.37 12.42 54.89 651.94 158772.99 1882521.10 8269199.73 29849039.97
2026-06-21 9957.64 3.01 11.29 50.76 619.29 160087.55 1949721.71 8703008.66 31855503.74
2026-06-28 8988.93 2.49 9.50 43.41 543.44 148661.04 1857254.31 8417567.58 31220667.83
2026-07-05 12479.94 3.21 12.34 57.16 733.61 212280.10 2720019.01 12515936.61 47035177.81
2026-07-12 8178.75 1.90 7.52 35.50 467.56 143039.80 1879248.71 8777639.20 33417712.22
2026-07-19 7082.18 1.50 6.07 29.16 393.88 127311.83 1714489.21 8127459.69 31342088.52
2026-07-26 6374.43 1.23 5.10 24.91 345.01 117744.63 1624893.12 7816262.10 30526961.69
2026-08-02 5569.45 0.98 4.15 20.66 293.43 105677.24 1494058.72 7291674.86 28837880.29
2026-08-09 4848.38 0.77 3.37 17.08 248.73 94474.41 1368022.00 6772862.96 27120824.07
2026-08-16 4758.55 0.69 3.09 15.94 237.77 95196.81 1411526.14 7088018.90 28733961.84
2026-08-23 4406.92 0.58 2.68 14.04 214.53 90490.35 1373586.01 6995009.88 28704289.99
2026-08-30 4151.34 0.49 2.36 12.58 196.93 87471.63 1358974.35 7017500.70 29145978.37
2026-09-06 3736.24 0.39 1.98 10.77 172.75 80764.87 1283997.33 6722308.58 28255570.48
2026-09-13 3688.88 0.35 1.83 10.13 166.29 81788.38 1330274.24 7060330.34 30029882.22
2026-09-20 3320.83 0.28 1.53 8.68 145.97 75501.69 1256110.29 6757551.79 29081451.38
2026-09-27 3356.42 0.26 1.45 8.36 143.90 78235.85 1331112.52 7257785.05 31599883.43
2026-10-04 3555.86 0.25 1.45 8.46 148.74 84957.76 1477981.11 8166528.66 35969262.03
Chat
chatbot