Prediction 1009

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Goiás

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 83.99 18.84 23.97 31.63 50.25 140.35 222.76 293.69 373.25
2025-10-12 77.15 16.42 21.07 28.08 45.33 131.24 211.68 281.77 361.10
2025-10-19 78.69 15.92 20.60 27.71 45.44 136.20 223.13 299.79 387.31
2025-10-26 80.93 15.59 20.33 27.60 45.96 142.46 236.94 321.25 418.31
2025-11-02 81.53 14.97 19.68 26.95 45.54 145.88 246.23 336.80 441.93
2025-11-09 85.45 14.98 19.84 27.40 46.98 155.35 266.01 366.99 485.14
2025-11-16 92.21 15.45 20.61 28.71 49.91 170.28 295.67 411.35 547.74
2025-11-23 107.82 17.30 23.23 32.62 57.49 202.14 355.83 499.11 669.33
2025-11-30 118.35 18.19 24.60 34.82 62.18 225.20 401.74 568.03 767.06
2025-12-07 137.08 20.21 27.51 39.24 70.99 264.64 478.31 681.60 926.70
2025-12-14 146.73 20.75 28.44 40.88 74.91 287.32 525.98 755.30 1033.74
2025-12-21 155.30 21.09 29.10 42.14 78.19 308.37 571.64 827.04 1139.33
2026-01-04 133.45 17.41 24.17 35.27 66.27 268.64 504.18 734.83 1018.79
2026-01-11 96.85 12.12 16.95 24.93 47.44 197.63 375.42 551.15 768.95
2026-01-18 102.84 12.39 17.43 25.82 49.71 212.63 408.73 604.33 848.33
2026-01-25 200.49 23.34 33.00 49.18 95.72 419.82 816.38 1215.43 1716.48
2026-02-01 251.44 28.23 40.14 60.22 118.54 533.21 1048.79 1572.16 2233.48
2026-02-08 273.11 29.57 42.30 63.88 127.16 586.44 1166.53 1760.47 2515.65
2026-02-15 313.11 32.72 47.07 71.55 144.01 680.65 1369.00 2079.76 2989.03
2026-02-22 377.45 38.09 55.10 84.31 171.52 830.49 1688.66 2582.16 3732.14
2026-03-01 399.56 38.95 56.66 87.25 179.42 889.69 1828.56 2814.12 4090.13
2026-03-08 394.45 37.16 54.35 84.23 175.05 888.69 1845.93 2858.90 4178.10
2026-03-15 389.28 35.45 52.14 81.31 170.76 887.28 1862.32 2902.35 4264.63
2026-03-22 396.36 34.92 51.63 81.01 171.89 913.79 1937.80 3038.63 4488.78
2026-03-29 397.32 33.87 50.34 79.48 170.38 926.40 1984.59 3130.95 4649.58
2026-04-05 430.51 35.53 53.09 84.32 182.57 1015.01 2196.28 3485.74 5203.43
2026-04-12 445.10 35.58 53.44 85.38 186.69 1060.99 2318.59 3701.70 5554.25
2026-04-19 452.10 35.02 52.86 84.95 187.58 1089.42 2404.07 3860.66 5822.19
2026-04-26 444.58 33.38 50.64 81.85 182.50 1082.86 2412.75 3897.03 5906.54
2026-05-03 450.69 32.81 50.03 81.33 183.05 1109.42 2495.60 4053.91 6174.77
2026-05-10 436.16 30.79 47.19 77.15 175.30 1084.95 2463.66 4024.64 6160.25
2026-05-17 465.61 31.90 49.12 80.76 185.22 1170.25 2682.21 4406.14 6776.86
2026-05-24 481.71 32.04 49.57 81.94 189.67 1223.16 2829.41 4673.65 7222.73
2026-05-31 469.44 30.31 47.12 78.33 182.98 1204.13 2810.88 4668.42 7248.86
2026-06-07 389.25 24.40 38.11 63.71 150.20 1008.53 2375.62 3966.86 6188.41
2026-06-14 264.93 16.10 25.29 42.53 101.20 693.30 1647.75 2766.20 4335.38
2026-06-21 117.58 6.89 10.91 18.48 44.44 310.82 745.34 1257.93 1980.60
2026-06-28 111.20 6.10 9.77 16.75 41.11 300.49 734.95 1255.13 1996.55
2026-07-05 98.48 5.10 8.25 14.30 35.71 271.23 674.82 1164.29 1868.55
2026-07-12 79.75 3.89 6.36 11.16 28.38 223.79 566.16 986.60 1597.11
2026-07-19 62.43 2.86 4.74 8.41 21.80 178.50 459.18 808.17 1319.62
2026-07-26 51.25 2.21 3.70 6.65 17.55 149.30 390.53 694.25 1143.45
2026-08-02 42.74 1.72 2.93 5.34 14.35 126.85 337.43 605.87 1006.56
2026-08-09 36.37 1.37 2.36 4.37 11.98 109.99 297.48 539.50 904.07
2026-08-16 33.40 1.18 2.06 3.86 10.79 102.90 282.98 518.30 876.03
2026-08-23 33.52 1.12 1.98 3.74 10.64 105.19 294.04 543.88 927.12
2026-08-30 29.73 0.93 1.66 3.19 9.26 95.01 269.97 504.25 866.87
2026-09-06 30.02 0.88 1.61 3.12 9.18 97.69 282.08 531.96 922.18
2026-09-13 26.57 0.73 1.35 2.65 7.97 88.02 258.27 491.75 859.57
2026-09-20 27.27 0.71 1.32 2.63 8.04 91.94 274.07 526.77 928.35
2026-09-27 26.92 0.66 1.25 2.51 7.80 92.34 279.58 542.40 963.67
2026-10-04 28.80 0.67 1.28 2.60 8.20 100.49 308.96 604.94 1083.41
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