Prediction 101

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Temp-SPI Interaction Model
Autor

Descrição:

Validation test 1 for three-way interaction model (AC)


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 135.0 - 19.0 - - - - 730.70 -
2022-10-16 151.5 - 22.0 - - - - 769.40 -
2022-10-23 170.0 - 26.0 - - - - 889.40 -
2022-10-30 193.0 - 31.0 - - - - 985.80 -
2022-11-06 222.5 - 30.0 - - - - 1240.90 -
2022-11-13 227.5 - 36.0 - - - - 1235.75 -
2022-11-20 263.0 - 36.0 - - - - 1247.25 -
2022-11-27 266.5 - 39.0 - - - - 1448.85 -
2022-12-04 289.0 - 41.0 - - - - 1524.25 -
2022-12-11 337.0 - 46.0 - - - - 1589.55 -
2022-12-18 297.0 - 50.0 - - - - 1698.90 -
2022-12-25 304.5 - 43.0 - - - - 1767.60 -
2023-01-01 351.0 - 43.0 - - - - 1787.45 -
2023-01-08 342.5 - 49.0 - - - - 1827.30 -
2023-01-15 402.5 - 58.0 - - - - 2043.95 -
2023-01-22 403.5 - 52.0 - - - - 1800.85 -
2023-01-29 394.5 - 62.0 - - - - 2213.60 -
2023-02-05 416.5 - 53.0 - - - - 1919.90 -
2023-02-12 383.5 - 57.0 - - - - 2103.70 -
2023-02-19 357.0 - 48.0 - - - - 1810.00 -
2023-02-26 295.0 - 44.0 - - - - 1568.30 -
2023-03-05 277.0 - 39.0 - - - - 1398.85 -
2023-03-12 239.5 - 31.0 - - - - 1290.50 -
2023-03-19 211.0 - 31.0 - - - - 1019.75 -
2023-03-26 193.0 - 26.0 - - - - 961.65 -
2023-04-02 190.0 - 28.0 - - - - 1006.90 -
2023-04-09 169.0 - 25.0 - - - - 940.25 -
2023-04-16 166.5 - 21.0 - - - - 836.70 -
2023-04-23 127.0 - 19.0 - - - - 620.65 -
2023-04-30 121.5 - 17.0 - - - - 626.80 -
2023-05-07 123.0 - 16.0 - - - - 618.70 -
2023-05-14 106.5 - 17.0 - - - - 540.95 -
2023-05-21 101.0 - 13.0 - - - - 508.95 -
2023-05-28 89.0 - 12.0 - - - - 458.85 -
2023-06-04 70.0 - 12.0 - - - - 352.00 -
2023-06-11 66.0 - 10.0 - - - - 324.70 -
2023-06-18 59.0 - 8.0 - - - - 322.95 -
2023-06-25 55.0 - 7.0 - - - - 308.90 -
2023-07-02 56.0 - 8.0 - - - - 309.85 -
2023-07-09 53.0 - 7.0 - - - - 254.95 -
2023-07-16 50.0 - 6.0 - - - - 256.95 -
2023-07-23 46.5 - 6.0 - - - - 246.95 -
2023-07-30 45.0 - 6.0 - - - - 246.00 -
2023-08-06 48.0 - 7.0 - - - - 249.00 -
2023-08-13 49.0 - 6.0 - - - - 241.95 -
2023-08-20 54.0 - 6.0 - - - - 315.00 -
2023-08-27 62.0 - 8.0 - - - - 324.00 -
2023-09-03 75.0 - 10.0 - - - - 417.90 -
2023-09-10 84.0 - 13.0 - - - - 382.60 -
2023-09-17 96.0 - 15.0 - - - - 512.65 -
2023-09-24 115.0 - 17.0 - - - - 615.80 -
2023-10-01 132.5 - 20.0 - - - - 677.60 -
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