Prediction 1010

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 7.68 0.87 1.26 1.90 3.70 15.84 30.27 44.58 62.34
2025-10-12 6.33 0.66 0.97 1.49 2.98 13.33 25.94 38.60 54.47
2025-10-19 7.57 0.76 1.12 1.73 3.51 16.20 32.05 48.16 68.55
2025-10-26 7.08 0.66 0.99 1.55 3.22 15.45 31.06 47.14 67.67
2025-11-02 5.59 0.47 0.73 1.17 2.48 12.45 25.45 39.01 56.48
2025-11-09 5.50 0.44 0.68 1.11 2.40 12.45 25.87 40.02 58.41
2025-11-16 8.45 0.68 1.04 1.68 3.65 19.40 40.86 63.77 93.79
2025-11-23 5.94 0.42 0.68 1.12 2.50 13.91 29.78 46.91 69.55
2025-11-30 8.26 0.59 0.93 1.54 3.45 19.62 42.58 67.64 101.03
2025-12-07 8.36 0.57 0.90 1.51 3.43 20.17 44.40 71.15 107.06
2025-12-14 7.38 0.46 0.76 1.28 2.97 18.11 40.46 65.40 99.14
2025-12-21 5.74 0.32 0.54 0.95 2.26 14.34 32.50 52.98 80.92
2026-01-04 5.37 0.28 0.48 0.85 2.08 13.62 31.32 51.48 79.19
2026-01-11 4.02 0.17 0.32 0.60 1.52 10.40 24.26 40.21 62.29
2026-01-18 4.87 0.21 0.39 0.72 1.82 12.76 30.14 50.35 78.53
2026-01-25 17.07 0.94 1.53 2.65 6.44 44.94 107.20 180.30 282.99
2026-02-01 23.74 1.29 2.09 3.61 8.86 63.36 153.03 259.33 409.74
2026-02-08 28.19 1.48 2.41 4.19 10.38 76.26 186.51 318.46 506.48
2026-02-15 29.59 1.49 2.45 4.28 10.75 81.15 200.97 345.73 553.42
2026-02-22 38.46 1.89 3.10 5.45 13.80 106.89 267.97 464.38 748.09
2026-03-01 51.57 2.46 4.05 7.14 18.27 145.20 368.40 643.06 1042.50
2026-03-08 55.13 2.53 4.19 7.45 19.28 157.32 403.96 710.21 1158.55
2026-03-15 64.26 2.85 4.75 8.48 22.19 185.76 482.67 854.63 1402.74
2026-03-22 62.77 2.68 4.49 8.08 21.39 183.84 483.31 861.78 1423.11
2026-03-29 65.77 2.70 4.56 8.26 22.13 195.11 518.90 931.68 1547.81
2026-04-05 67.55 2.67 4.54 8.28 22.44 202.96 545.98 987.03 1649.53
2026-04-12 66.10 2.52 4.30 7.91 21.68 201.13 547.21 995.98 1674.28
2026-04-19 64.67 2.37 4.08 7.55 20.95 199.24 548.16 1004.41 1698.28
2026-04-26 61.95 2.18 3.78 7.06 19.82 193.23 537.56 991.52 1686.16
2026-05-03 61.25 2.08 3.63 6.82 19.35 193.37 543.88 1009.77 1726.98
2026-05-10 56.21 1.83 3.22 6.11 17.54 179.64 510.77 954.48 1641.62
2026-05-17 57.61 1.81 3.21 6.12 17.76 186.30 535.42 1006.98 1741.57
2026-05-24 56.41 1.71 3.05 5.85 17.19 184.60 536.18 1014.82 1764.83
2026-05-31 50.67 1.47 2.65 5.13 15.25 167.81 492.57 938.18 1640.47
2026-06-07 42.75 1.18 2.15 4.22 12.71 143.24 424.89 814.35 1431.67
2026-06-14 28.97 0.74 1.39 2.77 8.49 98.26 294.55 568.05 1004.04
2026-06-21 16.14 0.35 0.71 1.47 4.65 55.49 168.13 326.28 579.81
2026-06-28 18.37 0.38 0.77 1.61 5.18 64.59 199.74 392.41 704.79
2026-07-05 17.20 0.33 0.68 1.45 4.76 61.50 193.11 382.86 693.08
2026-07-12 14.77 0.25 0.55 1.19 4.01 53.69 171.00 341.89 623.47
2026-07-19 13.07 0.20 0.45 1.01 3.48 48.32 156.21 315.10 579.03
2026-07-26 12.13 0.17 0.39 0.90 3.17 45.59 149.54 304.26 563.32
2026-08-02 12.21 0.16 0.38 0.88 3.14 46.61 155.08 318.23 593.54
2026-08-09 8.12 0.06 0.21 0.53 2.03 31.60 106.70 220.84 414.95
2026-08-16 9.38 0.08 0.24 0.61 2.32 37.02 126.71 264.42 500.41
2026-08-23 8.83 0.06 0.21 0.55 2.15 35.39 122.82 258.42 492.55
2026-08-30 8.22 0.04 0.18 0.49 1.96 33.49 117.81 249.92 479.72
2026-09-06 8.34 0.04 0.17 0.48 1.96 34.48 122.96 262.93 508.24
2026-09-13 6.77 0.01 0.11 0.36 1.55 28.46 102.90 221.82 431.76
2026-09-20 7.19 0.01 0.12 0.37 1.63 30.65 112.26 243.90 477.98
2026-09-27 6.60 0.00 0.09 0.32 1.46 28.57 106.01 232.14 458.02
2026-10-04 6.07 0.00 0.07 0.28 1.32 26.71 100.42 221.61 440.20
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