Prediction 1011

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Mato Grosso

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 55.09 9.44 12.55 17.42 30.07 100.88 173.81 240.67 319.17
2025-10-12 43.21 6.95 9.34 13.12 23.09 80.78 141.81 198.57 265.90
2025-10-19 48.69 7.39 10.03 14.23 25.51 92.86 165.96 234.90 317.49
2025-10-26 46.34 6.64 9.10 13.05 23.81 90.12 163.92 234.44 319.76
2025-11-02 55.64 7.56 10.44 15.13 28.06 110.24 203.91 294.61 405.36
2025-11-09 58.03 7.48 10.41 15.24 28.73 117.11 220.21 321.32 445.92
2025-11-16 66.90 8.19 11.50 16.99 32.54 137.42 262.59 386.85 541.35
2025-11-23 82.05 9.56 13.53 20.17 39.23 171.47 332.82 494.93 698.25
2025-11-30 96.93 10.76 15.35 23.08 45.57 206.04 406.07 609.42 866.62
2025-12-07 114.98 12.17 17.49 26.53 53.17 248.49 497.12 752.78 1078.84
2025-12-14 140.37 14.19 20.53 31.42 63.87 308.33 625.92 956.16 1380.78
2025-12-21 166.36 16.06 23.42 36.13 74.51 371.28 764.59 1178.07 1713.97
2026-01-04 172.42 15.91 23.36 36.35 76.02 390.87 816.37 1268.51 1859.09
2026-01-11 152.58 13.45 19.90 31.23 66.24 351.27 743.88 1165.47 1720.40
2026-01-18 148.86 12.55 18.71 29.60 63.66 347.91 746.86 1179.68 1753.69
2026-01-25 358.40 29.07 43.56 69.41 151.09 850.00 1849.02 2943.91 4406.69
2026-02-01 456.93 35.54 53.61 86.09 189.85 1099.54 2423.38 3888.77 5860.79
2026-02-08 565.01 42.17 64.03 103.61 231.43 1379.23 3079.25 4979.52 7555.07
2026-02-15 602.64 43.17 65.99 107.59 243.38 1491.96 3373.49 5496.95 8395.29
2026-02-22 617.71 42.50 65.38 107.41 246.03 1550.68 3550.37 5828.62 8959.79
2026-03-01 636.63 42.09 65.17 107.85 250.12 1620.18 3755.47 6210.94 9608.74
2026-03-08 642.42 40.84 63.64 106.08 249.01 1657.11 3887.97 6476.96 10083.63
2026-03-15 593.87 36.31 56.94 95.61 227.15 1552.41 3686.18 6184.95 9689.02
2026-03-22 542.34 31.91 50.35 85.15 204.73 1436.43 3451.32 5831.94 9192.18
2026-03-29 540.76 30.64 48.64 82.84 201.50 1450.90 3526.93 6001.40 9516.65
2026-04-05 526.73 28.75 45.92 78.75 193.78 1431.46 3519.90 6030.80 9620.51
2026-04-12 522.78 27.50 44.19 76.31 189.92 1438.75 3578.22 6172.52 9904.78
2026-04-19 526.13 26.69 43.14 75.00 188.76 1466.11 3687.39 6403.65 10335.65
2026-04-26 528.67 25.88 42.07 73.61 187.36 1491.46 3792.93 6630.75 10763.92
2026-05-03 602.19 28.46 46.53 81.95 210.84 1719.62 4421.29 7780.05 12701.58
2026-05-10 563.83 25.72 42.29 74.98 195.04 1629.58 4235.38 7501.33 12315.54
2026-05-17 579.18 25.52 42.20 75.30 197.98 1693.95 4450.05 7932.17 13095.43
2026-05-24 568.66 24.21 40.26 72.30 192.11 1682.86 4467.96 8014.71 13304.59
2026-05-31 575.53 23.69 39.61 71.57 192.18 1723.12 4623.01 8344.97 13928.32
2026-06-07 543.82 21.64 36.38 66.16 179.51 1647.05 4464.95 8109.78 13608.77
2026-06-14 462.85 17.80 30.10 55.09 151.04 1417.91 3883.43 7097.00 11972.81
2026-06-21 220.22 8.14 13.88 25.61 71.02 682.39 1888.12 3471.62 5887.69
2026-06-28 249.85 8.65 14.90 27.82 78.75 792.18 2237.73 4165.71 7141.14
2026-07-05 208.16 6.81 11.84 22.36 64.39 672.39 1931.29 3631.32 6279.17
2026-07-12 188.36 5.83 10.24 19.54 57.22 619.54 1808.67 3434.01 5988.31
2026-07-19 151.55 4.42 7.85 15.15 45.17 507.95 1508.18 2892.55 5088.46
2026-07-26 128.48 3.52 6.33 12.36 37.54 439.14 1326.94 2571.83 4565.65
2026-08-02 98.00 2.51 4.57 9.05 28.05 341.77 1051.48 2059.94 3691.13
2026-08-09 81.20 1.94 3.59 7.20 22.77 288.96 905.21 1792.65 3242.42
2026-08-16 74.84 1.67 3.14 6.38 20.56 271.71 866.61 1734.75 3167.06
2026-08-23 71.55 1.50 2.85 5.87 19.27 264.94 860.13 1740.15 3206.31
2026-08-30 62.45 1.22 2.36 4.92 16.49 235.84 779.21 1593.03 2962.02
2026-09-06 55.15 1.00 1.97 4.18 14.27 212.34 713.77 1474.38 2766.04
2026-09-13 49.38 0.84 1.67 3.59 12.53 193.75 662.47 1382.41 2616.46
2026-09-20 43.76 0.69 1.40 3.06 10.89 174.95 608.32 1282.19 2447.96
2026-09-27 44.33 0.65 1.35 2.99 10.83 180.51 638.08 1358.27 2615.52
2026-10-04 41.02 0.56 1.19 2.67 9.83 170.11 611.22 1313.85 2551.47
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