Prediction 1012

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Mato Grosso do Sul

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 84.24 9.54 13.57 20.33 39.89 177.79 348.11 520.39 737.51
2025-10-12 83.27 8.83 12.69 19.25 38.55 179.74 359.15 543.44 778.33
2025-10-19 75.71 7.52 10.92 16.78 34.28 167.04 340.43 521.23 754.20
2025-10-26 80.58 7.52 11.04 17.15 35.72 181.62 377.29 584.34 853.95
2025-11-02 85.18 7.48 11.09 17.43 36.99 196.02 414.88 649.76 958.82
2025-11-09 92.81 7.69 11.51 18.27 39.49 217.94 469.74 743.74 1107.93
2025-11-16 114.18 8.95 13.50 21.67 47.65 273.44 599.91 960.02 1443.36
2025-11-23 125.86 9.33 14.20 23.03 51.52 307.28 686.00 1109.27 1682.89
2025-11-30 132.80 9.31 14.31 23.44 53.34 330.41 750.29 1225.66 1875.98
2025-12-07 155.05 10.31 15.98 26.43 61.14 392.96 907.34 1497.08 2311.34
2025-12-14 143.02 9.01 14.09 23.54 55.37 369.13 866.38 1443.57 2247.74
2025-12-21 146.71 8.77 13.83 23.34 55.80 385.48 919.40 1546.70 2428.47
2026-01-04 145.11 8.24 13.11 22.33 54.23 388.02 940.16 1596.62 2527.45
2026-01-11 100.76 5.41 8.70 14.97 36.99 274.15 674.67 1156.43 1845.43
2026-01-18 115.38 5.91 9.56 16.61 41.65 319.26 797.73 1379.87 2219.45
2026-01-25 309.87 15.27 24.81 43.37 110.13 871.54 2210.26 3857.51 6252.94
2026-02-01 421.35 19.82 32.44 57.19 147.34 1204.58 3100.20 5458.60 8916.21
2026-02-08 491.18 22.06 36.37 64.67 169.02 1427.02 3726.35 6618.30 10892.24
2026-02-15 584.60 25.08 41.65 74.69 198.01 1725.60 4570.89 8188.03 13576.02
2026-02-22 688.39 28.23 47.22 85.39 229.55 2063.98 5544.76 10016.66 16729.87
2026-03-01 780.78 30.63 51.59 94.06 256.38 2377.39 6476.03 11796.68 19845.46
2026-03-08 893.38 33.54 56.89 104.56 288.93 2761.97 7627.43 14008.45 23734.52
2026-03-15 937.16 33.68 57.53 106.60 298.57 2941.17 8232.84 15243.19 26008.43
2026-03-22 1100.65 37.89 65.18 121.73 345.50 3505.81 9945.18 18561.24 31889.92
2026-03-29 1255.91 41.45 71.77 135.10 388.52 4059.31 11668.06 21949.15 37969.47
2026-04-05 1322.93 41.86 72.99 138.46 403.38 4338.21 12633.06 23950.25 41711.96
2026-04-12 1471.29 44.67 78.40 149.87 442.26 4894.09 14436.21 27580.13 48355.45
2026-04-19 1456.74 42.45 74.99 144.45 431.74 4914.61 14682.11 28264.03 49882.45
2026-04-26 1408.32 39.40 70.07 135.99 411.60 4818.04 14575.58 28270.68 50220.56
2026-05-03 1435.81 38.59 69.07 135.06 413.89 4980.33 15254.80 29808.84 53295.45
2026-05-10 1330.58 34.36 61.90 121.95 378.35 4678.76 14508.25 28559.21 51387.86
2026-05-17 1319.33 32.75 59.39 117.85 370.12 4702.28 14759.44 29265.72 52992.32
2026-05-24 1287.65 30.74 56.10 112.13 356.43 4651.08 14775.34 29508.83 53767.06
2026-05-31 1254.50 28.82 52.91 106.53 342.69 4591.68 14761.27 29691.44 54435.01
2026-06-07 1053.60 23.28 43.02 87.26 284.06 3907.21 12709.71 25745.74 47490.65
2026-06-14 863.95 18.36 34.16 69.79 229.91 3245.73 10681.89 21789.62 40437.27
2026-06-21 530.96 10.83 20.31 41.82 139.47 2020.61 6727.29 13817.99 25797.73
2026-06-28 435.06 8.29 15.74 32.82 111.73 1693.23 5752.20 11958.58 22561.17
2026-07-05 403.01 7.22 13.85 29.23 101.38 1601.13 5541.03 11647.99 22187.54
2026-07-12 313.07 5.26 10.21 21.81 77.14 1269.57 4475.27 9511.85 18292.51
2026-07-19 252.76 3.98 7.83 16.93 61.03 1045.82 3753.81 8065.18 15656.50
2026-07-26 207.70 3.07 6.11 13.38 49.15 876.64 3203.18 6955.95 13628.72
2026-08-02 160.36 2.21 4.47 9.93 37.20 690.25 2566.88 5633.14 11138.11
2026-08-09 143.08 1.85 3.79 8.53 32.54 627.90 2375.91 5268.44 10511.22
2026-08-16 110.56 1.33 2.77 6.33 24.66 494.60 1903.90 4265.30 8585.80
2026-08-23 116.45 1.32 2.79 6.44 25.49 530.79 2078.02 4702.70 9549.69
2026-08-30 99.03 1.05 2.25 5.27 21.26 459.90 1830.82 4184.90 8572.18
2026-09-06 89.59 0.88 1.93 4.59 18.88 423.80 1715.21 3959.54 8180.33
2026-09-13 81.86 0.75 1.68 4.04 16.93 394.33 1622.21 3781.59 7879.09
2026-09-20 72.71 0.62 1.41 3.46 14.76 356.64 1491.01 3509.44 7373.51
2026-09-27 65.11 0.51 1.20 2.98 12.98 325.13 1381.18 3282.09 6953.14
2026-10-04 73.80 0.56 1.31 3.28 14.46 374.98 1618.19 3881.73 8291.04
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