Prediction 1013

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Minas Gerais

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 54.14 6.87 9.59 14.07 26.66 109.81 207.45 303.53 422.22
2025-10-12 52.09 6.10 8.63 12.86 24.97 108.55 210.08 311.86 439.30
2025-10-19 56.19 6.10 8.74 13.21 26.25 120.16 238.05 358.35 510.94
2025-10-26 59.46 6.00 8.70 13.32 27.09 130.40 264.24 403.20 581.68
2025-11-02 62.03 5.83 8.55 13.27 27.58 139.39 288.73 446.40 651.39
2025-11-09 66.90 5.86 8.70 13.68 29.05 153.94 325.74 510.10 752.62
2025-11-16 66.60 5.45 8.18 13.03 28.25 156.81 338.80 537.19 801.19
2025-11-23 71.19 5.46 8.28 13.34 29.53 171.43 377.94 606.54 914.18
2025-11-30 79.12 5.69 8.72 14.23 32.11 194.73 437.87 711.07 1082.77
2025-12-07 97.64 6.62 10.23 16.87 38.80 245.51 562.77 924.49 1421.89
2025-12-14 103.50 6.60 10.31 17.19 40.27 265.74 620.73 1031.26 1601.71
2025-12-21 107.93 6.48 10.22 17.24 41.15 282.86 672.99 1130.50 1772.73
2026-01-04 109.53 6.20 9.87 16.84 40.92 292.85 709.47 1204.73 1906.92
2026-01-11 84.41 4.49 7.23 12.48 30.91 230.21 567.71 974.30 1556.44
2026-01-18 103.83 5.24 8.50 14.81 37.31 288.67 724.31 1256.01 2024.62
2026-01-25 250.45 12.07 19.70 34.58 88.39 709.35 1810.24 3171.18 5157.09
2026-02-01 330.82 15.13 24.89 44.11 114.62 954.52 2476.95 4382.80 7189.64
2026-02-08 431.87 18.75 31.09 55.64 146.93 1269.00 3347.61 5981.96 9897.08
2026-02-15 520.51 21.47 35.88 64.82 173.94 1557.15 4174.70 7532.46 12567.45
2026-02-22 658.56 25.82 43.50 79.32 216.24 2005.26 5462.29 9949.98 16738.66
2026-03-01 771.09 28.75 48.83 89.87 248.83 2389.10 6610.61 12155.16 20615.37
2026-03-08 841.48 29.85 51.11 94.93 266.93 2652.26 7452.88 13831.02 23646.29
2026-03-15 952.00 32.16 55.49 104.01 296.94 3051.70 8706.67 16305.48 28097.62
2026-03-22 1021.63 32.89 57.19 108.15 313.40 3329.87 9643.72 18223.05 31647.22
2026-03-29 1136.06 34.87 61.10 116.57 342.83 3764.12 11063.65 21091.91 36911.51
2026-04-05 1292.59 37.86 66.84 128.63 383.81 4352.67 12981.40 24964.77 44021.01
2026-04-12 1353.96 37.86 67.33 130.70 395.65 4632.77 14016.98 27189.42 48303.16
2026-04-19 1377.90 36.80 65.94 129.08 396.35 4789.68 14699.00 28755.74 51463.79
2026-04-26 1390.81 35.49 64.07 126.49 393.87 4910.46 15282.50 30149.22 54351.93
2026-05-03 1399.26 34.14 62.08 123.59 390.21 5016.95 15831.74 31492.78 57183.78
2026-05-10 1239.79 28.93 52.99 106.37 340.51 4513.33 14438.81 28958.21 52956.54
2026-05-17 1238.29 27.66 51.01 103.25 335.02 4576.13 14839.15 30003.07 55253.97
2026-05-24 1163.47 24.88 46.22 94.30 310.13 4364.03 14341.92 29230.78 54206.77
2026-05-31 1087.89 22.28 41.68 85.74 285.75 4140.98 13790.10 28329.46 52897.26
2026-06-07 859.07 16.84 31.75 65.84 222.37 3317.92 11194.74 23178.53 43574.28
2026-06-14 578.94 10.85 20.62 43.14 147.70 2268.50 7753.75 16178.88 30620.42
2026-06-21 284.77 5.07 9.75 20.61 71.58 1131.97 3919.10 8240.53 15700.25
2026-06-28 226.68 3.75 7.31 15.68 55.67 922.04 3258.94 6937.69 13360.51
2026-07-05 170.05 2.61 5.17 11.26 40.84 707.06 2548.79 5490.17 10681.38
2026-07-12 125.87 1.78 3.60 7.97 29.55 535.09 1967.50 4288.56 8429.77
2026-07-19 88.02 1.13 2.35 5.31 20.18 382.75 1436.07 3168.22 6293.07
2026-07-26 64.21 0.74 1.59 3.68 14.37 285.73 1094.28 2443.95 4906.32
2026-08-02 50.18 0.52 1.15 2.73 10.96 228.58 893.74 2020.93 4100.85
2026-08-09 42.12 0.38 0.89 2.17 8.97 196.36 783.93 1794.79 3681.43
2026-08-16 34.32 0.27 0.67 1.67 7.13 163.82 667.78 1547.97 3209.54
2026-08-23 30.07 0.20 0.53 1.39 6.09 146.92 611.42 1434.98 3007.35
2026-08-30 29.27 0.18 0.48 1.29 5.79 146.33 621.58 1476.86 3128.30
2026-09-06 26.63 0.13 0.40 1.11 5.14 136.21 590.53 1420.31 3040.48
2026-09-13 25.95 0.11 0.36 1.03 4.90 135.77 600.64 1462.16 3163.03
2026-09-20 22.92 0.08 0.29 0.86 4.22 122.62 553.45 1363.49 2980.34
2026-09-27 23.87 0.07 0.28 0.86 4.30 130.55 600.95 1498.12 3308.35
2026-10-04 27.13 0.09 0.31 0.94 4.79 151.55 711.36 1794.22 4002.61
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