Prediction 1014

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Pará

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 60.13 15.98 19.78 25.30 38.13 94.78 142.72 182.32 225.47
2025-10-12 56.22 14.56 18.10 23.26 35.34 89.40 135.70 174.19 216.30
2025-10-19 54.34 13.72 17.12 22.11 33.86 87.16 133.34 171.95 214.38
2025-10-26 54.48 13.42 16.82 21.81 33.66 88.14 135.86 176.01 220.32
2025-11-02 51.43 12.35 15.55 20.26 31.51 83.90 130.30 169.57 213.08
2025-11-09 59.93 14.07 17.77 23.26 36.43 98.57 154.22 201.57 254.26
2025-11-16 56.96 13.06 16.56 21.76 34.34 94.45 148.84 195.39 247.41
2025-11-23 64.39 14.43 18.36 24.24 38.51 107.60 170.77 225.14 286.12
2025-11-30 76.64 16.80 21.45 28.43 45.49 129.06 206.27 273.09 348.32
2025-12-07 75.42 16.16 20.72 27.57 44.42 127.99 205.99 273.84 350.54
2025-12-14 75.64 15.86 20.40 27.26 44.22 129.35 209.59 279.78 359.41
2025-12-21 75.42 15.47 19.97 26.79 43.76 129.95 211.99 284.11 366.26
2026-01-04 44.02 8.80 11.41 15.39 25.33 76.43 125.54 168.93 218.54
2026-01-11 51.31 10.06 13.08 17.70 29.32 89.73 148.35 200.41 260.15
2026-01-18 62.52 12.01 15.68 21.29 35.48 110.11 183.20 248.45 323.57
2026-01-25 171.36 32.39 42.36 57.69 96.63 303.82 508.63 692.35 904.64
2026-02-01 236.18 43.78 57.42 78.48 132.27 421.66 710.36 970.58 1272.33
2026-02-08 289.74 52.65 69.27 95.03 161.16 520.85 882.94 1210.88 1592.48
2026-02-15 277.69 49.46 65.29 89.90 153.40 502.63 857.32 1180.10 1556.97
2026-02-22 321.65 56.18 74.39 102.81 176.49 586.13 1005.84 1389.58 1839.14
2026-03-01 328.47 56.27 74.74 103.66 179.03 602.57 1040.31 1442.39 1915.02
2026-03-08 301.99 50.74 67.61 94.11 163.50 557.68 968.56 1347.71 1794.86
2026-03-15 269.94 44.49 59.47 83.07 145.20 501.79 876.65 1224.13 1635.28
2026-03-22 306.96 49.66 66.57 93.32 164.05 574.31 1009.21 1414.15 1894.85
2026-03-29 336.70 53.47 71.89 101.12 178.79 633.98 1120.51 1575.54 2117.42
2026-04-05 326.70 50.93 68.68 96.94 172.38 619.08 1100.45 1552.63 2092.84
2026-04-12 293.11 44.85 60.67 85.93 153.69 558.94 999.19 1414.56 1912.33
2026-04-19 265.36 39.87 54.09 76.87 138.27 509.19 915.38 1300.26 1762.95
2026-04-26 237.08 34.98 47.60 67.87 122.77 457.76 827.50 1179.35 1603.63
2026-05-03 232.96 33.76 46.07 65.92 119.90 452.56 822.62 1176.26 1603.99
2026-05-10 206.46 29.39 40.22 57.75 105.61 403.52 737.50 1058.00 1446.82
2026-05-17 216.66 30.31 41.60 59.91 110.17 426.00 782.80 1126.61 1544.96
2026-05-24 211.15 29.03 39.96 57.73 106.73 417.64 771.56 1114.00 1531.93
2026-05-31 191.25 25.84 35.66 51.70 96.09 380.53 706.74 1023.67 1411.59
2026-06-07 167.76 22.27 30.83 44.84 83.79 335.76 626.90 910.89 1259.52
2026-06-14 138.64 18.08 25.11 36.64 68.84 279.12 523.88 763.59 1058.71
2026-06-21 79.15 10.11 14.10 20.66 39.05 160.31 302.48 442.27 614.87
2026-06-28 84.01 10.28 14.43 21.31 40.83 172.72 330.32 486.90 681.67
2026-07-05 83.06 9.83 13.87 20.62 39.92 172.71 333.68 494.84 696.45
2026-07-12 72.47 8.30 11.79 17.63 34.46 152.28 297.01 442.95 626.47
2026-07-19 68.36 7.62 10.86 16.33 32.20 145.01 285.22 427.52 607.31
2026-07-26 60.34 6.54 9.37 14.16 28.16 129.17 256.15 385.82 550.38
2026-08-02 52.24 5.51 7.93 12.05 24.16 112.81 225.45 341.16 488.64
2026-08-09 59.36 6.11 8.83 13.48 27.23 129.26 260.27 395.63 568.88
2026-08-16 54.98 5.52 8.01 12.28 25.01 120.71 244.87 373.88 539.67
2026-08-23 66.35 6.52 9.50 14.61 29.95 146.84 300.03 460.10 666.64
2026-08-30 63.26 6.07 8.87 13.72 28.32 141.12 290.44 447.31 650.52
2026-09-06 65.93 6.18 9.07 14.08 29.29 148.25 307.28 475.26 693.73
2026-09-13 62.07 5.68 8.37 13.06 27.36 140.67 293.65 456.09 668.19
2026-09-20 45.10 4.01 5.95 9.33 19.71 103.04 216.63 337.89 496.82
2026-09-27 47.30 4.12 6.12 9.64 20.52 108.90 230.52 361.05 532.77
2026-10-04 51.81 4.42 6.59 10.42 22.30 120.17 256.10 402.74 596.40
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