Prediction 1015

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 40.31 5.44 7.52 10.92 20.29 79.98 148.10 214.12 294.77
2025-10-12 37.60 4.75 6.64 9.76 18.52 76.27 144.03 210.69 293.01
2025-10-19 36.79 4.36 6.17 9.17 17.73 76.20 146.67 217.01 304.80
2025-10-26 34.39 3.83 5.47 8.24 16.23 72.72 142.60 213.33 302.52
2025-11-02 32.34 3.39 4.89 7.45 14.96 69.77 139.30 210.66 301.53
2025-11-09 33.28 3.29 4.80 7.39 15.10 73.22 148.77 227.34 328.39
2025-11-16 30.71 2.86 4.22 6.56 13.66 68.87 142.34 219.75 320.26
2025-11-23 29.36 2.58 3.85 6.05 12.82 67.08 141.00 219.87 323.23
2025-11-30 28.77 2.39 3.60 5.72 12.33 66.94 143.01 225.21 333.89
2025-12-07 27.48 2.16 3.28 5.28 11.57 65.09 141.32 224.68 335.88
2025-12-14 26.63 1.99 3.04 4.94 11.01 64.19 141.56 227.18 342.40
2025-12-21 27.48 1.95 3.01 4.94 11.17 67.40 150.93 244.46 371.38
2026-01-04 23.70 1.58 2.48 4.11 9.46 59.12 134.43 219.72 336.42
2026-01-11 19.13 1.20 1.90 3.20 7.50 48.55 112.05 184.79 285.14
2026-01-18 18.79 1.12 1.79 3.04 7.25 48.47 113.52 188.85 293.61
2026-01-25 29.80 1.74 2.78 4.72 11.35 78.00 185.23 310.75 486.70
2026-02-01 31.69 1.77 2.84 4.88 11.88 84.25 202.90 343.26 541.56
2026-02-08 36.96 1.98 3.20 5.54 13.65 99.74 243.53 415.40 660.10
2026-02-15 46.12 2.38 3.87 6.73 16.80 126.34 312.67 537.71 860.49
2026-02-22 49.21 2.44 3.99 6.98 17.66 136.81 343.14 594.86 958.61
2026-03-01 58.20 2.77 4.56 8.04 20.59 164.17 417.22 729.02 1182.90
2026-03-08 67.62 3.10 5.13 9.10 23.59 193.52 498.26 877.44 1433.40
2026-03-15 78.66 3.47 5.77 10.32 27.06 228.30 595.41 1056.62 1737.68
2026-03-22 76.32 3.22 5.40 9.74 25.88 224.67 593.44 1061.17 1756.71
2026-03-29 83.12 3.38 5.69 10.33 27.80 248.11 663.60 1195.55 1992.08
2026-04-05 92.72 3.63 6.15 11.24 30.59 280.58 759.78 1379.01 2312.59
2026-04-12 92.96 3.49 5.96 10.98 30.26 285.17 781.72 1429.25 2412.11
2026-04-19 97.71 3.53 6.06 11.25 31.38 303.77 842.81 1552.13 2635.97
2026-04-26 110.68 3.85 6.66 12.43 35.09 348.67 978.99 1815.85 3103.00
2026-05-03 122.43 4.11 7.14 13.42 38.31 390.76 1110.19 2073.79 3565.57
2026-05-10 131.13 4.24 7.41 14.03 40.51 423.99 1218.73 2292.49 3965.55
2026-05-17 129.21 4.02 7.07 13.49 39.40 423.17 1230.49 2330.67 4055.83
2026-05-24 129.99 3.90 6.90 13.24 39.14 431.16 1268.14 2418.46 4233.63
2026-05-31 135.21 3.91 6.96 13.45 40.21 454.13 1350.88 2593.74 4567.20
2026-06-07 124.08 3.45 6.18 12.05 36.43 421.99 1269.42 2453.72 4345.81
2026-06-14 125.33 3.36 6.06 11.89 36.35 431.53 1312.56 2553.98 4549.47
2026-06-21 105.41 2.71 4.93 9.75 30.19 367.44 1129.98 2213.20 3964.95
2026-06-28 99.19 2.41 4.44 8.87 27.91 351.90 1099.45 2173.89 3926.61
2026-07-05 90.18 2.08 3.87 7.81 24.96 325.11 1030.55 2055.34 3740.42
2026-07-12 84.54 1.85 3.47 7.09 23.02 309.76 996.28 2004.40 3675.38
2026-07-19 83.01 1.72 3.27 6.74 22.23 309.30 1009.88 2050.10 3788.62
2026-07-26 82.63 1.63 3.12 6.49 21.75 313.10 1037.91 2126.23 3960.37
2026-08-02 76.47 1.42 2.76 5.81 19.79 294.67 991.60 2049.65 3847.54
2026-08-09 67.75 1.19 2.34 4.98 17.24 265.38 906.24 1889.74 3574.50
2026-08-16 61.17 1.01 2.02 4.35 15.31 243.50 843.60 1774.36 3381.45
2026-08-23 58.70 0.92 1.85 4.04 14.46 237.40 834.26 1769.71 3397.60
2026-08-30 57.17 0.85 1.73 3.82 13.86 234.89 837.15 1790.90 3463.52
2026-09-06 48.15 0.66 1.39 3.10 11.48 200.95 726.32 1566.85 3052.26
2026-09-13 42.42 0.54 1.16 2.64 9.95 179.84 659.10 1433.65 2812.89
2026-09-20 40.44 0.49 1.06 2.44 9.33 174.06 646.69 1418.21 2802.40
2026-09-27 36.83 0.41 0.92 2.15 8.37 160.95 606.13 1340.07 2666.65
2026-10-04 34.32 0.36 0.81 1.94 7.67 152.25 581.13 1295.13 2595.19
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