Prediction 1016

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Paraná

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 294.22 21.94 33.33 53.95 120.52 718.03 1602.64 2591.23 3930.90
2025-10-12 292.08 19.88 30.65 50.46 115.96 735.47 1688.44 2776.34 4273.72
2025-10-19 335.14 20.89 32.67 54.67 129.09 869.81 2051.95 3429.50 5354.31
2025-10-26 355.64 20.35 32.27 54.87 133.03 950.47 2302.23 3909.08 6187.26
2025-11-02 386.80 20.38 32.75 56.53 140.63 1063.62 2643.19 4557.39 7310.01
2025-11-09 413.45 20.10 32.71 57.33 146.21 1168.82 2977.93 5211.72 8468.44
2025-11-16 487.14 21.90 36.10 64.18 167.69 1414.75 3693.08 6557.90 10790.96
2025-11-23 557.30 23.22 38.74 69.85 186.87 1661.65 4441.49 7999.43 13325.76
2025-11-30 695.75 26.91 45.44 83.07 227.39 2128.39 5822.07 10632.03 17925.07
2025-12-07 785.02 28.23 48.23 89.36 250.21 2462.52 6890.00 12753.56 21755.57
2025-12-14 898.76 30.10 52.02 97.65 279.52 2889.40 8265.12 15502.73 26750.50
2025-12-21 1017.73 31.79 55.55 105.64 309.00 3351.52 9796.89 18615.55 32484.89
2026-01-04 1035.12 30.19 53.34 102.74 306.95 3490.14 10420.96 20054.52 35383.70
2026-01-11 1021.21 27.84 49.73 96.99 295.90 3523.84 10742.97 20933.46 37335.86
2026-01-18 1004.99 25.64 46.29 91.42 284.65 3547.54 11038.58 21774.23 39249.67
2026-01-25 1340.64 32.08 58.51 116.91 371.37 4839.04 15362.55 30669.81 55863.81
2026-02-01 1623.76 36.47 67.19 135.83 440.05 5990.83 19398.21 39186.70 72111.94
2026-02-08 2050.98 43.28 80.54 164.70 543.99 7731.96 25526.60 52169.25 96974.76
2026-02-15 2429.64 48.22 90.61 187.41 630.90 9355.86 31483.37 65082.89 122184.61
2026-02-22 2917.38 54.50 103.41 216.29 741.90 11471.15 39334.22 82232.45 155894.86
2026-03-01 3461.05 60.91 116.69 246.77 862.24 13891.74 48524.74 102576.91 196342.06
2026-03-08 4355.71 72.29 139.78 298.85 1063.37 17840.74 63466.59 135636.00 262091.53
2026-03-15 5134.66 80.42 156.95 339.17 1228.73 21455.87 77712.71 167879.64 327440.17
2026-03-22 6168.70 91.25 179.72 392.51 1447.38 26289.90 96926.08 211620.80 416574.11
2026-03-29 7535.23 105.35 209.38 462.08 1733.96 32744.45 122854.71 271056.21 538442.87
2026-04-05 8441.13 111.62 223.83 499.10 1905.50 37391.95 142736.62 318195.02 637776.38
2026-04-12 9515.13 119.09 240.92 542.71 2107.63 42955.86 166796.68 375645.88 759624.30
2026-04-19 10490.75 124.35 253.78 577.46 2280.65 48255.00 190556.15 433503.27 884321.20
2026-04-26 11103.64 124.73 256.77 590.10 2369.67 52027.26 208900.13 479991.18 987648.34
2026-05-03 10629.32 113.22 235.08 545.61 2227.37 50723.13 207040.56 480423.19 997011.29
2026-05-10 9395.95 94.95 198.83 466.02 1933.67 45654.63 189405.87 443799.23 928809.95
2026-05-17 8546.80 81.99 173.14 409.75 1727.78 42276.83 178233.90 421657.91 889863.39
2026-05-24 7751.23 70.63 150.40 359.34 1539.52 39024.62 167158.63 399235.70 849523.02
2026-05-31 6802.42 58.90 126.47 305.04 1327.66 34851.19 151647.45 365612.92 784352.31
2026-06-07 5203.13 42.82 92.72 225.76 998.10 27122.23 119866.49 291693.44 630844.77
2026-06-14 3443.64 26.93 58.82 144.61 649.36 18260.36 81953.39 201278.00 438795.26
2026-06-21 2294.87 17.05 37.58 93.28 425.44 12376.75 56400.47 139788.90 307166.23
2026-06-28 1875.46 13.08 29.14 73.21 340.38 10331.49 47986.86 120301.00 266974.25
2026-07-05 1469.39 9.62 21.67 55.10 261.15 8265.51 39119.48 99180.34 222260.96
2026-07-12 1206.21 7.40 16.87 43.43 209.87 6930.23 33430.51 85728.57 194024.49
2026-07-19 884.55 5.07 11.72 30.55 150.63 5192.06 25532.25 66232.38 151403.82
2026-07-26 697.32 3.73 8.74 23.10 116.21 4181.84 20964.98 55015.95 127028.98
2026-08-02 504.41 2.50 5.97 16.02 82.26 3090.47 15794.63 41927.99 97781.21
2026-08-09 443.62 2.05 4.97 13.51 70.81 2776.42 14463.66 38836.85 91475.92
2026-08-16 409.53 1.77 4.35 11.97 64.00 2617.73 13898.20 37744.70 89783.42
2026-08-23 365.76 1.47 3.67 10.26 55.96 2387.34 12915.60 35473.07 85207.45
2026-08-30 320.33 1.20 3.04 8.63 48.00 2134.63 11765.52 32676.46 79252.20
2026-09-06 307.44 1.07 2.77 7.96 45.13 2091.12 11740.18 32967.77 80727.48
2026-09-13 317.81 1.04 2.72 7.91 45.71 2205.91 12612.68 35806.74 88513.61
2026-09-20 267.40 0.81 2.16 6.39 37.68 1893.78 11025.46 31640.93 78952.65
2026-09-27 270.85 0.77 2.08 6.23 37.42 1956.71 11597.35 33640.23 84724.24
2026-10-04 335.44 0.91 2.48 7.45 45.46 2471.27 14908.61 43705.76 111090.92
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