Prediction 1017

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Pernambuco

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 41.74 5.13 7.20 10.64 20.35 85.48 162.87 239.52 334.65
2025-10-12 40.47 4.64 6.59 9.87 19.28 84.83 165.05 245.77 347.12
2025-10-19 38.34 4.11 5.91 8.95 17.86 82.20 163.20 245.97 351.07
2025-10-26 37.92 3.81 5.53 8.49 17.27 83.09 168.23 256.55 369.93
2025-11-02 40.35 3.81 5.59 8.68 18.00 90.32 186.38 287.50 418.66
2025-11-09 34.73 3.07 4.56 7.17 15.17 79.38 166.90 260.34 382.80
2025-11-16 28.43 2.35 3.53 5.63 12.15 66.31 142.00 223.93 332.39
2025-11-23 25.30 1.96 2.98 4.81 10.60 60.22 131.26 209.20 313.40
2025-11-30 20.12 1.45 2.24 3.67 8.25 48.84 108.36 174.51 263.81
2025-12-07 22.79 1.56 2.43 4.02 9.18 56.36 127.16 206.87 315.48
2025-12-14 24.59 1.60 2.51 4.19 9.73 61.94 142.07 233.44 359.07
2025-12-21 21.17 1.29 2.05 3.47 8.21 54.33 126.68 210.19 326.06
2026-01-04 20.12 1.15 1.86 3.18 7.66 52.57 124.55 208.65 326.37
2026-01-11 17.42 0.93 1.53 2.65 6.51 46.33 111.52 188.59 297.41
2026-01-18 14.53 0.72 1.20 2.12 5.33 39.34 96.19 164.19 261.02
2026-01-25 21.73 1.06 1.77 3.11 7.86 59.76 148.29 255.38 409.16
2026-02-01 23.81 1.12 1.86 3.31 8.48 66.56 167.63 291.26 470.26
2026-02-08 25.32 1.13 1.91 3.41 8.87 71.94 183.84 322.23 524.24
2026-02-15 28.37 1.22 2.06 3.72 9.79 81.86 212.22 375.20 615.00
2026-02-22 34.45 1.43 2.42 4.39 11.71 100.95 265.41 473.24 781.43
2026-03-01 44.14 1.77 3.01 5.49 14.79 131.32 350.10 629.46 1046.96
2026-03-08 48.89 1.88 3.22 5.91 16.14 147.71 399.23 723.74 1212.44
2026-03-15 58.27 2.16 3.71 6.86 18.95 178.68 489.53 894.71 1509.48
2026-03-22 63.54 2.26 3.90 7.27 20.37 197.78 549.19 1011.84 1719.04
2026-03-29 80.08 2.74 4.76 8.93 25.31 252.89 711.55 1321.41 2260.48
2026-04-05 88.80 2.92 5.11 9.64 27.67 284.53 811.12 1518.18 2614.80
2026-04-12 92.11 2.91 5.11 9.73 28.29 299.39 864.59 1630.83 2827.76
2026-04-19 100.46 3.05 5.39 10.34 30.42 331.19 968.71 1841.25 3213.86
2026-04-26 109.40 3.19 5.68 10.97 32.67 365.76 1083.39 2074.86 3645.45
2026-05-03 110.89 3.10 5.56 10.83 32.66 375.91 1127.47 2175.47 3847.07
2026-05-10 111.89 3.00 5.43 10.64 32.51 384.54 1167.69 2269.79 4039.68
2026-05-17 107.57 2.77 5.04 9.96 30.82 374.75 1151.93 2255.59 4039.94
2026-05-24 105.90 2.62 4.80 9.56 29.94 373.94 1163.42 2294.62 4135.70
2026-05-31 110.32 2.62 4.84 9.71 30.78 394.74 1242.92 2469.02 4477.75
2026-06-07 98.26 2.23 4.16 8.42 27.05 356.28 1135.18 2271.03 4144.05
2026-06-14 83.90 1.82 3.42 7.00 22.78 308.23 993.70 2001.99 3675.41
2026-06-21 59.19 1.21 2.31 4.79 15.85 220.36 718.77 1458.20 2693.27
2026-06-28 53.96 1.03 2.00 4.20 14.16 204.83 679.86 1393.72 2597.55
2026-07-05 54.73 0.98 1.93 4.11 14.10 211.65 714.26 1478.90 2780.21
2026-07-12 50.10 0.84 1.68 3.62 12.66 197.39 677.45 1416.84 2686.85
2026-07-19 46.89 0.73 1.49 3.26 11.62 188.32 657.44 1389.12 2657.72
2026-07-26 44.03 0.64 1.32 2.94 10.70 180.25 640.18 1366.61 2638.06
2026-08-02 41.14 0.55 1.17 2.64 9.80 171.65 620.14 1337.41 2604.66
2026-08-09 40.49 0.51 1.10 2.50 9.47 172.15 632.53 1377.95 2707.17
2026-08-16 34.34 0.39 0.87 2.03 7.87 148.78 555.81 1222.90 2423.33
2026-08-23 36.43 0.39 0.88 2.09 8.20 160.70 610.23 1355.84 2709.64
2026-08-30 33.52 0.33 0.77 1.85 7.40 150.57 581.07 1303.57 2627.09
2026-09-06 32.29 0.29 0.70 1.71 7.00 147.63 578.87 1311.08 2664.15
2026-09-13 31.27 0.26 0.64 1.60 6.66 145.50 579.59 1325.13 2714.80
2026-09-20 26.64 0.19 0.51 1.30 5.56 126.18 510.57 1178.29 2433.57
2026-09-27 27.94 0.19 0.51 1.32 5.74 134.61 553.13 1288.30 2682.13
2026-10-04 26.62 0.17 0.46 1.21 5.37 130.44 544.23 1279.20 2684.33
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