Prediction 1018

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Piauí

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 7.42 1.04 1.44 2.09 3.83 14.31 25.76 36.60 49.63
2025-10-12 6.12 0.80 1.13 1.65 3.10 12.01 21.96 31.48 43.01
2025-10-19 6.66 0.83 1.18 1.75 3.32 13.27 24.60 35.57 48.95
2025-10-26 7.07 0.84 1.21 1.81 3.47 14.30 26.87 39.17 54.30
2025-11-02 6.46 0.73 1.05 1.59 3.12 13.28 25.31 37.20 51.93
2025-11-09 6.24 0.67 0.98 1.49 2.96 13.03 25.16 37.27 52.40
2025-11-16 5.42 0.54 0.80 1.25 2.53 11.49 22.49 33.58 47.54
2025-11-23 6.58 0.64 0.96 1.49 3.04 14.13 28.01 42.14 60.03
2025-11-30 7.27 0.69 1.03 1.61 3.31 15.81 31.71 48.07 68.92
2025-12-07 6.44 0.57 0.87 1.38 2.89 14.22 28.89 44.12 63.67
2025-12-14 7.60 0.66 1.00 1.59 3.37 17.00 34.94 53.73 78.02
2025-12-21 5.52 0.43 0.68 1.11 2.40 12.55 26.13 40.48 59.16
2026-01-04 5.11 0.38 0.60 0.99 2.19 11.77 24.81 38.71 56.92
2026-01-11 4.31 0.29 0.47 0.80 1.81 10.08 21.51 33.81 50.02
2026-01-18 3.71 0.22 0.38 0.66 1.53 8.80 19.00 30.08 44.76
2026-01-25 12.17 0.90 1.40 2.29 5.09 28.94 62.94 100.16 149.83
2026-02-01 17.51 1.29 1.99 3.25 7.25 42.08 92.50 148.14 222.86
2026-02-08 21.56 1.55 2.40 3.93 8.83 52.43 116.47 187.75 284.03
2026-02-15 24.24 1.69 2.63 4.32 9.82 59.63 133.90 217.22 330.45
2026-02-22 29.15 1.98 3.08 5.10 11.68 72.52 164.55 268.62 410.88
2026-03-01 34.51 2.28 3.56 5.91 13.68 86.84 199.09 327.04 502.96
2026-03-08 42.06 2.71 4.24 7.07 16.49 107.03 247.89 409.72 633.50
2026-03-15 44.93 2.80 4.41 7.39 17.42 115.64 270.57 449.95 699.39
2026-03-22 51.55 3.12 4.93 8.31 19.77 134.13 317.01 530.35 828.69
2026-03-29 60.27 3.54 5.62 9.53 22.87 158.54 378.43 636.88 1000.30
2026-04-05 62.83 3.58 5.71 9.73 23.59 167.11 402.84 681.97 1076.61
2026-04-12 71.33 3.95 6.32 10.83 26.50 191.76 466.77 794.81 1261.10
2026-04-19 76.19 4.09 6.58 11.34 28.00 207.01 508.75 871.30 1389.40
2026-04-26 85.97 4.48 7.24 12.55 31.27 236.06 585.69 1008.81 1616.66
2026-05-03 85.98 4.34 7.06 12.30 30.94 238.58 597.55 1035.07 1666.89
2026-05-10 88.50 4.34 7.08 12.41 31.52 248.13 627.30 1092.71 1768.28
2026-05-17 95.88 4.57 7.49 13.19 33.81 271.58 692.97 1213.79 1973.67
2026-05-24 86.18 3.97 6.55 11.62 30.07 246.62 635.08 1118.52 1827.42
2026-05-31 93.37 4.19 6.93 12.35 32.26 269.89 701.34 1241.93 2038.64
2026-06-07 81.23 3.52 5.87 10.53 27.78 237.19 621.95 1107.31 1826.17
2026-06-14 65.70 2.75 4.62 8.34 22.23 193.79 512.71 917.71 1520.51
2026-06-21 34.46 1.35 2.32 4.25 11.52 102.75 274.34 493.69 821.76
2026-06-28 38.33 1.38 2.40 4.47 12.43 117.71 322.82 590.32 996.37
2026-07-05 38.28 1.29 2.28 4.29 12.16 120.00 335.20 619.75 1056.10
2026-07-12 35.19 1.12 2.00 3.82 11.00 112.09 317.65 592.36 1016.97
2026-07-19 27.14 0.80 1.46 2.84 8.34 87.84 252.36 474.47 820.34
2026-07-26 22.45 0.62 1.15 2.26 6.78 73.84 215.19 408.03 710.66
2026-08-02 20.60 0.53 1.00 2.00 6.11 68.87 203.68 389.58 683.68
2026-08-09 16.66 0.38 0.76 1.55 4.85 56.65 170.05 328.13 580.24
2026-08-16 15.45 0.33 0.66 1.39 4.42 53.41 162.65 316.59 564.04
2026-08-23 13.60 0.26 0.55 1.17 3.82 47.80 147.66 289.86 520.23
2026-08-30 11.93 0.20 0.45 0.98 3.29 42.59 133.44 264.13 477.48
2026-09-06 10.33 0.15 0.36 0.81 2.79 37.49 119.10 237.70 432.78
2026-09-13 9.16 0.11 0.29 0.69 2.43 33.79 108.84 219.02 401.59
2026-09-20 6.98 0.06 0.19 0.49 1.81 26.21 85.61 173.68 320.70
2026-09-27 6.57 0.04 0.16 0.44 1.67 25.05 82.92 169.57 315.28
2026-10-04 5.26 0.01 0.10 0.32 1.30 20.39 68.45 141.09 264.14
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