Prediction 1019

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Rio de Janeiro

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 62.84 6.59 9.49 14.43 29.00 136.04 272.52 412.97 592.21
2025-10-12 70.70 6.82 9.96 15.38 31.71 157.49 323.70 498.15 723.99
2025-10-19 64.28 5.71 8.45 13.25 28.03 147.23 310.28 484.69 713.62
2025-10-26 64.74 5.31 7.96 12.68 27.48 152.33 328.91 521.31 777.25
2025-11-02 70.00 5.32 8.08 13.04 28.95 169.07 373.73 600.75 906.71
2025-11-09 67.65 4.76 7.33 12.00 27.27 167.62 379.13 617.85 943.68
2025-11-16 70.22 4.60 7.16 11.88 27.61 178.35 412.50 681.26 1052.65
2025-11-23 72.14 4.40 6.93 11.66 27.69 187.72 443.72 742.42 1160.19
2025-11-30 75.59 4.30 6.85 11.68 28.33 201.38 486.23 823.96 1301.88
2025-12-07 77.77 4.13 6.66 11.50 28.48 212.01 522.63 896.71 1432.17
2025-12-14 87.21 4.35 7.07 12.36 31.24 243.15 611.67 1062.30 1714.61
2025-12-21 86.85 4.05 6.67 11.80 30.43 247.57 635.28 1116.49 1820.77
2026-01-04 90.61 3.97 6.60 11.81 31.07 263.94 690.60 1227.94 2022.85
2026-01-11 77.20 3.16 5.32 9.65 25.90 229.72 612.66 1101.89 1833.29
2026-01-18 76.61 2.94 5.01 9.20 25.17 232.76 632.50 1150.38 1932.66
2026-01-25 179.17 6.60 11.27 20.81 57.76 555.33 1536.82 2825.98 4793.12
2026-02-01 213.57 7.44 12.81 23.89 67.50 675.34 1902.95 3537.25 6055.98
2026-02-08 236.34 7.78 13.51 25.47 73.24 762.18 2186.12 4106.99 7096.51
2026-02-15 298.89 9.32 16.32 31.07 90.86 982.74 2868.33 5445.22 9494.48
2026-02-22 354.74 10.47 18.50 35.57 105.80 1188.81 3529.85 6770.30 11910.68
2026-03-01 459.56 12.87 22.91 44.48 134.53 1569.23 4738.86 9181.63 16295.26
2026-03-08 478.63 12.70 22.81 44.73 137.55 1664.89 5112.19 10004.21 17909.36
2026-03-15 521.90 13.13 23.79 47.12 147.28 1848.78 5770.78 11404.52 20590.88
2026-03-22 585.42 13.99 25.55 51.08 162.26 2111.40 6698.03 13365.81 24335.57
2026-03-29 674.62 15.32 28.21 56.93 183.71 2476.63 7983.02 16082.88 29526.21
2026-04-05 711.49 15.35 28.51 58.08 190.39 2658.06 8703.79 17700.97 32763.53
2026-04-12 750.13 15.40 28.82 59.26 197.30 2851.19 9482.42 19464.67 36319.82
2026-04-19 745.70 14.56 27.47 57.03 192.82 2883.11 9736.81 20171.21 37939.12
2026-04-26 795.73 14.80 28.14 58.94 202.32 3128.75 10727.67 22426.33 42513.70
2026-05-03 780.79 13.83 26.51 56.03 195.25 3121.46 10864.09 22915.86 43780.52
2026-05-10 685.50 11.56 22.34 47.66 168.61 2785.95 9840.86 20942.09 40317.99
2026-05-17 695.85 11.19 21.80 46.91 168.40 2874.33 10302.55 22117.26 42904.76
2026-05-24 690.73 10.59 20.80 45.16 164.50 2899.40 10543.68 22831.52 44623.86
2026-05-31 674.00 9.87 19.52 42.75 157.98 2874.47 10603.50 23158.31 45599.62
2026-06-07 610.85 8.53 17.02 37.60 140.94 2646.42 9901.30 21808.44 43257.98
2026-06-14 502.61 6.69 13.46 30.02 114.16 2211.62 8391.16 18637.61 37237.91
2026-06-21 369.07 4.67 9.49 21.38 82.53 1649.29 6344.91 14209.96 28596.25
2026-06-28 348.05 4.14 8.52 19.41 76.30 1586.49 6213.05 14063.83 28565.19
2026-07-05 289.53 3.25 6.75 15.57 62.29 1344.34 5352.88 12237.73 25071.23
2026-07-12 254.07 2.68 5.65 13.17 53.64 1202.01 4867.32 11240.18 23229.43
2026-07-19 211.19 2.09 4.46 10.55 43.75 1018.15 4193.09 9781.55 20392.98
2026-07-26 181.56 1.68 3.65 8.73 36.89 891.94 3736.01 8803.93 18516.60
2026-08-02 160.33 1.39 3.06 7.43 31.96 802.60 3419.03 8138.78 17268.28
2026-08-09 149.21 1.21 2.71 6.66 29.19 761.03 3296.95 7927.56 16967.58
2026-08-16 119.56 0.90 2.05 5.13 22.94 621.34 2737.24 6647.98 14352.96
2026-08-23 114.06 0.80 1.86 4.72 21.48 603.84 2704.74 6634.71 14448.43
2026-08-30 104.82 0.69 1.63 4.18 19.37 565.22 2573.92 6376.45 14005.46
2026-09-06 88.88 0.53 1.30 3.40 16.12 488.11 2259.51 5652.70 12521.74
2026-09-13 88.09 0.49 1.23 3.26 15.68 492.58 2317.49 5854.33 13078.11
2026-09-20 77.07 0.39 1.01 2.74 13.47 438.83 2098.14 5351.53 12055.19
2026-09-27 71.36 0.33 0.89 2.44 12.24 413.63 2009.50 5174.63 11753.63
2026-10-04 87.36 0.41 1.06 2.91 14.74 515.21 2542.76 6610.02 15137.65
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