Prediction 102

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Temp-SPI Interaction Model
Autor

Descrição:

Validation test 1 for three-way interaction model (AL)


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 191.5 - 45.0 - - - - 806.35 -
2022-10-16 182.0 - 42.0 - - - - 725.85 -
2022-10-23 189.0 - 42.0 - - - - 767.85 -
2022-10-30 142.5 - 34.0 - - - - 597.80 -
2022-11-06 143.0 - 36.0 - - - - 599.90 -
2022-11-13 132.0 - 33.0 - - - - 588.70 -
2022-11-20 130.0 - 31.0 - - - - 550.90 -
2022-11-27 115.0 - 26.0 - - - - 476.95 -
2022-12-04 118.0 - 28.0 - - - - 480.75 -
2022-12-11 112.0 - 25.0 - - - - 503.40 -
2022-12-18 105.0 - 25.0 - - - - 444.75 -
2022-12-25 112.0 - 23.0 - - - - 444.80 -
2023-01-01 117.0 - 27.0 - - - - 477.00 -
2023-01-08 128.5 - 28.0 - - - - 465.00 -
2023-01-15 127.0 - 30.0 - - - - 553.10 -
2023-01-22 131.5 - 29.0 - - - - 578.00 -
2023-01-29 150.0 - 36.0 - - - - 611.90 -
2023-02-05 163.5 - 38.0 - - - - 647.60 -
2023-02-12 166.0 - 39.0 - - - - 728.55 -
2023-02-19 187.0 - 39.0 - - - - 812.90 -
2023-02-26 210.0 - 56.0 - - - - 936.75 -
2023-03-05 240.0 - 59.0 - - - - 1025.85 -
2023-03-12 266.0 - 63.0 - - - - 1099.90 -
2023-03-19 297.5 - 61.0 - - - - 1147.90 -
2023-03-26 342.0 - 82.0 - - - - 1440.25 -
2023-04-02 369.0 - 82.0 - - - - 1534.30 -
2023-04-09 400.5 - 89.0 - - - - 1683.45 -
2023-04-16 455.0 - 109.0 - - - - 1849.85 -
2023-04-23 475.5 - 112.0 - - - - 2027.65 -
2023-04-30 483.0 - 124.0 - - - - 1981.40 -
2023-05-07 534.0 - 131.0 - - - - 2356.55 -
2023-05-14 518.5 - 118.0 - - - - 2031.80 -
2023-05-21 543.0 - 131.0 - - - - 2276.00 -
2023-05-28 505.5 - 130.0 - - - - 2120.70 -
2023-06-04 493.0 - 121.0 - - - - 2034.05 -
2023-06-11 470.0 - 109.0 - - - - 2017.50 -
2023-06-18 436.0 - 104.0 - - - - 1871.80 -
2023-06-25 426.0 - 99.0 - - - - 1925.55 -
2023-07-02 381.0 - 89.0 - - - - 1476.30 -
2023-07-09 369.0 - 80.0 - - - - 1590.25 -
2023-07-16 347.0 - 81.0 - - - - 1463.60 -
2023-07-23 317.0 - 82.0 - - - - 1321.70 -
2023-07-30 270.5 - 69.0 - - - - 1084.35 -
2023-08-06 270.0 - 60.0 - - - - 1062.75 -
2023-08-13 242.5 - 60.0 - - - - 907.80 -
2023-08-20 219.5 - 50.0 - - - - 850.90 -
2023-08-27 210.5 - 48.0 - - - - 941.70 -
2023-09-03 179.0 - 43.0 - - - - 682.80 -
2023-09-10 174.0 - 41.0 - - - - 658.45 -
2023-09-17 165.5 - 39.0 - - - - 708.95 -
2023-09-24 161.0 - 35.0 - - - - 674.95 -
2023-10-01 183.5 - 43.0 - - - - 831.75 -