Prediction 1020

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Norte

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 25.71 2.45 3.60 5.58 11.53 57.15 117.17 180.03 261.27
2025-10-12 25.14 2.21 3.30 5.19 10.99 57.33 120.29 187.39 275.21
2025-10-19 21.61 1.76 2.66 4.25 9.21 50.52 108.32 170.94 253.90
2025-10-26 22.87 1.74 2.66 4.31 9.53 54.69 119.70 191.24 287.08
2025-11-02 20.72 1.46 2.27 3.73 8.44 50.66 113.12 182.89 277.42
2025-11-09 18.76 1.23 1.93 3.23 7.47 46.91 106.84 174.80 267.86
2025-11-16 20.68 1.27 2.02 3.42 8.06 52.83 122.69 203.08 314.38
2025-11-23 17.52 0.99 1.61 2.76 6.67 45.78 108.42 181.59 283.97
2025-11-30 16.01 0.84 1.38 2.41 5.96 42.73 103.17 174.79 276.08
2025-12-07 17.89 0.89 1.48 2.60 6.53 48.74 119.91 205.41 327.59
2025-12-14 15.61 0.71 1.21 2.17 5.57 43.41 108.75 188.34 303.20
2025-12-21 14.91 0.63 1.09 1.99 5.22 42.30 107.85 188.74 306.63
2026-01-04 13.73 0.54 0.95 1.75 4.70 39.70 102.98 182.08 298.44
2026-01-11 10.94 0.38 0.70 1.33 3.66 32.26 85.14 152.07 251.45
2026-01-18 11.51 0.38 0.71 1.35 3.79 34.60 92.81 167.43 279.24
2026-01-25 20.74 0.72 1.28 2.42 6.75 63.30 172.50 314.20 528.49
2026-02-01 23.25 0.77 1.38 2.62 7.44 72.25 200.10 368.04 624.30
2026-02-08 25.32 0.80 1.44 2.77 7.96 80.09 225.38 418.52 715.87
2026-02-15 27.27 0.82 1.49 2.88 8.43 87.74 250.83 470.20 810.85
2026-02-22 31.35 0.91 1.66 3.22 9.53 102.61 297.86 563.52 979.58
2026-03-01 32.83 0.91 1.66 3.27 9.82 109.25 321.97 614.68 1076.96
2026-03-08 36.94 0.98 1.80 3.57 10.87 124.95 373.76 719.93 1271.17
2026-03-15 45.53 1.17 2.16 4.28 13.20 156.52 475.13 923.29 1642.75
2026-03-22 51.28 1.26 2.34 4.68 14.63 179.12 551.69 1081.48 1938.86
2026-03-29 56.65 1.34 2.49 5.02 15.91 201.08 628.34 1242.42 2244.17
2026-04-05 59.58 1.34 2.52 5.13 16.47 214.86 681.07 1358.26 2471.69
2026-04-12 60.45 1.30 2.46 5.05 16.45 221.44 711.90 1431.79 2624.65
2026-04-19 69.49 1.43 2.73 5.65 18.63 258.48 842.56 1708.73 3155.03
2026-04-26 85.76 1.71 3.27 6.79 22.66 323.85 1070.20 2188.27 4069.35
2026-05-03 97.30 1.87 3.58 7.49 25.33 372.95 1249.27 2575.23 4822.75
2026-05-10 99.94 1.83 3.55 7.48 25.63 388.82 1320.00 2742.96 5172.76
2026-05-17 101.58 1.78 3.48 7.39 25.67 401.08 1379.81 2890.12 5487.99
2026-05-24 103.11 1.73 3.40 7.30 25.68 413.13 1440.10 3040.26 5812.65
2026-05-31 97.85 1.57 3.11 6.73 24.01 397.76 1404.73 2988.81 5753.09
2026-06-07 87.30 1.33 2.67 5.83 21.11 360.07 1288.14 2762.00 5352.24
2026-06-14 80.01 1.16 2.35 5.19 19.07 334.71 1212.82 2620.46 5111.72
2026-06-21 67.43 0.92 1.89 4.24 15.83 286.13 1049.99 2285.87 4488.38
2026-06-28 56.36 0.70 1.49 3.40 12.97 243.81 910.26 2002.14 3966.46
2026-07-05 55.25 0.65 1.39 3.21 12.48 243.50 924.31 2053.37 4103.20
2026-07-12 50.34 0.55 1.20 2.82 11.16 225.96 871.90 1956.00 3941.96
2026-07-19 47.92 0.48 1.08 2.58 10.42 219.05 859.21 1946.50 3956.28
2026-07-26 43.71 0.40 0.93 2.26 9.33 203.52 811.55 1856.74 3806.24
2026-08-02 43.26 0.37 0.88 2.16 9.06 205.17 831.76 1921.89 3973.72
2026-08-09 37.28 0.29 0.71 1.78 7.65 180.13 742.38 1732.32 3612.40
2026-08-16 34.26 0.24 0.61 1.57 6.90 168.57 706.06 1663.54 3498.15
2026-08-23 36.81 0.24 0.63 1.64 7.29 184.28 784.08 1864.86 3953.71
2026-08-30 32.84 0.19 0.53 1.40 6.38 167.26 722.76 1734.99 3707.95
2026-09-06 27.07 0.13 0.39 1.10 5.16 140.33 615.74 1491.60 3213.06
2026-09-13 23.07 0.09 0.31 0.89 4.31 121.68 542.05 1325.02 2876.67
2026-09-20 21.52 0.07 0.26 0.80 3.95 115.45 522.12 1287.83 2817.80
2026-09-27 20.32 0.05 0.23 0.72 3.66 110.83 508.79 1266.25 2792.23
2026-10-04 19.08 0.03 0.20 0.65 3.37 105.85 493.25 1238.58 2752.41
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