Prediction 1021

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Sul

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 212.81 5.89 10.54 20.52 62.21 727.39 2198.31 4261.17 7565.48
2025-10-12 291.22 7.41 13.43 26.55 82.63 1025.67 3184.67 6273.81 11296.26
2025-10-19 232.78 5.41 9.97 20.05 64.13 844.34 2691.88 5387.53 9834.42
2025-10-26 265.86 5.69 10.62 21.69 71.17 992.33 3246.43 6598.59 12207.66
2025-11-02 296.22 5.85 11.05 22.91 77.11 1137.12 3815.33 7873.11 14757.92
2025-11-09 142.57 2.54 4.92 10.42 36.07 562.72 1935.53 4053.75 7696.96
2025-11-16 307.63 5.17 10.04 21.45 75.83 1247.06 4394.45 9338.19 17955.39
2025-11-23 438.34 6.86 13.45 29.10 105.26 1824.40 6583.74 14191.17 27626.00
2025-11-30 385.59 5.58 11.08 24.35 90.21 1647.15 6084.73 13300.38 26208.04
2025-12-07 385.53 5.17 10.41 23.19 87.92 1689.47 6386.06 14152.26 28221.12
2025-12-14 619.53 7.77 15.78 35.58 137.82 2783.68 10762.20 24174.69 48775.15
2025-12-21 607.74 7.09 14.57 33.29 131.90 2798.90 11064.03 25185.18 51403.09
2026-01-04 552.48 5.99 12.47 28.89 117.02 2606.98 10533.12 24292.33 50146.46
2026-01-11 651.22 6.60 13.88 32.55 134.69 3147.23 12992.43 30352.54 63360.25
2026-01-18 364.51 3.40 7.29 17.38 73.60 1803.76 7605.96 17995.72 37981.31
2026-01-25 677.98 5.98 12.88 31.00 133.81 3433.36 14782.86 35416.13 75563.17
2026-02-01 1080.72 8.98 19.47 47.37 208.52 5599.34 24610.22 59691.17 128724.57
2026-02-08 989.41 7.68 16.86 41.53 186.64 5243.30 23518.25 57740.25 125837.16
2026-02-15 1191.98 8.69 19.25 47.98 219.91 6458.90 29557.09 73441.88 161730.38
2026-02-22 1733.98 11.89 26.58 66.98 312.99 9604.36 44829.08 112715.22 250777.89
2026-03-01 2409.46 15.54 35.06 89.34 425.61 13638.41 64913.55 165132.89 371144.14
2026-03-08 2905.96 17.63 40.15 103.47 502.44 16804.96 81542.70 209843.82 476379.64
2026-03-15 4734.43 27.06 62.17 161.98 801.48 27964.37 138301.58 359990.14 825359.39
2026-03-22 6978.21 37.57 87.11 229.48 1156.90 42088.65 212111.69 558370.07 1292764.84
2026-03-29 9067.03 45.99 107.64 286.71 1472.46 55829.89 286648.68 763036.38 1783769.40
2026-04-05 12568.39 60.10 141.99 382.31 1999.78 78987.98 413082.49 1111771.24 2623963.27
2026-04-12 16670.10 75.19 179.29 487.99 2599.34 106905.88 569353.70 1549143.03 3690940.48
2026-04-19 21647.50 92.15 221.76 610.08 3308.62 141631.19 767996.30 2112264.51 5079873.08
2026-04-26 25143.21 101.06 245.44 682.46 3767.60 167790.92 926202.58 2574694.15 6249517.15
2026-05-03 25630.82 97.31 238.52 670.27 3766.16 174428.83 979971.13 2753059.75 6743902.20
2026-05-10 29055.40 104.28 257.91 732.35 4187.37 201606.40 1152601.99 3272035.97 8088133.39
2026-05-17 27480.18 93.26 232.76 667.82 3885.04 194372.92 1130617.55 3242991.57 8088568.46
2026-05-24 21771.04 69.89 176.02 510.28 3019.91 156947.05 928677.96 2691181.42 6772150.02
2026-05-31 14946.85 45.39 115.39 337.99 2034.61 109800.18 660809.44 1934458.50 4910932.70
2026-06-07 15448.14 44.44 113.95 337.16 2063.98 115619.70 707615.40 2092399.30 5358390.37
2026-06-14 9850.51 26.81 69.42 207.53 1291.96 75100.65 467341.71 1395744.38 3605339.22
2026-06-21 5269.32 13.55 35.46 107.17 678.52 40916.45 258850.70 780738.83 2034054.92
2026-06-28 3897.10 8.88 23.75 73.40 482.01 31503.65 206651.62 636952.16 1690934.61
2026-07-05 2946.95 6.21 16.86 52.88 355.41 24430.11 163923.35 512148.60 1375695.18
2026-07-12 2179.21 4.25 11.71 37.30 256.42 18514.48 127003.96 402079.28 1092485.86
2026-07-19 1630.91 2.91 8.19 26.52 186.90 14225.66 99921.93 320854.89 882571.60
2026-07-26 1550.06 2.57 7.32 24.04 173.28 13859.90 99549.89 323958.23 901490.69
2026-08-02 1150.48 1.74 5.08 16.99 125.42 10547.03 77474.69 255530.04 719406.18
2026-08-09 1130.85 1.58 4.70 15.93 120.28 10625.08 79793.62 266685.52 759483.21
2026-08-16 975.31 1.25 3.80 13.10 101.23 9389.16 72071.20 244049.32 702953.88
2026-08-23 555.80 0.62 2.00 7.09 56.28 5481.34 42996.17 147493.96 429640.57
2026-08-30 625.25 0.66 2.12 7.63 61.83 6314.64 50605.01 175835.05 517923.38
2026-09-06 474.21 0.43 1.49 5.50 45.78 4903.64 40139.77 141253.30 420667.74
2026-09-13 408.98 0.33 1.20 4.52 38.56 4329.05 36188.20 128957.62 388257.76
2026-09-20 264.94 0.16 0.69 2.77 24.37 2870.27 24498.02 88392.36 269013.79
2026-09-27 434.34 0.30 1.13 4.40 39.11 4813.75 41939.81 153200.56 471260.32
2026-10-04 214.03 0.08 0.47 2.02 18.79 2426.96 21580.98 79800.57 248086.97
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