Prediction 1022

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Rondônia

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 6.56 0.66 0.98 1.51 3.06 13.96 27.45 41.10 58.31
2025-10-12 5.28 0.48 0.73 1.15 2.40 11.50 23.06 34.92 50.04
2025-10-19 4.65 0.38 0.59 0.96 2.06 10.34 21.13 32.36 46.82
2025-10-26 6.69 0.55 0.85 1.36 2.93 15.15 31.46 48.67 71.04
2025-11-02 8.84 0.71 1.09 1.76 3.81 20.36 43.00 67.21 98.99
2025-11-09 7.54 0.55 0.87 1.43 3.18 17.71 38.06 60.10 89.31
2025-11-16 10.89 0.79 1.23 2.02 4.52 25.99 56.75 90.49 135.61
2025-11-23 11.09 0.76 1.20 1.99 4.53 26.96 59.83 96.34 145.60
2025-11-30 15.85 1.06 1.67 2.78 6.38 39.18 88.28 143.49 218.64
2025-12-07 15.96 1.01 1.61 2.70 6.31 40.14 91.86 150.72 231.54
2025-12-14 17.64 1.07 1.71 2.90 6.86 45.11 104.84 173.60 268.82
2025-12-21 19.34 1.12 1.81 3.08 7.40 50.28 118.62 198.20 309.32
2026-01-04 17.67 0.96 1.57 2.72 6.64 46.72 111.88 188.61 296.64
2026-01-11 12.58 0.62 1.05 1.85 4.63 33.86 82.31 139.99 221.85
2026-01-18 9.91 0.45 0.77 1.39 3.58 27.13 66.95 114.87 183.42
2026-01-25 36.57 1.81 2.97 5.21 13.17 101.27 253.04 437.64 703.80
2026-02-01 36.52 1.72 2.85 5.05 12.95 102.72 260.26 453.89 735.23
2026-02-08 40.29 1.82 3.04 5.42 14.07 115.05 295.49 519.57 847.64
2026-02-15 48.56 2.12 3.55 6.36 16.71 140.70 366.27 649.25 1066.65
2026-02-22 56.17 2.36 3.97 7.17 19.06 165.15 435.66 778.41 1287.71
2026-03-01 64.44 2.60 4.40 8.01 21.56 192.25 513.85 925.36 1541.30
2026-03-08 53.86 2.07 3.53 6.49 17.75 163.06 441.55 801.37 1343.81
2026-03-15 50.50 1.85 3.19 5.92 16.40 155.08 425.36 777.95 1313.25
2026-03-22 60.95 2.16 3.74 6.97 19.53 189.77 527.12 971.37 1650.55
2026-03-29 69.86 2.38 4.15 7.79 22.08 220.52 620.21 1151.47 1969.30
2026-04-05 70.90 2.32 4.07 7.70 22.11 226.92 646.13 1208.49 2080.11
2026-04-12 71.56 2.25 3.97 7.57 22.01 232.14 669.10 1260.63 2183.65
2026-04-19 67.64 2.04 3.63 6.97 20.52 222.40 648.84 1231.32 2146.27
2026-04-26 50.37 1.43 2.59 5.04 15.06 167.88 495.71 947.48 1661.81
2026-05-03 38.76 1.04 1.90 3.76 11.42 130.96 391.32 753.28 1329.32
2026-05-10 39.65 1.02 1.89 3.75 11.54 135.72 410.31 795.38 1412.16
2026-05-17 38.93 0.96 1.79 3.59 11.18 134.96 412.75 805.65 1438.99
2026-05-24 38.03 0.90 1.69 3.42 10.78 133.54 413.10 811.88 1458.76
2026-05-31 35.59 0.80 1.53 3.12 9.96 126.58 396.03 783.63 1416.30
2026-06-07 28.58 0.60 1.17 2.42 7.88 102.96 325.82 649.06 1179.95
2026-06-14 19.05 0.35 0.72 1.55 5.16 69.57 222.67 446.57 816.55
2026-06-21 11.64 0.17 0.39 0.89 3.09 43.14 139.69 282.03 518.68
2026-06-28 13.02 0.18 0.41 0.95 3.37 49.47 163.86 335.36 624.07
2026-07-05 13.55 0.17 0.41 0.95 3.44 52.45 176.73 365.44 686.13
2026-07-12 12.38 0.13 0.34 0.83 3.08 48.87 167.50 349.90 662.79
2026-07-19 11.11 0.10 0.28 0.71 2.70 44.74 156.00 329.20 629.11
2026-07-26 9.26 0.06 0.20 0.55 2.20 38.01 134.79 287.30 553.78
2026-08-02 9.41 0.05 0.20 0.54 2.19 39.36 141.89 305.44 593.81
2026-08-09 8.52 0.03 0.16 0.46 1.94 36.30 133.01 289.11 566.80
2026-08-16 6.78 0.00 0.10 0.33 1.50 29.46 109.76 240.91 476.28
2026-08-23 6.61 0.00 0.08 0.31 1.43 29.25 110.69 245.25 488.84
2026-08-30 6.38 0.00 0.07 0.28 1.36 28.77 110.63 247.42 497.21
2026-09-06 5.56 0.00 0.04 0.22 1.15 25.56 99.82 225.32 456.46
2026-09-13 5.14 0.00 0.03 0.19 1.04 24.02 95.28 217.08 443.28
2026-09-20 4.03 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.78 19.27 77.66 178.56 367.50
2026-09-27 3.69 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.70 17.97 73.56 170.66 353.99
2026-10-04 4.44 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.84 21.88 90.83 212.57 444.30
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